The Tongatapu 2 by-election, set for 8 October 2026, features nine registered candidates after the Supreme Court upheld bribery and campaign spending convictions against the 2025 winner Semisi Sika, vacating the seat and barring him from contesting for five years. Trader prices reflect a fragmented field, with Sione Harvard Tupouniua, ‘Olioni Manoa, ‘Ilaisa Lepolo Taunisila, and Malakai Koloamatangi clustered near the top amid low differentiation in early positioning. Recent withdrawals by three prospective entrants to consolidate behind Koloamatangi, combined with three women candidates and the absence of the prior runner-up, have kept implied probabilities tightly bunched. No public polling or major endorsements have yet emerged to separate contenders ahead of the vote, leaving outcomes dependent on local turnout patterns and last-minute alliances in the single-member constituency.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाएल्विन लाफू सिक्का 31%
सियोन हार्वर्ड टुपोनुआ 28%
लै पासी 26%
मौनु यूएसिले 25%
एल्विन लाफू सिक्का
31%
सियोन हार्वर्ड टुपोनुआ
28%
लै पासी
26%
मौनु यूएसिले
25%
'ओलियोनी मानोआ
24%
मलाकाई माताफोनुआफो'उ ओफा की वकावाका कोलोअमतांगी
23%
मेले टेसिवी 'अमनाकी
23%
'इलैसा लेपोलो तौनिसिला
22%
सामिउला वेआ
22%
एल्विन लाफू सिक्का 31%
सियोन हार्वर्ड टुपोनुआ 28%
लै पासी 26%
मौनु यूएसिले 25%
एल्विन लाफू सिक्का
31%
सियोन हार्वर्ड टुपोनुआ
28%
लै पासी
26%
मौनु यूएसिले
25%
'ओलियोनी मानोआ
24%
मलाकाई माताफोनुआफो'उ ओफा की वकावाका कोलोअमतांगी
23%
मेले टेसिवी 'अमनाकी
23%
'इलैसा लेपोलो तौनिसिला
22%
सामिउला वेआ
22%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.
If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 9, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.
If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The Tongatapu 2 by-election, set for 8 October 2026, features nine registered candidates after the Supreme Court upheld bribery and campaign spending convictions against the 2025 winner Semisi Sika, vacating the seat and barring him from contesting for five years. Trader prices reflect a fragmented field, with Sione Harvard Tupouniua, ‘Olioni Manoa, ‘Ilaisa Lepolo Taunisila, and Malakai Koloamatangi clustered near the top amid low differentiation in early positioning. Recent withdrawals by three prospective entrants to consolidate behind Koloamatangi, combined with three women candidates and the absence of the prior runner-up, have kept implied probabilities tightly bunched. No public polling or major endorsements have yet emerged to separate contenders ahead of the vote, leaving outcomes dependent on local turnout patterns and last-minute alliances in the single-member constituency.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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