Following the Reserve Bank of Australia's May 5, 2026 decision to raise the cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.35 percent in an 8-1 vote, trader consensus has coalesced around no change at the June 16 meeting, with market-implied odds reflecting this at 80.5 percent. The hike, driven by persistent inflation pressures including second-round effects from elevated fuel prices amid Middle East tensions, has shifted policy into mildly restrictive territory according to Governor Michele Bullock's remarks. Recent futures pricing and the May Statement on Monetary Policy underscore a cautious stance, with trimmed mean inflation forecasts remaining above target through mid-2027 under an assumed path of modest further tightening later in the year. Key upcoming catalysts include the next CPI release and labor market data that could influence whether any additional adjustment materializes before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाकोई बदलाव नहीं 86%
वृद्धि 21%
कमी <1%
$25,472 वॉल्यूम
$25,472 वॉल्यूम
16 जून, 2026
कमी
<1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
81%
वृद्धि
21%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 86%
वृद्धि 21%
कमी <1%
$25,472 वॉल्यूम
$25,472 वॉल्यूम
16 जून, 2026
कमी
$7,827 वॉल्यूम
<1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
$8,800 वॉल्यूम
81%
वृद्धि
$8,845 वॉल्यूम
21%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Following the Reserve Bank of Australia's May 5, 2026 decision to raise the cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.35 percent in an 8-1 vote, trader consensus has coalesced around no change at the June 16 meeting, with market-implied odds reflecting this at 80.5 percent. The hike, driven by persistent inflation pressures including second-round effects from elevated fuel prices amid Middle East tensions, has shifted policy into mildly restrictive territory according to Governor Michele Bullock's remarks. Recent futures pricing and the May Statement on Monetary Policy underscore a cautious stance, with trimmed mean inflation forecasts remaining above target through mid-2027 under an assumed path of modest further tightening later in the year. Key upcoming catalysts include the next CPI release and labor market data that could influence whether any additional adjustment materializes before year-end.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$25,472समाप्ति तिथि
16 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Following the Reserve Bank of Australia's May 5, 2026 decision to raise the cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.35 percent in an 8-1 vote, trader consensus has coalesced around no change at the June 16 meeting, with market-implied odds reflecting this at 80.5 percent. The hike, driven by persistent inflation pressures including second-round effects from elevated fuel prices amid Middle East tensions, has shifted policy into mildly restrictive territory according to Governor Michele Bullock's remarks. Recent futures pricing and the May Statement on Monetary Policy underscore a cautious stance, with trimmed mean inflation forecasts remaining above target through mid-2027 under an assumed path of modest further tightening later in the year. Key upcoming catalysts include the next CPI release and labor market data that could influence whether any additional adjustment materializes before year-end.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$25,472समाप्ति तिथि
16 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Following the Reserve Bank of Australia's May 5, 2026 decision to raise the cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.35 percent in an 8-1 vote, trader consensus has coalesced around no change at the June 16 meeting, with market-implied odds reflecting this at 80.5 percent. The hike, driven by persistent inflation pressures including second-round effects from elevated fuel prices amid Middle East tensions, has shifted policy into mildly restrictive territory according to Governor Michele Bullock's remarks. Recent futures pricing and the May Statement on Monetary Policy underscore a cautious stance, with trimmed mean inflation forecasts remaining above target through mid-2027 under an assumed path of modest further tightening later in the year. Key upcoming catalysts include the next CPI release and labor market data that could influence whether any additional adjustment materializes before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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