Incumbent Democrat Ed Markey maintains a commanding position in the trader consensus for Massachusetts's 2026 U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's longstanding Democratic dominance—last Republican Senate win in 1978—and Markey's strong 60% favorable rating from the Emerson College poll released May 7, 2026. That survey showed him leading primary challenger Rep. Seth Moulton 37%-32% among likely voters, with 29% undecided, underscoring his incumbency advantage despite age concerns at 80. No high-profile Republican has emerged, aligning with historical base rates of lopsided Democratic general election margins exceeding 20 points. Scenarios to shift odds include a primary upset weakening the nominee, Markey health issues or scandal, or a national Republican wave boosting turnout in this D+15 battleground. Democratic primary looms September 1, general November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयामैसाचुसेट्स सीनेट चुनाव विजेता
मैसाचुसेट्स सीनेट चुनाव विजेता
$12,986 वॉल्यूम
$12,986 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेट
95%
रिपब्लिकन
4%
$12,986 वॉल्यूम
$12,986 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेट
$8,382 वॉल्यूम
95%
रिपब्लिकन
$4,603 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Ed Markey maintains a commanding position in the trader consensus for Massachusetts's 2026 U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's longstanding Democratic dominance—last Republican Senate win in 1978—and Markey's strong 60% favorable rating from the Emerson College poll released May 7, 2026. That survey showed him leading primary challenger Rep. Seth Moulton 37%-32% among likely voters, with 29% undecided, underscoring his incumbency advantage despite age concerns at 80. No high-profile Republican has emerged, aligning with historical base rates of lopsided Democratic general election margins exceeding 20 points. Scenarios to shift odds include a primary upset weakening the nominee, Markey health issues or scandal, or a national Republican wave boosting turnout in this D+15 battleground. Democratic primary looms September 1, general November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$12,986समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Ed Markey maintains a commanding position in the trader consensus for Massachusetts's 2026 U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's longstanding Democratic dominance—last Republican Senate win in 1978—and Markey's strong 60% favorable rating from the Emerson College poll released May 7, 2026. That survey showed him leading primary challenger Rep. Seth Moulton 37%-32% among likely voters, with 29% undecided, underscoring his incumbency advantage despite age concerns at 80. No high-profile Republican has emerged, aligning with historical base rates of lopsided Democratic general election margins exceeding 20 points. Scenarios to shift odds include a primary upset weakening the nominee, Markey health issues or scandal, or a national Republican wave boosting turnout in this D+15 battleground. Democratic primary looms September 1, general November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
वॉल्यूम
$12,986समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Ed Markey maintains a commanding position in the trader consensus for Massachusetts's 2026 U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's longstanding Democratic dominance—last Republican Senate win in 1978—and Markey's strong 60% favorable rating from the Emerson College poll released May 7, 2026. That survey showed him leading primary challenger Rep. Seth Moulton 37%-32% among likely voters, with 29% undecided, underscoring his incumbency advantage despite age concerns at 80. No high-profile Republican has emerged, aligning with historical base rates of lopsided Democratic general election margins exceeding 20 points. Scenarios to shift odds include a primary upset weakening the nominee, Markey health issues or scandal, or a national Republican wave boosting turnout in this D+15 battleground. Democratic primary looms September 1, general November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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