President Trump's rejection of Iran's latest ceasefire proposal on May 11, 2026—labeling it "garbage" and declaring the truce on "life support"—has intensified US-Iran tensions amid an ongoing naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and airstrikes that hit 70% of targeted sites, yet traders price "No" invasion at 72.5% implied probability before 2027, reflecting Pentagon emphasis on limited special operations raids over full-scale ground invasion. The US military buildup, largest since 2003 Iraq, includes over 10,000 additional troops deployed in April, but stalled nuclear diplomacy—bolstered by recent progress signals from Vice President Vance and Pakistan-mediated talks—prioritizes regime pressure without costly occupation. Upcoming Iranian responses and potential Chinese mediation could tip odds in this closely watched standoff.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या अमेरिका 2027 से पहले ईरान पर हमला करेगा?
क्या अमेरिका 2027 से पहले ईरान पर हमला करेगा?
हाँ
$28,075,945 वॉल्यूम
$28,075,945 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
$28,075,945 वॉल्यूम
$28,075,945 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.President Trump's rejection of Iran's latest ceasefire proposal on May 11, 2026—labeling it "garbage" and declaring the truce on "life support"—has intensified US-Iran tensions amid an ongoing naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and airstrikes that hit 70% of targeted sites, yet traders price "No" invasion at 72.5% implied probability before 2027, reflecting Pentagon emphasis on limited special operations raids over full-scale ground invasion. The US military buildup, largest since 2003 Iraq, includes over 10,000 additional troops deployed in April, but stalled nuclear diplomacy—bolstered by recent progress signals from Vice President Vance and Pakistan-mediated talks—prioritizes regime pressure without costly occupation. Upcoming Iranian responses and potential Chinese mediation could tip odds in this closely watched standoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$28,075,945समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.President Trump's rejection of Iran's latest ceasefire proposal on May 11, 2026—labeling it "garbage" and declaring the truce on "life support"—has intensified US-Iran tensions amid an ongoing naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and airstrikes that hit 70% of targeted sites, yet traders price "No" invasion at 72.5% implied probability before 2027, reflecting Pentagon emphasis on limited special operations raids over full-scale ground invasion. The US military buildup, largest since 2003 Iraq, includes over 10,000 additional troops deployed in April, but stalled nuclear diplomacy—bolstered by recent progress signals from Vice President Vance and Pakistan-mediated talks—prioritizes regime pressure without costly occupation. Upcoming Iranian responses and potential Chinese mediation could tip odds in this closely watched standoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
वॉल्यूम
$28,075,945समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's rejection of Iran's latest ceasefire proposal on May 11, 2026—labeling it "garbage" and declaring the truce on "life support"—has intensified US-Iran tensions amid an ongoing naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and airstrikes that hit 70% of targeted sites, yet traders price "No" invasion at 72.5% implied probability before 2027, reflecting Pentagon emphasis on limited special operations raids over full-scale ground invasion. The US military buildup, largest since 2003 Iraq, includes over 10,000 additional troops deployed in April, but stalled nuclear diplomacy—bolstered by recent progress signals from Vice President Vance and Pakistan-mediated talks—prioritizes regime pressure without costly occupation. Upcoming Iranian responses and potential Chinese mediation could tip odds in this closely watched standoff.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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