The retirement of long-serving Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen has created an open seat for the 2026 New Hampshire Senate contest, yet traders assign an 82% probability to the Democratic nominee. U.S. Representative Chris Pappas holds a commanding position in the September 8 Democratic primary and maintains narrow leads or statistical ties against Republican frontrunner former Senator John Sununu in recent general-election polling from the University of New Hampshire and Emerson College. New Hampshire’s modest Democratic lean, combined with Pappas’s established statewide profile and the Sununu family’s mixed recent electoral record, supports the current market consensus. Upcoming primary outcomes and fall campaign dynamics remain the primary variables that could shift implied probabilities before November.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$25,686 वॉल्यूम
$25,686 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेट
82%
रिपब्लिकन
18%
$25,686 वॉल्यूम
$25,686 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेट
$17,381 वॉल्यूम
82%
रिपब्लिकन
$8,304 वॉल्यूम
18%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The retirement of long-serving Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen has created an open seat for the 2026 New Hampshire Senate contest, yet traders assign an 82% probability to the Democratic nominee. U.S. Representative Chris Pappas holds a commanding position in the September 8 Democratic primary and maintains narrow leads or statistical ties against Republican frontrunner former Senator John Sununu in recent general-election polling from the University of New Hampshire and Emerson College. New Hampshire’s modest Democratic lean, combined with Pappas’s established statewide profile and the Sununu family’s mixed recent electoral record, supports the current market consensus. Upcoming primary outcomes and fall campaign dynamics remain the primary variables that could shift implied probabilities before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$25,686समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The retirement of long-serving Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen has created an open seat for the 2026 New Hampshire Senate contest, yet traders assign an 82% probability to the Democratic nominee. U.S. Representative Chris Pappas holds a commanding position in the September 8 Democratic primary and maintains narrow leads or statistical ties against Republican frontrunner former Senator John Sununu in recent general-election polling from the University of New Hampshire and Emerson College. New Hampshire’s modest Democratic lean, combined with Pappas’s established statewide profile and the Sununu family’s mixed recent electoral record, supports the current market consensus. Upcoming primary outcomes and fall campaign dynamics remain the primary variables that could shift implied probabilities before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
वॉल्यूम
$25,686समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The retirement of long-serving Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen has created an open seat for the 2026 New Hampshire Senate contest, yet traders assign an 82% probability to the Democratic nominee. U.S. Representative Chris Pappas holds a commanding position in the September 8 Democratic primary and maintains narrow leads or statistical ties against Republican frontrunner former Senator John Sununu in recent general-election polling from the University of New Hampshire and Emerson College. New Hampshire’s modest Democratic lean, combined with Pappas’s established statewide profile and the Sununu family’s mixed recent electoral record, supports the current market consensus. Upcoming primary outcomes and fall campaign dynamics remain the primary variables that could shift implied probabilities before November.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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