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icon for इनमें से कौन से डेमोक्रेट राष्ट्रपति पद के लिए दौड़ की घोषणा करने वाले पहले व्यक्ति होंगे?

इनमें से कौन से डेमोक्रेट राष्ट्रपति पद के लिए दौड़ की घोषणा करने वाले पहले व्यक्ति होंगे?

icon for इनमें से कौन से डेमोक्रेट राष्ट्रपति पद के लिए दौड़ की घोषणा करने वाले पहले व्यक्ति होंगे?

इनमें से कौन से डेमोक्रेट राष्ट्रपति पद के लिए दौड़ की घोषणा करने वाले पहले व्यक्ति होंगे?

गैविन न्यूज़ोम 46%

अलेक्ज़ांड्रिया ओकासियो-कोर्टेज़ 46%

जॉन ओसोफ 46%

कमला हैरिस 46%

Polymarket
नया

गैविन न्यूज़ोम 46%

अलेक्ज़ांड्रिया ओकासियो-कोर्टेज़ 46%

जॉन ओसोफ 46%

कमला हैरिस 46%

Polymarket
नया

गैविन न्यूज़ोम

$0 वॉल्यूम

46%

अलेक्ज़ांड्रिया ओकासियो-कोर्टेज़

$0 वॉल्यूम

46%

जॉन ओसोफ

$0 वॉल्यूम

46%

कमला हैरिस

$0 वॉल्यूम

46%

जोश शापिरो

$0 वॉल्यूम

46%

पीट बूटिजेज़

$0 वॉल्यूम

46%

जॉन स्टीवर्ट

$0 वॉल्यूम

46%

एंडी बेशियर

$0 वॉल्यूम

46%

रहम ईमानुएल

$0 वॉल्यूम

46%

रो खन्ना

$0 वॉल्यूम

46%

स्टीफ़न ए. स्मिथ

$0 वॉल्यूम

46%

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith. An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No prominent Democrat has formally announced a 2028 presidential bid as of mid-2026, leaving "Other" with the narrowest edge in trader consensus. Kamala Harris has stated she is "thinking about" another run, while Gavin Newsom has positioned himself through policy moves and public statements amid a federal probe, yet both have stopped short of launching campaigns. Other potential contenders including Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, and Jon Ossoff have engaged in early outreach and polling without crossing into formal announcements. This shared reluctance to move first, combined with attention on the 2026 midterms and historical patterns of post-election timing, sustains the tight spread among listed options. Developments such as explicit statements, staff hires, or fundraising launches by any single figure could quickly shift probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.

The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.

An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.

If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$0
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2027
बाज़ार खुला
Jul 9, 2026, 9:34 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith. An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith. An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No prominent Democrat has formally announced a 2028 presidential bid as of mid-2026, leaving "Other" with the narrowest edge in trader consensus. Kamala Harris has stated she is "thinking about" another run, while Gavin Newsom has positioned himself through policy moves and public statements amid a federal probe, yet both have stopped short of launching campaigns. Other potential contenders including Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, and Jon Ossoff have engaged in early outreach and polling without crossing into formal announcements. This shared reluctance to move first, combined with attention on the 2026 midterms and historical patterns of post-election timing, sustains the tight spread among listed options. Developments such as explicit statements, staff hires, or fundraising launches by any single figure could quickly shift probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.

The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.

An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.

If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$0
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2027
बाज़ार खुला
Jul 9, 2026, 9:34 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith. An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"इनमें से कौन से डेमोक्रेट राष्ट्रपति पद के लिए दौड़ की घोषणा करने वाले पहले व्यक्ति होंगे?" Polymarket पर 11 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, गैविन न्यूज़ोम 46% (46¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद अलेक्ज़ांड्रिया ओकासियो-कोर्टेज़ 46% पर है।

"इनमें से कौन से डेमोक्रेट राष्ट्रपति पद के लिए दौड़ की घोषणा करने वाले पहले व्यक्ति होंगे?" Polymarket पर एक नवनिर्मित बाज़ार है, Jul 9, 2026 को लॉन्च किया गया। एक शुरुआती बाज़ार के रूप में, यह पहले ट्रेडरों में शामिल होने और संभावनाएँ सेट करने और बाज़ार के शुरुआती मूल्य संकेत स्थापित करने का आपका अवसर है। आप समय के साथ बाज़ार की गति बढ़ने पर वॉल्यूम और ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि को ट्रैक करने के लिए इस पेज को बुकमार्क भी कर सकते हैं।

"इनमें से कौन से डेमोक्रेट राष्ट्रपति पद के लिए दौड़ की घोषणा करने वाले पहले व्यक्ति होंगे?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 11 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"इनमें से कौन से डेमोक्रेट राष्ट्रपति पद के लिए दौड़ की घोषणा करने वाले पहले व्यक्ति होंगे?" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "गैविन न्यूज़ोम" 46% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "अलेक्ज़ांड्रिया ओकासियो-कोर्टेज़" 46% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"इनमें से कौन से डेमोक्रेट राष्ट्रपति पद के लिए दौड़ की घोषणा करने वाले पहले व्यक्ति होंगे?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।