Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz leads trader consensus at 35% over challenger Oliver Larkin at 30% in the FL-23 Democratic primary set for August 18, 2026, reflecting Larkin's surge via progressive endorsements from the Democratic Socialists of America, Progressive Change Campaign Committee, and Progressive Democrats of America in recent weeks. A March poll showed Moskowitz ahead 45%-11% among likely voters with 44% undecided, bolstered by his superior fundraising ($1.2 million cash on hand vs. Larkin's $182,000 as of late March), yet traders price a tighter race amid Larkin's attacks on Moskowitz's staunch pro-Israel voting record—including opposition to conditioning aid—resonating with district Democrats amid Gaza tensions. High undecideds and potential low-turnout dynamics favor Larkin's energized activist base against Moskowitz's establishment incumbency; separation could come from June 12 filing deadline entrants, Q2 fundraising disclosures, debates, or high-profile endorsements.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$20,751 वॉल्यूम
$20,751 वॉल्यूम
जारेड मोस्कोविट्ज़
36%
ओलिवर एडम्स लार्किन
32%
$20,751 वॉल्यूम
$20,751 वॉल्यूम
जारेड मोस्कोविट्ज़
36%
ओलिवर एडम्स लार्किन
32%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz leads trader consensus at 35% over challenger Oliver Larkin at 30% in the FL-23 Democratic primary set for August 18, 2026, reflecting Larkin's surge via progressive endorsements from the Democratic Socialists of America, Progressive Change Campaign Committee, and Progressive Democrats of America in recent weeks. A March poll showed Moskowitz ahead 45%-11% among likely voters with 44% undecided, bolstered by his superior fundraising ($1.2 million cash on hand vs. Larkin's $182,000 as of late March), yet traders price a tighter race amid Larkin's attacks on Moskowitz's staunch pro-Israel voting record—including opposition to conditioning aid—resonating with district Democrats amid Gaza tensions. High undecideds and potential low-turnout dynamics favor Larkin's energized activist base against Moskowitz's establishment incumbency; separation could come from June 12 filing deadline entrants, Q2 fundraising disclosures, debates, or high-profile endorsements.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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