OpenAI's delayed path to a public offering continues to anchor trader expectations, with the 67.5% probability on no IPO by December 31, 2026, driven by the company's recent for-profit restructuring and emphasis on controlled artificial general intelligence development over rapid capital raises. Leadership has prioritized governance adjustments and long-term capability milestones, such as advanced large language model benchmarks, rather than immediate listing requirements that could expose strategic plans to public scrutiny. Private funding rounds have sustained high valuations without triggering IPO thresholds, while regulatory focus on AI safety and competition from labs like Anthropic and Google DeepMind further supports extended private status. Upcoming catalysts include potential 2026 board decisions or partnership expansions that could shift timelines, though historical patterns for similar AI firms indicate multi-year preparation periods before market entry.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक कोई IPO नहीं 68%
1.5T+ (या अधिक) 8.7%
1.25T–1.5T 3.7%
500–750B 3.5%
$1,638,927 वॉल्यूम
$1,638,927 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
<500B
1%
500–750B
3%
$750B–$1T
2%
1T–1.25T
3%
1.25T–1.5T
4%
1.5T+ (या अधिक)
9%
31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक कोई IPO नहीं
68%
31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक कोई IPO नहीं 68%
1.5T+ (या अधिक) 8.7%
1.25T–1.5T 3.7%
500–750B 3.5%
$1,638,927 वॉल्यूम
$1,638,927 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
<500B
$266,172 वॉल्यूम
1%
500–750B
$146,331 वॉल्यूम
3%
$750B–$1T
$141,047 वॉल्यूम
2%
1T–1.25T
$182,630 वॉल्यूम
3%
1.25T–1.5T
$496,527 वॉल्यूम
4%
1.5T+ (या अधिक)
$101,032 वॉल्यूम
9%
31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक कोई IPO नहीं
$305,188 वॉल्यूम
68%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI's delayed path to a public offering continues to anchor trader expectations, with the 67.5% probability on no IPO by December 31, 2026, driven by the company's recent for-profit restructuring and emphasis on controlled artificial general intelligence development over rapid capital raises. Leadership has prioritized governance adjustments and long-term capability milestones, such as advanced large language model benchmarks, rather than immediate listing requirements that could expose strategic plans to public scrutiny. Private funding rounds have sustained high valuations without triggering IPO thresholds, while regulatory focus on AI safety and competition from labs like Anthropic and Google DeepMind further supports extended private status. Upcoming catalysts include potential 2026 board decisions or partnership expansions that could shift timelines, though historical patterns for similar AI firms indicate multi-year preparation periods before market entry.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,638,927समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI's delayed path to a public offering continues to anchor trader expectations, with the 67.5% probability on no IPO by December 31, 2026, driven by the company's recent for-profit restructuring and emphasis on controlled artificial general intelligence development over rapid capital raises. Leadership has prioritized governance adjustments and long-term capability milestones, such as advanced large language model benchmarks, rather than immediate listing requirements that could expose strategic plans to public scrutiny. Private funding rounds have sustained high valuations without triggering IPO thresholds, while regulatory focus on AI safety and competition from labs like Anthropic and Google DeepMind further supports extended private status. Upcoming catalysts include potential 2026 board decisions or partnership expansions that could shift timelines, though historical patterns for similar AI firms indicate multi-year preparation periods before market entry.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
वॉल्यूम
$1,638,927समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI's delayed path to a public offering continues to anchor trader expectations, with the 67.5% probability on no IPO by December 31, 2026, driven by the company's recent for-profit restructuring and emphasis on controlled artificial general intelligence development over rapid capital raises. Leadership has prioritized governance adjustments and long-term capability milestones, such as advanced large language model benchmarks, rather than immediate listing requirements that could expose strategic plans to public scrutiny. Private funding rounds have sustained high valuations without triggering IPO thresholds, while regulatory focus on AI safety and competition from labs like Anthropic and Google DeepMind further supports extended private status. Upcoming catalysts include potential 2026 board decisions or partnership expansions that could shift timelines, though historical patterns for similar AI firms indicate multi-year preparation periods before market entry.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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