Matt Little’s decisive first-ballot win at the May 9 DFL endorsing convention, capturing 63 percent of delegate support against state Sen. Matt Klein and state Rep. Kaela Berg, has solidified his position as the consensus frontrunner in the August 11 Democratic primary for Minnesota’s open 2nd Congressional District seat. The endorsement from party delegates provides Little, a former state senator and Lakeville mayor, with organizational momentum and visibility that traders view as difficult for his rivals to overcome before the primary. Klein and Berg have both pledged to remain on the ballot, preserving a three-way contest, yet their lower delegate totals and more limited recent momentum have kept their implied probabilities in the mid- and single-digit ranges. The race remains open until voters decide in August, with any late shifts in endorsements or fundraising potentially altering the current trader assessment.