US-mediated trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and the United States advanced in Abu Dhabi and Geneva through February 2026 but stalled thereafter amid shifting US priorities toward operations involving Iran. Formal negotiations have not resumed, with Russia maintaining demands for Ukrainian territorial concessions in Donbas and limits on security arrangements, while Ukraine emphasizes robust guarantees and rejects full cessions. Recent bilateral US-Ukrainian coordination and statements from Secretary Rubio in early August signal planned diplomatic outreach to Moscow in the coming weeks to test resumption prospects. Prisoner exchanges and battlefield strikes continue alongside these efforts, leaving trader consensus on near-term talks shaped by persistent gaps in positions and competing regional pressures.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$319,244 वॉल्यूम
30 सितंबर
25%
31 दिसंबर
61%
$319,244 वॉल्यूम
30 सितंबर
25%
31 दिसंबर
61%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US-mediated trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and the United States advanced in Abu Dhabi and Geneva through February 2026 but stalled thereafter amid shifting US priorities toward operations involving Iran. Formal negotiations have not resumed, with Russia maintaining demands for Ukrainian territorial concessions in Donbas and limits on security arrangements, while Ukraine emphasizes robust guarantees and rejects full cessions. Recent bilateral US-Ukrainian coordination and statements from Secretary Rubio in early August signal planned diplomatic outreach to Moscow in the coming weeks to test resumption prospects. Prisoner exchanges and battlefield strikes continue alongside these efforts, leaving trader consensus on near-term talks shaped by persistent gaps in positions and competing regional pressures.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया



बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न