The federal case against former FBI Director James Comey, stemming from his 2025 Instagram post interpreted by prosecutors as a threat against President Trump, drives the 97.8% implied probability on "No." Indicted in April 2026 on two felony counts carrying maximum penalties of up to 10 years, Comey has pleaded not guilty, with trial set for late October in North Carolina after defense motions to dismiss on selective prosecution and related grounds. The compressed timeline to year-end, combined with standard appeals processes and the high evidentiary bar for proving willful intent in threat communications, underpins trader consensus that sentencing remains unlikely before December 31. A swift guilty verdict or plea followed by immediate incarceration before the resolution deadline represents the primary scenario that could shift outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
2% संभावना
$156,897 वॉल्यूम
$156,897 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
2% संभावना
$156,897 वॉल्यूम
$156,897 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The federal case against former FBI Director James Comey, stemming from his 2025 Instagram post interpreted by prosecutors as a threat against President Trump, drives the 97.8% implied probability on "No." Indicted in April 2026 on two felony counts carrying maximum penalties of up to 10 years, Comey has pleaded not guilty, with trial set for late October in North Carolina after defense motions to dismiss on selective prosecution and related grounds. The compressed timeline to year-end, combined with standard appeals processes and the high evidentiary bar for proving willful intent in threat communications, underpins trader consensus that sentencing remains unlikely before December 31. A swift guilty verdict or plea followed by immediate incarceration before the resolution deadline represents the primary scenario that could shift outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$156,897समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The federal case against former FBI Director James Comey, stemming from his 2025 Instagram post interpreted by prosecutors as a threat against President Trump, drives the 97.8% implied probability on "No." Indicted in April 2026 on two felony counts carrying maximum penalties of up to 10 years, Comey has pleaded not guilty, with trial set for late October in North Carolina after defense motions to dismiss on selective prosecution and related grounds. The compressed timeline to year-end, combined with standard appeals processes and the high evidentiary bar for proving willful intent in threat communications, underpins trader consensus that sentencing remains unlikely before December 31. A swift guilty verdict or plea followed by immediate incarceration before the resolution deadline represents the primary scenario that could shift outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$156,897समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The federal case against former FBI Director James Comey, stemming from his 2025 Instagram post interpreted by prosecutors as a threat against President Trump, drives the 97.8% implied probability on "No." Indicted in April 2026 on two felony counts carrying maximum penalties of up to 10 years, Comey has pleaded not guilty, with trial set for late October in North Carolina after defense motions to dismiss on selective prosecution and related grounds. The compressed timeline to year-end, combined with standard appeals processes and the high evidentiary bar for proving willful intent in threat communications, underpins trader consensus that sentencing remains unlikely before December 31. A swift guilty verdict or plea followed by immediate incarceration before the resolution deadline represents the primary scenario that could shift outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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