The Reserve Bank of Australia’s May 5 decision to raise the cash rate 25 basis points to 4.35 percent, amid persistent inflation pressures from higher fuel costs and Middle East supply disruptions, has anchored trader expectations for a hold at the June 16 meeting. Recent Statement on Monetary Policy forecasts show trimmed-mean inflation remaining above 3 percent through mid-2027, with the labor market still tight despite projected slowing in economic activity. Market-implied pricing, reflected in ASX futures and Polymarket odds, assigns roughly 81 percent probability to no change, consistent with the post-hike repricing that has tempered earlier expectations of further tightening this year. Key upcoming data on inflation and employment will likely shape any last-minute shifts ahead of the Board’s next policy announcement.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाकोई बदलाव नहीं 82%
वृद्धि 22%
कमी <1%
$25,462 वॉल्यूम
$25,462 वॉल्यूम
16 जून, 2026
कमी
<1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
82%
वृद्धि
22%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 82%
वृद्धि 22%
कमी <1%
$25,462 वॉल्यूम
$25,462 वॉल्यूम
16 जून, 2026
कमी
$7,827 वॉल्यूम
<1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
$8,790 वॉल्यूम
82%
वृद्धि
$8,845 वॉल्यूम
22%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.The Reserve Bank of Australia’s May 5 decision to raise the cash rate 25 basis points to 4.35 percent, amid persistent inflation pressures from higher fuel costs and Middle East supply disruptions, has anchored trader expectations for a hold at the June 16 meeting. Recent Statement on Monetary Policy forecasts show trimmed-mean inflation remaining above 3 percent through mid-2027, with the labor market still tight despite projected slowing in economic activity. Market-implied pricing, reflected in ASX futures and Polymarket odds, assigns roughly 81 percent probability to no change, consistent with the post-hike repricing that has tempered earlier expectations of further tightening this year. Key upcoming data on inflation and employment will likely shape any last-minute shifts ahead of the Board’s next policy announcement.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$25,462समाप्ति तिथि
16 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.The Reserve Bank of Australia’s May 5 decision to raise the cash rate 25 basis points to 4.35 percent, amid persistent inflation pressures from higher fuel costs and Middle East supply disruptions, has anchored trader expectations for a hold at the June 16 meeting. Recent Statement on Monetary Policy forecasts show trimmed-mean inflation remaining above 3 percent through mid-2027, with the labor market still tight despite projected slowing in economic activity. Market-implied pricing, reflected in ASX futures and Polymarket odds, assigns roughly 81 percent probability to no change, consistent with the post-hike repricing that has tempered earlier expectations of further tightening this year. Key upcoming data on inflation and employment will likely shape any last-minute shifts ahead of the Board’s next policy announcement.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$25,462समाप्ति तिथि
16 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Reserve Bank of Australia’s May 5 decision to raise the cash rate 25 basis points to 4.35 percent, amid persistent inflation pressures from higher fuel costs and Middle East supply disruptions, has anchored trader expectations for a hold at the June 16 meeting. Recent Statement on Monetary Policy forecasts show trimmed-mean inflation remaining above 3 percent through mid-2027, with the labor market still tight despite projected slowing in economic activity. Market-implied pricing, reflected in ASX futures and Polymarket odds, assigns roughly 81 percent probability to no change, consistent with the post-hike repricing that has tempered earlier expectations of further tightening this year. Key upcoming data on inflation and employment will likely shape any last-minute shifts ahead of the Board’s next policy announcement.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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