The Ongo Niua 17 by-election, scheduled for October 8, 2026, stems from the Supreme Court’s invalidation of Lataifaingata’a Tangimana’s 2025 general election victory on bribery grounds involving fish distribution to voters. Five candidates—‘Aisake Hoatatau Finau, ‘Aminiasi Tonga Pau’u Tangimana, Paea ‘i Vaha Filimoehala, Sione Tuifio Hui, and Sitiveni Selui—registered after nominations closed in early September, each drawing primary support from distinct villages across the small Niuas constituency. Trader consensus prices remain tightly clustered near even odds because local loyalties fragment the electorate without a dominant frontrunner, and limited public polling or campaign data has yet to clarify relative strengths. Village-based turnout patterns, any late endorsements by local leaders, or fresh developments tied to the prior bribery ruling could shift probabilities ahead of polling.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया'Aisake Hoatatau Finau 47%
Paea 'i Vaha Filimoehala 44%
सियोन तूइफियो हुई 44%
सिटिवेनी सेलुई 44%
'Aisake Hoatatau Finau
47%
Paea 'i Vaha Filimoehala
44%
सियोन तूइफियो हुई
44%
सिटिवेनी सेलुई
44%
'अमिनियासी टोंगा पौ'उ टैंगिमाना
43%
'Aisake Hoatatau Finau 47%
Paea 'i Vaha Filimoehala 44%
सियोन तूइफियो हुई 44%
सिटिवेनी सेलुई 44%
'Aisake Hoatatau Finau
47%
Paea 'i Vaha Filimoehala
44%
सियोन तूइफियो हुई
44%
सिटिवेनी सेलुई
44%
'अमिनियासी टोंगा पौ'उ टैंगिमाना
43%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.
If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.
If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The Ongo Niua 17 by-election, scheduled for October 8, 2026, stems from the Supreme Court’s invalidation of Lataifaingata’a Tangimana’s 2025 general election victory on bribery grounds involving fish distribution to voters. Five candidates—‘Aisake Hoatatau Finau, ‘Aminiasi Tonga Pau’u Tangimana, Paea ‘i Vaha Filimoehala, Sione Tuifio Hui, and Sitiveni Selui—registered after nominations closed in early September, each drawing primary support from distinct villages across the small Niuas constituency. Trader consensus prices remain tightly clustered near even odds because local loyalties fragment the electorate without a dominant frontrunner, and limited public polling or campaign data has yet to clarify relative strengths. Village-based turnout patterns, any late endorsements by local leaders, or fresh developments tied to the prior bribery ruling could shift probabilities ahead of polling.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न