The South African Reserve Bank’s upcoming May 28 decision is being driven primarily by upside risks to the inflation outlook stemming from energy price shocks tied to the Middle East conflict. Headline inflation stood at 3.0 percent in February but is now projected to climb toward 4 percent in the second quarter, with fuel prices exceeding 18 percent, prompting the central bank to revise its 2026 inflation forecast higher and shift its policy bias. Forward rate agreements have priced in a 25-basis-point hike at the meeting, aligning with the 86.9 percent market-implied probability for an increase while reflecting trader consensus that the SARB will prioritize its 3 percent target amid balanced risks and limited room for easing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाSouth African Reserve Bank Decision in May?
South African Reserve Bank Decision in May?
Increase 86.9%
No Change 11%
Decrease 1.7%
$10,538 वॉल्यूम
$10,538 वॉल्यूम
28 मई, 2026
Decrease
2%
No Change
11%
Increase
87%
Increase 86.9%
No Change 11%
Decrease 1.7%
$10,538 वॉल्यूम
$10,538 वॉल्यूम
28 मई, 2026
Decrease
$2,146 वॉल्यूम
2%
No Change
$3,955 वॉल्यूम
11%
Increase
$4,436 वॉल्यूम
87%
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The South African Reserve Bank’s upcoming May 28 decision is being driven primarily by upside risks to the inflation outlook stemming from energy price shocks tied to the Middle East conflict. Headline inflation stood at 3.0 percent in February but is now projected to climb toward 4 percent in the second quarter, with fuel prices exceeding 18 percent, prompting the central bank to revise its 2026 inflation forecast higher and shift its policy bias. Forward rate agreements have priced in a 25-basis-point hike at the meeting, aligning with the 86.9 percent market-implied probability for an increase while reflecting trader consensus that the SARB will prioritize its 3 percent target amid balanced risks and limited room for easing.
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 30, 2026, 7:02 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$10,538समाप्ति तिथि
28 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 30, 2026, 7:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The South African Reserve Bank’s upcoming May 28 decision is being driven primarily by upside risks to the inflation outlook stemming from energy price shocks tied to the Middle East conflict. Headline inflation stood at 3.0 percent in February but is now projected to climb toward 4 percent in the second quarter, with fuel prices exceeding 18 percent, prompting the central bank to revise its 2026 inflation forecast higher and shift its policy bias. Forward rate agreements have priced in a 25-basis-point hike at the meeting, aligning with the 86.9 percent market-implied probability for an increase while reflecting trader consensus that the SARB will prioritize its 3 percent target amid balanced risks and limited room for easing.
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$10,538समाप्ति तिथि
28 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 30, 2026, 7:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The South African Reserve Bank’s upcoming May 28 decision is being driven primarily by upside risks to the inflation outlook stemming from energy price shocks tied to the Middle East conflict. Headline inflation stood at 3.0 percent in February but is now projected to climb toward 4 percent in the second quarter, with fuel prices exceeding 18 percent, prompting the central bank to revise its 2026 inflation forecast higher and shift its policy bias. Forward rate agreements have priced in a 25-basis-point hike at the meeting, aligning with the 86.9 percent market-implied probability for an increase while reflecting trader consensus that the SARB will prioritize its 3 percent target amid balanced risks and limited room for easing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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