The People's Bank of China has held its one-year loan prime rate steady at 3.00% and the five-year rate at 3.50% through twelve consecutive months ending in May 2026, aligning with trader expectations for no change ahead of the June 22 announcement. Resilient economic growth data has reduced urgency for further easing, while authorities have prioritized targeted liquidity tools, reserve requirement adjustments, and fiscal support instead of benchmark rate shifts. This policy continuity, combined with assessments of external risks such as energy price volatility, underpins the 97.1% implied probability for unchanged rates. A surprise shift toward easing or tightening would require significant deterioration in growth indicators or an abrupt policy pivot before month-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाकोई बदलाव नहीं 97.1%
घटाव 1.8%
वृद्धि <1%
वृद्धि
<1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
97%
घटाव
2%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 97.1%
घटाव 1.8%
वृद्धि <1%
वृद्धि
<1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
97%
घटाव
2%
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 1, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The People's Bank of China has held its one-year loan prime rate steady at 3.00% and the five-year rate at 3.50% through twelve consecutive months ending in May 2026, aligning with trader expectations for no change ahead of the June 22 announcement. Resilient economic growth data has reduced urgency for further easing, while authorities have prioritized targeted liquidity tools, reserve requirement adjustments, and fiscal support instead of benchmark rate shifts. This policy continuity, combined with assessments of external risks such as energy price volatility, underpins the 97.1% implied probability for unchanged rates. A surprise shift toward easing or tightening would require significant deterioration in growth indicators or an abrupt policy pivot before month-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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