Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar secured the Minnesota DFL endorsement for the MN-05 Democratic primary on May 11, solidifying trader consensus at 84% implied probability of victory ahead of the August 11 contest. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a DNC member and DFL officer, withdrew her bid for the party endorsement during the convention speech but pledged to continue to the primary, holding steady at 14.5%. Omar's strong incumbency advantage, prior reelection successes, and unified party support outweigh Reeves' grassroots appeal amid limited recent polling. No major shifts reported in the past week, with focus now on fundraising and voter turnout in this Minneapolis-based safe Democratic district.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMN -05 डेमोक्रेटिक प्राइमरी विनर
MN -05 डेमोक्रेटिक प्राइमरी विनर
$24,306 वॉल्यूम
$24,306 वॉल्यूम
11 अग, 2026
इल्हान ओमर
84%
लैटोन्या रीव्स
14%
$24,306 वॉल्यूम
$24,306 वॉल्यूम
11 अग, 2026
इल्हान ओमर
$20,096 वॉल्यूम
84%
लैटोन्या रीव्स
$4,210 वॉल्यूम
14%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar secured the Minnesota DFL endorsement for the MN-05 Democratic primary on May 11, solidifying trader consensus at 84% implied probability of victory ahead of the August 11 contest. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a DNC member and DFL officer, withdrew her bid for the party endorsement during the convention speech but pledged to continue to the primary, holding steady at 14.5%. Omar's strong incumbency advantage, prior reelection successes, and unified party support outweigh Reeves' grassroots appeal amid limited recent polling. No major shifts reported in the past week, with focus now on fundraising and voter turnout in this Minneapolis-based safe Democratic district.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$24,306समाप्ति तिथि
11 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar secured the Minnesota DFL endorsement for the MN-05 Democratic primary on May 11, solidifying trader consensus at 84% implied probability of victory ahead of the August 11 contest. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a DNC member and DFL officer, withdrew her bid for the party endorsement during the convention speech but pledged to continue to the primary, holding steady at 14.5%. Omar's strong incumbency advantage, prior reelection successes, and unified party support outweigh Reeves' grassroots appeal amid limited recent polling. No major shifts reported in the past week, with focus now on fundraising and voter turnout in this Minneapolis-based safe Democratic district.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$24,306समाप्ति तिथि
11 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar secured the Minnesota DFL endorsement for the MN-05 Democratic primary on May 11, solidifying trader consensus at 84% implied probability of victory ahead of the August 11 contest. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a DNC member and DFL officer, withdrew her bid for the party endorsement during the convention speech but pledged to continue to the primary, holding steady at 14.5%. Omar's strong incumbency advantage, prior reelection successes, and unified party support outweigh Reeves' grassroots appeal amid limited recent polling. No major shifts reported in the past week, with focus now on fundraising and voter turnout in this Minneapolis-based safe Democratic district.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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