Several 2026 Senate contests remain highly competitive, with forecasters such as the Cook Political Report rating seven seats as toss-ups and additional races in the lean category. Key battlegrounds include Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire, Ohio, and Texas, where recent polling averages show margins under 3 points in most cases and several within 1-2 points. Democrats benefit from a favorable national environment, including Democratic leads of 6-12 points on the generic ballot and President Trump's job approval below 40 percent amid voter concerns over prices and foreign policy. These dynamics have prompted rating shifts, such as Cook moving Texas and Iowa to toss-up status and New Hampshire to toss-up. With roughly six weeks until Election Day, heavy advertising, candidate consolidation after primaries, and turnout efforts in these states will likely determine which races finish within 5 percent.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$67,250 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
टेक्सास
77%
Kansas
71%
अलास्का
70%
आयोवा
70%
मिशिगन
58%
ओहायो (विशेष)
56%
नेब्रास्का
45%
South Carolina
44%
नॉर्थ कैरोलिना
29%
मिनेसोटा
25%
मेन
45%
जॉर्जिया
19%
फ्लोरिडा (विशेष)
15%
न्यू मैक्सिको
13%
मोंटाना
11%
वर्जीनिया
5%
कोलोराडो
3%
न्यू हैम्पशायर
55%
$67,250 वॉल्यूम
टेक्सास
$7,599 वॉल्यूम
77%
Kansas
$690 वॉल्यूम
71%
अलास्का
$3,285 वॉल्यूम
70%
आयोवा
$5,907 वॉल्यूम
70%
मिशिगन
$3,054 वॉल्यूम
58%
ओहायो (विशेष)
$4,263 वॉल्यूम
56%
नेब्रास्का
$3,887 वॉल्यूम
45%
South Carolina
$109 वॉल्यूम
44%
नॉर्थ कैरोलिना
$5,817 वॉल्यूम
29%
मिनेसोटा
$10,459 वॉल्यूम
25%
मेन
$1,119 वॉल्यूम
45%
जॉर्जिया
$2,067 वॉल्यूम
19%
फ्लोरिडा (विशेष)
$2,730 वॉल्यूम
15%
न्यू मैक्सिको
$6,675 वॉल्यूम
13%
मोंटाना
$3,190 वॉल्यूम
11%
वर्जीनिया
$1,344 वॉल्यूम
5%
कोलोराडो
$2,625 वॉल्यूम
3%
न्यू हैम्पशायर
$2,428 वॉल्यूम
55%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several 2026 Senate contests remain highly competitive, with forecasters such as the Cook Political Report rating seven seats as toss-ups and additional races in the lean category. Key battlegrounds include Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire, Ohio, and Texas, where recent polling averages show margins under 3 points in most cases and several within 1-2 points. Democrats benefit from a favorable national environment, including Democratic leads of 6-12 points on the generic ballot and President Trump's job approval below 40 percent amid voter concerns over prices and foreign policy. These dynamics have prompted rating shifts, such as Cook moving Texas and Iowa to toss-up status and New Hampshire to toss-up. With roughly six weeks until Election Day, heavy advertising, candidate consolidation after primaries, and turnout efforts in these states will likely determine which races finish within 5 percent.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$67,250समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several 2026 Senate contests remain highly competitive, with forecasters such as the Cook Political Report rating seven seats as toss-ups and additional races in the lean category. Key battlegrounds include Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire, Ohio, and Texas, where recent polling averages show margins under 3 points in most cases and several within 1-2 points. Democrats benefit from a favorable national environment, including Democratic leads of 6-12 points on the generic ballot and President Trump's job approval below 40 percent amid voter concerns over prices and foreign policy. These dynamics have prompted rating shifts, such as Cook moving Texas and Iowa to toss-up status and New Hampshire to toss-up. With roughly six weeks until Election Day, heavy advertising, candidate consolidation after primaries, and turnout efforts in these states will likely determine which races finish within 5 percent.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$67,250समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Several 2026 Senate contests remain highly competitive, with forecasters such as the Cook Political Report rating seven seats as toss-ups and additional races in the lean category. Key battlegrounds include Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire, Ohio, and Texas, where recent polling averages show margins under 3 points in most cases and several within 1-2 points. Democrats benefit from a favorable national environment, including Democratic leads of 6-12 points on the generic ballot and President Trump's job approval below 40 percent amid voter concerns over prices and foreign policy. These dynamics have prompted rating shifts, such as Cook moving Texas and Iowa to toss-up status and New Hampshire to toss-up. With roughly six weeks until Election Day, heavy advertising, candidate consolidation after primaries, and turnout efforts in these states will likely determine which races finish within 5 percent.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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