US-mediated diplomacy continues to shape prospects for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire agreement, with Ukrainian President Zelenskiy delivering fresh proposals to American negotiators in early August 2026 amid stalled talks linked to the Iran conflict. Russia has signaled readiness to review US ideas but insists on its core demands, including full control over Donbas, while rejecting broader European involvement or unconditional halts. Short-lived pauses, such as the May 9-11 truce that included prisoner swaps of 1,000 per side, collapsed amid mutual violation accusations and frontline assaults. Key barriers remain unresolved differences over territorial lines, security guarantees, and ceasefire monitoring, with traders viewing entrenched positions and limited de-escalation signals as sustaining hostilities. Scheduled US envoy visits and Russia's September parliamentary election could influence momentum before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयारूस x यूक्रेन द्वारा संघर्ष विराम समझौता...?
रूस x यूक्रेन द्वारा संघर्ष विराम समझौता...?
$5,910,369 वॉल्यूम
31 अक्टू, 2026
31 अक्टूबर
11%
31 अगस्त
3%
31 दिसंबर
27%
$5,910,369 वॉल्यूम
31 अक्टूबर
$846,280 वॉल्यूम
11%
31 अगस्त
$388,447 वॉल्यूम
3%
31 दिसंबर
$2,138,310 वॉल्यूम
27%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement.
Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify.
If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated diplomacy continues to shape prospects for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire agreement, with Ukrainian President Zelenskiy delivering fresh proposals to American negotiators in early August 2026 amid stalled talks linked to the Iran conflict. Russia has signaled readiness to review US ideas but insists on its core demands, including full control over Donbas, while rejecting broader European involvement or unconditional halts. Short-lived pauses, such as the May 9-11 truce that included prisoner swaps of 1,000 per side, collapsed amid mutual violation accusations and frontline assaults. Key barriers remain unresolved differences over territorial lines, security guarantees, and ceasefire monitoring, with traders viewing entrenched positions and limited de-escalation signals as sustaining hostilities. Scheduled US envoy visits and Russia's September parliamentary election could influence momentum before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement.
Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify.
If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.
A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement.
Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify.
If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: May 12, 2026, 11:28 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$5,910,369समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 12, 2026, 11:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement.
Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify.
If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated diplomacy continues to shape prospects for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire agreement, with Ukrainian President Zelenskiy delivering fresh proposals to American negotiators in early August 2026 amid stalled talks linked to the Iran conflict. Russia has signaled readiness to review US ideas but insists on its core demands, including full control over Donbas, while rejecting broader European involvement or unconditional halts. Short-lived pauses, such as the May 9-11 truce that included prisoner swaps of 1,000 per side, collapsed amid mutual violation accusations and frontline assaults. Key barriers remain unresolved differences over territorial lines, security guarantees, and ceasefire monitoring, with traders viewing entrenched positions and limited de-escalation signals as sustaining hostilities. Scheduled US envoy visits and Russia's September parliamentary election could influence momentum before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement.
Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify.
If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.
A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement.
Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify.
If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$5,910,369समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 12, 2026, 11:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-mediated diplomacy continues to shape prospects for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire agreement, with Ukrainian President Zelenskiy delivering fresh proposals to American negotiators in early August 2026 amid stalled talks linked to the Iran conflict. Russia has signaled readiness to review US ideas but insists on its core demands, including full control over Donbas, while rejecting broader European involvement or unconditional halts. Short-lived pauses, such as the May 9-11 truce that included prisoner swaps of 1,000 per side, collapsed amid mutual violation accusations and frontline assaults. Key barriers remain unresolved differences over territorial lines, security guarantees, and ceasefire monitoring, with traders viewing entrenched positions and limited de-escalation signals as sustaining hostilities. Scheduled US envoy visits and Russia's September parliamentary election could influence momentum before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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