Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has conditioned any peace referendum on a prior ceasefire and credible security guarantees, yet U.S.-brokered talks with Russia have produced no such agreement through mid-May 2026. Recent diplomatic rounds in Geneva and Florida yielded only prisoner exchanges, while a proposed Orthodox Easter ceasefire collapsed amid mutual violations within hours. Martial law in force since 2022 continues to bar national votes, and constitutional requirements plus public opposition to territorial concessions further complicate scheduling. Ongoing U.S. pressure for elections alongside a referendum has not overcome Russian demands on Donbas and broader territorial issues, leaving trader assessments anchored in the absence of verified progress toward the necessary preconditions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया... द्वारा निर्धारित यूक्रेन शांति जनमत संग्रह?
$432,527 वॉल्यूम
June 30
5%
September 30
13%
December 31
21%
$432,527 वॉल्यूम
June 30
5%
September 30
13%
December 31
21%
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so.
Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 29, 2025, 1:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so.
Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has conditioned any peace referendum on a prior ceasefire and credible security guarantees, yet U.S.-brokered talks with Russia have produced no such agreement through mid-May 2026. Recent diplomatic rounds in Geneva and Florida yielded only prisoner exchanges, while a proposed Orthodox Easter ceasefire collapsed amid mutual violations within hours. Martial law in force since 2022 continues to bar national votes, and constitutional requirements plus public opposition to territorial concessions further complicate scheduling. Ongoing U.S. pressure for elections alongside a referendum has not overcome Russian demands on Donbas and broader territorial issues, leaving trader assessments anchored in the absence of verified progress toward the necessary preconditions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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