Switzerland’s November 29, 2026, ballot features four measures under the country’s direct democracy system: a mandatory federal decree raising VAT to fund the AVS old-age pension system, an optional referendum amending the Federal Act on War Material, and two popular initiatives on restricting fireworks and eliminating federal tax disadvantages for married couples. Government and parliamentary backing for the VAT funding and war material changes typically boosts passage prospects for such decrees, while popular initiatives often require double majorities and face higher hurdles. Recent polling and historical patterns for similar pension financing and export-control adjustments inform trader views, with the September 27 neutrality and food initiatives serving as the most immediate precedent ahead of the November vote. No major new developments have shifted positioning in the past month.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयास्विट्ज़रलैंड का नवंबर जनमत संग्रह: क्या पारित होगा?
वैट संघीय डिक्री
65%
पटाखों पर प्रतिबंध पहल
21%
विवाह कराधान पहल
21%
युद्ध सामग्री संशोधन
54%
$7,606 वॉल्यूम
वैट संघीय डिक्री
65%
पटाखों पर प्रतिबंध पहल
21%
विवाह कराधान पहल
21%
युद्ध सामग्री संशोधन
54%
- Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’
- Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’
- Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 13, 2026, 8:06 PM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...- Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’
- Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’
- Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Switzerland’s November 29, 2026, ballot features four measures under the country’s direct democracy system: a mandatory federal decree raising VAT to fund the AVS old-age pension system, an optional referendum amending the Federal Act on War Material, and two popular initiatives on restricting fireworks and eliminating federal tax disadvantages for married couples. Government and parliamentary backing for the VAT funding and war material changes typically boosts passage prospects for such decrees, while popular initiatives often require double majorities and face higher hurdles. Recent polling and historical patterns for similar pension financing and export-control adjustments inform trader views, with the September 27 neutrality and food initiatives serving as the most immediate precedent ahead of the November vote. No major new developments have shifted positioning in the past month.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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