Several 2026 Senate contests rate as toss-ups or leans by forecasters including Cook Political Report, with recent polling averages showing single-digit or sub-5-point margins in Ohio, Alaska, Maine, Texas, Iowa, Michigan, and North Carolina. Open Republican seats in North Carolina and Iowa, plus Democratic opens in Michigan and New Hampshire, plus incumbent Susan Collins in Maine, attract heavy spending and candidate recruitment because state partisan leans and 2024 presidential results create narrow paths for either party. Democratic generic-ballot leads and primary outcomes, such as Abdul El-Sayed’s narrow Michigan win, have kept these races fluid, while national economic and approval trends continue to shape turnout expectations ahead of November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयानया
3 नव, 2026
Michigan
25%
Maine
23%
Texas
22%
Iowa
22%
Ohio (Special)
19%
Alaska
18%
Nebraska
16%
New Hampshire
15%
Minnesota
12%
North Carolina
10%
Georgia
9%
Florida (Special)
5%
Colorado
4%
New Mexico
3%
Montana
3%
Virginia
2%
$0.00 वॉल्यूम
Michigan
$0 वॉल्यूम
25%
Maine
$0 वॉल्यूम
23%
Texas
$0 वॉल्यूम
22%
Iowa
$0 वॉल्यूम
22%
Ohio (Special)
$0 वॉल्यूम
19%
Alaska
$0 वॉल्यूम
18%
Nebraska
$0 वॉल्यूम
16%
New Hampshire
$0 वॉल्यूम
15%
Minnesota
$0 वॉल्यूम
12%
North Carolina
$0 वॉल्यूम
10%
Georgia
$0 वॉल्यूम
9%
Florida (Special)
$0 वॉल्यूम
5%
Colorado
$0 वॉल्यूम
4%
New Mexico
$0 वॉल्यूम
3%
Montana
$0 वॉल्यूम
3%
Virginia
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several 2026 Senate contests rate as toss-ups or leans by forecasters including Cook Political Report, with recent polling averages showing single-digit or sub-5-point margins in Ohio, Alaska, Maine, Texas, Iowa, Michigan, and North Carolina. Open Republican seats in North Carolina and Iowa, plus Democratic opens in Michigan and New Hampshire, plus incumbent Susan Collins in Maine, attract heavy spending and candidate recruitment because state partisan leans and 2024 presidential results create narrow paths for either party. Democratic generic-ballot leads and primary outcomes, such as Abdul El-Sayed’s narrow Michigan win, have kept these races fluid, while national economic and approval trends continue to shape turnout expectations ahead of November 3.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 21, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 21, 2026, 4:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several 2026 Senate contests rate as toss-ups or leans by forecasters including Cook Political Report, with recent polling averages showing single-digit or sub-5-point margins in Ohio, Alaska, Maine, Texas, Iowa, Michigan, and North Carolina. Open Republican seats in North Carolina and Iowa, plus Democratic opens in Michigan and New Hampshire, plus incumbent Susan Collins in Maine, attract heavy spending and candidate recruitment because state partisan leans and 2024 presidential results create narrow paths for either party. Democratic generic-ballot leads and primary outcomes, such as Abdul El-Sayed’s narrow Michigan win, have kept these races fluid, while national economic and approval trends continue to shape turnout expectations ahead of November 3.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 21, 2026, 4:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Several 2026 Senate contests rate as toss-ups or leans by forecasters including Cook Political Report, with recent polling averages showing single-digit or sub-5-point margins in Ohio, Alaska, Maine, Texas, Iowa, Michigan, and North Carolina. Open Republican seats in North Carolina and Iowa, plus Democratic opens in Michigan and New Hampshire, plus incumbent Susan Collins in Maine, attract heavy spending and candidate recruitment because state partisan leans and 2024 presidential results create narrow paths for either party. Democratic generic-ballot leads and primary outcomes, such as Abdul El-Sayed’s narrow Michigan win, have kept these races fluid, while national economic and approval trends continue to shape turnout expectations ahead of November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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