David Crowley's late re-entry into the Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor, backed by an endorsement from outgoing Gov. Tony Evers after Sara Rodriguez's withdrawal amid campaign finance issues, consolidated establishment support and narrowed what had been Francesca Hong's polling lead. With the August 11 primary now complete and over 98% of votes counted, Crowley holds a slim edge at roughly 39.8% to Hong's 39.4%, while Kelda Roys and Joel Brennan trail far behind. This dynamic has driven overwhelming trader consensus on a sub-1% margin of victory, reflecting the race's extreme tightness and the limited remaining ballots. A wider gap remains possible only if final tallies from key urban or suburban counties shift substantially in one direction, though current returns make that unlikely.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्राउली <1% 99.3%
क्राउली 4–5% <1%
क्रॉउली 1–2% <1%
होंग 1–2% <1%
नया
$95,309 वॉल्यूम
नया
$95,309 वॉल्यूम
13 अग, 2026
होंग 6%+
<1%
हांग 5–6%
<1%
होंग 4–5%
<1%
होंग 3–4%
<1%
होंग 2–3%
<1%
होंग 1–2%
1%
हांग <1%
<1%
क्राउली <1%
99%
क्रॉउली 1–2%
1%
क्रॉली 2–3%
<1%
क्राउली 3–4%
1%
क्राउली 4–5%
1%
क्राउली 5–6%
<1%
क्राउली 6%+
<1%
क्राउली <1% 99.3%
क्राउली 4–5% <1%
क्रॉउली 1–2% <1%
होंग 1–2% <1%
नया
$95,309 वॉल्यूम
नया
$95,309 वॉल्यूम
13 अग, 2026
होंग 6%+
$12,563 वॉल्यूम
<1%
हांग 5–6%
$3,714 वॉल्यूम
<1%
होंग 4–5%
$3,377 वॉल्यूम
<1%
होंग 3–4%
$11,011 वॉल्यूम
<1%
होंग 2–3%
$2,738 वॉल्यूम
<1%
होंग 1–2%
$7,168 वॉल्यूम
1%
हांग <1%
$4,537 वॉल्यूम
<1%
क्राउली <1%
$18,623 वॉल्यूम
99%
क्रॉउली 1–2%
$9,815 वॉल्यूम
1%
क्रॉली 2–3%
$7,828 वॉल्यूम
<1%
क्राउली 3–4%
$4,234 वॉल्यूम
1%
क्राउली 4–5%
$2,286 वॉल्यूम
1%
क्राउली 5–6%
$3,312 वॉल्यूम
<1%
क्राउली 6%+
$4,102 वॉल्यूम
<1%
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.David Crowley's late re-entry into the Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor, backed by an endorsement from outgoing Gov. Tony Evers after Sara Rodriguez's withdrawal amid campaign finance issues, consolidated establishment support and narrowed what had been Francesca Hong's polling lead. With the August 11 primary now complete and over 98% of votes counted, Crowley holds a slim edge at roughly 39.8% to Hong's 39.4%, while Kelda Roys and Joel Brennan trail far behind. This dynamic has driven overwhelming trader consensus on a sub-1% margin of victory, reflecting the race's extreme tightness and the limited remaining ballots. A wider gap remains possible only if final tallies from key urban or suburban counties shift substantially in one direction, though current returns make that unlikely.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 11, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$95,309समाप्ति तिथि
12 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 11, 2026, 10:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.David Crowley's late re-entry into the Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor, backed by an endorsement from outgoing Gov. Tony Evers after Sara Rodriguez's withdrawal amid campaign finance issues, consolidated establishment support and narrowed what had been Francesca Hong's polling lead. With the August 11 primary now complete and over 98% of votes counted, Crowley holds a slim edge at roughly 39.8% to Hong's 39.4%, while Kelda Roys and Joel Brennan trail far behind. This dynamic has driven overwhelming trader consensus on a sub-1% margin of victory, reflecting the race's extreme tightness and the limited remaining ballots. A wider gap remains possible only if final tallies from key urban or suburban counties shift substantially in one direction, though current returns make that unlikely.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
वॉल्यूम
$95,309समाप्ति तिथि
12 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 11, 2026, 10:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...David Crowley's late re-entry into the Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor, backed by an endorsement from outgoing Gov. Tony Evers after Sara Rodriguez's withdrawal amid campaign finance issues, consolidated establishment support and narrowed what had been Francesca Hong's polling lead. With the August 11 primary now complete and over 98% of votes counted, Crowley holds a slim edge at roughly 39.8% to Hong's 39.4%, while Kelda Roys and Joel Brennan trail far behind. This dynamic has driven overwhelming trader consensus on a sub-1% margin of victory, reflecting the race's extreme tightness and the limited remaining ballots. A wider gap remains possible only if final tallies from key urban or suburban counties shift substantially in one direction, though current returns make that unlikely.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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