Aisha Wahab leads the CA-14 special election market at 83.5% following her 53.1%-46.9% runoff victory over Melissa Hernandez on August 18, 2026, which was called two days later. The state senator advanced from both June primaries with double-digit margins in the heavily Democratic East Bay district vacated by Eric Swalwell. Hernandez closed the gap with heavy outside spending from pro-Israel groups but could not overcome Wahab’s grassroots support and name recognition. Wahab now serves as incumbent through January and enters the November general election—where the two Democrats face off again under new district lines—as the clear frontrunner, consistent with trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$20,258 वॉल्यूम
$20,258 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
आइशा वहाब
84%
मेलिसा हर्नांडेज़
16%
$20,258 वॉल्यूम
$20,258 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
आइशा वहाब
$12,175 वॉल्यूम
84%
मेलिसा हर्नांडेज़
$8,083 वॉल्यूम
16%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Aisha Wahab leads the CA-14 special election market at 83.5% following her 53.1%-46.9% runoff victory over Melissa Hernandez on August 18, 2026, which was called two days later. The state senator advanced from both June primaries with double-digit margins in the heavily Democratic East Bay district vacated by Eric Swalwell. Hernandez closed the gap with heavy outside spending from pro-Israel groups but could not overcome Wahab’s grassroots support and name recognition. Wahab now serves as incumbent through January and enters the November general election—where the two Democrats face off again under new district lines—as the clear frontrunner, consistent with trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 9, 2026, 10:05 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$20,258समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 9, 2026, 10:05 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Aisha Wahab leads the CA-14 special election market at 83.5% following her 53.1%-46.9% runoff victory over Melissa Hernandez on August 18, 2026, which was called two days later. The state senator advanced from both June primaries with double-digit margins in the heavily Democratic East Bay district vacated by Eric Swalwell. Hernandez closed the gap with heavy outside spending from pro-Israel groups but could not overcome Wahab’s grassroots support and name recognition. Wahab now serves as incumbent through January and enters the November general election—where the two Democrats face off again under new district lines—as the clear frontrunner, consistent with trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$20,258समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 9, 2026, 10:05 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Aisha Wahab leads the CA-14 special election market at 83.5% following her 53.1%-46.9% runoff victory over Melissa Hernandez on August 18, 2026, which was called two days later. The state senator advanced from both June primaries with double-digit margins in the heavily Democratic East Bay district vacated by Eric Swalwell. Hernandez closed the gap with heavy outside spending from pro-Israel groups but could not overcome Wahab’s grassroots support and name recognition. Wahab now serves as incumbent through January and enters the November general election—where the two Democrats face off again under new district lines—as the clear frontrunner, consistent with trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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