Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic seat, anchored by its D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in Northeast Philadelphia and surrounding areas. Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle, seeking reelection in the November 3 general election, benefits from a 71% margin in 2024 and faces only nominal primary opposition ahead of the May 19 vote. The sole Republican primary candidate, Jessica Arriaga, lacks comparable fundraising or name recognition, aligning with Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating and historical base rates exceeding 95% reelection for similar incumbents. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as a Boyle health issue, major scandal, or national Republican surge could still alter the outcome before November.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाPA -02 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
PA -02 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$22,015 वॉल्यूम
$22,015 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
94%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
5%
$22,015 वॉल्यूम
$22,015 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$4,954 वॉल्यूम
94%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$17,061 वॉल्यूम
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic seat, anchored by its D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in Northeast Philadelphia and surrounding areas. Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle, seeking reelection in the November 3 general election, benefits from a 71% margin in 2024 and faces only nominal primary opposition ahead of the May 19 vote. The sole Republican primary candidate, Jessica Arriaga, lacks comparable fundraising or name recognition, aligning with Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating and historical base rates exceeding 95% reelection for similar incumbents. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as a Boyle health issue, major scandal, or national Republican surge could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$22,015समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic seat, anchored by its D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in Northeast Philadelphia and surrounding areas. Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle, seeking reelection in the November 3 general election, benefits from a 71% margin in 2024 and faces only nominal primary opposition ahead of the May 19 vote. The sole Republican primary candidate, Jessica Arriaga, lacks comparable fundraising or name recognition, aligning with Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating and historical base rates exceeding 95% reelection for similar incumbents. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as a Boyle health issue, major scandal, or national Republican surge could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$22,015समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic seat, anchored by its D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in Northeast Philadelphia and surrounding areas. Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle, seeking reelection in the November 3 general election, benefits from a 71% margin in 2024 and faces only nominal primary opposition ahead of the May 19 vote. The sole Republican primary candidate, Jessica Arriaga, lacks comparable fundraising or name recognition, aligning with Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating and historical base rates exceeding 95% reelection for similar incumbents. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as a Boyle health issue, major scandal, or national Republican surge could still alter the outcome before November.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न