**RFK Jr. remains HHS Secretary with no confirmed signals of departure before late October.** As of early September 2026, he continues active policy work on MAHA initiatives, including food additive reforms, vaccine-related guidance amid measles developments, and congressional budget testimony, reflecting ongoing administration alignment. Similar Polymarket contracts on later-year exits show low implied probabilities of resignation, consistent with the absence of reported internal conflicts, performance issues, or White House pressure sufficient to prompt a near-term exit. Trader consensus at 93.5% for “No” on this timeline aligns with the lack of recent catalysts that have historically preceded cabinet departures, such as confirmed disputes or formal announcements.