Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has repeatedly rejected unilateral withdrawal from the remaining Ukrainian-controlled portions of Donbas, including roughly 20 percent of Donetsk province, as a precondition for any ceasefire or security guarantees. This stance follows multiple rounds of U.S.-brokered talks through early 2026, including sessions in Geneva and Abu Dhabi, where Russian demands for full control of the region clashed with Ukrainian insistence on negotiations based on the current line of contact. Recent assessments from May 2026 show continued Russian offensive pressure without territorial breakthroughs sufficient to force concessions, while Ukrainian forces have conducted targeted strikes in occupied areas. These dynamics have sustained trader consensus that Kyiv will not agree to cede the territory before 2027, reflecting entrenched positions on sovereignty and the absence of a verified diplomatic breakthrough.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या यूक्रेन 2027 से पहले डोनबास के बाकी हिस्सों को छोड़ने के लिए सहमत होगा?
हाँ
$72,554 वॉल्यूम
$72,554 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
$72,554 वॉल्यूम
$72,554 वॉल्यूम
For the purposes of this market, major cities under Ukrainian control include the following: Kramatorsk, Sloviansk, Kostiantynivka, Druzhkivka, and Pokrovsk.
The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Any agreement which cedes de facto military control of the listed cities will qualify regardless of if Ukraine formally maintains its claim to sovereignty. For example, the 1999 Kumanovo Military Technical Agreement, in which Yugoslavia agreed to pull military forces out of Kosovo but did not recognize Kosovo’s autonomy or independence would qualify for a 'Yes' resolution.
A Ukrainian agreement to cede de facto military control, will qualify regardless of the group/entity which replaces them.
Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify. If Russia captures these cities through military action it will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 5, 2025, 1:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, major cities under Ukrainian control include the following: Kramatorsk, Sloviansk, Kostiantynivka, Druzhkivka, and Pokrovsk.
The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Any agreement which cedes de facto military control of the listed cities will qualify regardless of if Ukraine formally maintains its claim to sovereignty. For example, the 1999 Kumanovo Military Technical Agreement, in which Yugoslavia agreed to pull military forces out of Kosovo but did not recognize Kosovo’s autonomy or independence would qualify for a 'Yes' resolution.
A Ukrainian agreement to cede de facto military control, will qualify regardless of the group/entity which replaces them.
Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify. If Russia captures these cities through military action it will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has repeatedly rejected unilateral withdrawal from the remaining Ukrainian-controlled portions of Donbas, including roughly 20 percent of Donetsk province, as a precondition for any ceasefire or security guarantees. This stance follows multiple rounds of U.S.-brokered talks through early 2026, including sessions in Geneva and Abu Dhabi, where Russian demands for full control of the region clashed with Ukrainian insistence on negotiations based on the current line of contact. Recent assessments from May 2026 show continued Russian offensive pressure without territorial breakthroughs sufficient to force concessions, while Ukrainian forces have conducted targeted strikes in occupied areas. These dynamics have sustained trader consensus that Kyiv will not agree to cede the territory before 2027, reflecting entrenched positions on sovereignty and the absence of a verified diplomatic breakthrough.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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