Recent polling and forecasts show multiple 2026 Senate contests in Republican-held seats, including Texas, Ohio, Maine, Michigan, Alaska, and Iowa, tightening into or near single-digit margins amid President Trump’s sub-40% approval ratings tied to persistent inflation, high energy costs, and trade frictions. Democratic candidates have posted gains in these states, with several surveys placing races within 5 points or less, while a handful of Democratic-held seats such as Minnesota also appear closer than expected. Cook Political Report currently rates seven races as toss-ups, reflecting an expanded battlefield driven by the national environment rather than candidate-specific events. With seven weeks until the November 3 election and heavy ad spending underway, late shifts in turnout or additional polling could alter which specific contests finish within the 5% threshold.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$64,438 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
टेक्सास
83%
अलास्का
72%
Kansas
68%
मिशिगन
65%
आयोवा
62%
ओहायो (विशेष)
56%
नेब्रास्का
46%
मेन
44%
न्यू हैम्पशायर
38%
South Carolina
43%
नॉर्थ कैरोलिना
28%
फ्लोरिडा (विशेष)
25%
जॉर्जिया
20%
मिनेसोटा
20%
न्यू मैक्सिको
13%
मोंटाना
9%
कोलोराडो
4%
वर्जीनिया
3%
$64,438 वॉल्यूम
टेक्सास
$7,132 वॉल्यूम
83%
अलास्का
$2,789 वॉल्यूम
72%
Kansas
$556 वॉल्यूम
68%
मिशिगन
$2,743 वॉल्यूम
65%
आयोवा
$5,657 वॉल्यूम
62%
ओहायो (विशेष)
$3,967 वॉल्यूम
56%
नेब्रास्का
$3,719 वॉल्यूम
46%
मेन
$1,119 वॉल्यूम
44%
न्यू हैम्पशायर
$2,402 वॉल्यूम
38%
South Carolina
$109 वॉल्यूम
43%
नॉर्थ कैरोलिना
$5,817 वॉल्यूम
28%
फ्लोरिडा (विशेष)
$2,450 वॉल्यूम
25%
जॉर्जिया
$2,057 वॉल्यूम
20%
मिनेसोटा
$10,319 वॉल्यूम
20%
न्यू मैक्सिको
$6,665 वॉल्यूम
13%
मोंटाना
$2,990 वॉल्यूम
9%
कोलोराडो
$2,599 वॉल्यूम
4%
वर्जीनिया
$1,344 वॉल्यूम
3%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling and forecasts show multiple 2026 Senate contests in Republican-held seats, including Texas, Ohio, Maine, Michigan, Alaska, and Iowa, tightening into or near single-digit margins amid President Trump’s sub-40% approval ratings tied to persistent inflation, high energy costs, and trade frictions. Democratic candidates have posted gains in these states, with several surveys placing races within 5 points or less, while a handful of Democratic-held seats such as Minnesota also appear closer than expected. Cook Political Report currently rates seven races as toss-ups, reflecting an expanded battlefield driven by the national environment rather than candidate-specific events. With seven weeks until the November 3 election and heavy ad spending underway, late shifts in turnout or additional polling could alter which specific contests finish within the 5% threshold.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$64,438समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling and forecasts show multiple 2026 Senate contests in Republican-held seats, including Texas, Ohio, Maine, Michigan, Alaska, and Iowa, tightening into or near single-digit margins amid President Trump’s sub-40% approval ratings tied to persistent inflation, high energy costs, and trade frictions. Democratic candidates have posted gains in these states, with several surveys placing races within 5 points or less, while a handful of Democratic-held seats such as Minnesota also appear closer than expected. Cook Political Report currently rates seven races as toss-ups, reflecting an expanded battlefield driven by the national environment rather than candidate-specific events. With seven weeks until the November 3 election and heavy ad spending underway, late shifts in turnout or additional polling could alter which specific contests finish within the 5% threshold.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$64,438समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Recent polling and forecasts show multiple 2026 Senate contests in Republican-held seats, including Texas, Ohio, Maine, Michigan, Alaska, and Iowa, tightening into or near single-digit margins amid President Trump’s sub-40% approval ratings tied to persistent inflation, high energy costs, and trade frictions. Democratic candidates have posted gains in these states, with several surveys placing races within 5 points or less, while a handful of Democratic-held seats such as Minnesota also appear closer than expected. Cook Political Report currently rates seven races as toss-ups, reflecting an expanded battlefield driven by the national environment rather than candidate-specific events. With seven weeks until the November 3 election and heavy ad spending underway, late shifts in turnout or additional polling could alter which specific contests finish within the 5% threshold.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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