Dolphins hold a narrow edge in the closely contested matchup at Suncorp Stadium, where home advantage and stronger recent form underpin the slim 50.5% implied probability. Sitting fifth on the ladder with a positive points differential, the Dolphins benefit from key returns including halfback Isaiya Katoa from wrist concerns, bolstering their attack against a Parramatta side mired in 13th place with a significant negative differential. The Eels gain from prop Junior Paulo’s return from knee injury, adding forward depth, while historical head-to-head results show Dolphins prevailing in two of three prior encounters. Late-season positioning, potential rotation decisions, and any fresh injury updates in the coming fortnight could shift momentum for either club.