Incumbent Rep. Ted Lieu's dominant fundraising and historical dominance in California's 36th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+21 partisan voting index, underpin trader consensus pricing Democrats at 93.5% to win the November 3 general election. Lieu captured 68.7% in the 2024 general and 68.5% in its primary against token opposition, reflecting the coastal Los Angeles area's heavy Democratic voter registration and turnout. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, Lieu's challengers—primarily low-funded Democrats like Rustin Knudtson and Republicans such as Melissa Toomim—pose minimal threat. Scenarios to upend this include a surprise primary upset, personal scandal, or overwhelming national Republican wave, though structural barriers make these unlikely.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA-36 House Election Winner
CA-36 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,296 वॉल्यूम
93%
Republican Party
$4,386 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Ted Lieu's dominant fundraising and historical dominance in California's 36th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+21 partisan voting index, underpin trader consensus pricing Democrats at 93.5% to win the November 3 general election. Lieu captured 68.7% in the 2024 general and 68.5% in its primary against token opposition, reflecting the coastal Los Angeles area's heavy Democratic voter registration and turnout. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, Lieu's challengers—primarily low-funded Democrats like Rustin Knudtson and Republicans such as Melissa Toomim—pose minimal threat. Scenarios to upend this include a surprise primary upset, personal scandal, or overwhelming national Republican wave, though structural barriers make these unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$9,683समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Ted Lieu's dominant fundraising and historical dominance in California's 36th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+21 partisan voting index, underpin trader consensus pricing Democrats at 93.5% to win the November 3 general election. Lieu captured 68.7% in the 2024 general and 68.5% in its primary against token opposition, reflecting the coastal Los Angeles area's heavy Democratic voter registration and turnout. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, Lieu's challengers—primarily low-funded Democrats like Rustin Knudtson and Republicans such as Melissa Toomim—pose minimal threat. Scenarios to upend this include a surprise primary upset, personal scandal, or overwhelming national Republican wave, though structural barriers make these unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$9,683समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Ted Lieu's dominant fundraising and historical dominance in California's 36th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+21 partisan voting index, underpin trader consensus pricing Democrats at 93.5% to win the November 3 general election. Lieu captured 68.7% in the 2024 general and 68.5% in its primary against token opposition, reflecting the coastal Los Angeles area's heavy Democratic voter registration and turnout. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, Lieu's challengers—primarily low-funded Democrats like Rustin Knudtson and Republicans such as Melissa Toomim—pose minimal threat. Scenarios to upend this include a surprise primary upset, personal scandal, or overwhelming national Republican wave, though structural barriers make these unlikely.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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