Incumbent Republican Senator Bill Hagerty's unopposed position in the August 6 primary, bolstered by endorsements from Donald Trump and Marsha Blackburn plus over $5.6 million cash on hand, drives trader consensus to a 96.5% implied probability for a Republican victory in the November 3 general election. Tennessee's status as a safe Republican seat—unwon by Democrats since 1990—and a fragmented Democratic primary field featuring low-fundraising candidates like Marquita Bradshaw reinforce this dominance, with forecasters unanimously rating it Solid or Safe Republican. Absent a major scandal, health issue for Hagerty, or unprecedented national Democratic wave, the odds reflect entrenched structural advantages amid no significant developments in the past 30 days.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$19,136 वॉल्यूम
$19,136 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन
96%
डेमोक्रेट
5%
$19,136 वॉल्यूम
$19,136 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन
$10,590 वॉल्यूम
96%
डेमोक्रेट
$8,546 वॉल्यूम
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Senator Bill Hagerty's unopposed position in the August 6 primary, bolstered by endorsements from Donald Trump and Marsha Blackburn plus over $5.6 million cash on hand, drives trader consensus to a 96.5% implied probability for a Republican victory in the November 3 general election. Tennessee's status as a safe Republican seat—unwon by Democrats since 1990—and a fragmented Democratic primary field featuring low-fundraising candidates like Marquita Bradshaw reinforce this dominance, with forecasters unanimously rating it Solid or Safe Republican. Absent a major scandal, health issue for Hagerty, or unprecedented national Democratic wave, the odds reflect entrenched structural advantages amid no significant developments in the past 30 days.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$19,136समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Senator Bill Hagerty's unopposed position in the August 6 primary, bolstered by endorsements from Donald Trump and Marsha Blackburn plus over $5.6 million cash on hand, drives trader consensus to a 96.5% implied probability for a Republican victory in the November 3 general election. Tennessee's status as a safe Republican seat—unwon by Democrats since 1990—and a fragmented Democratic primary field featuring low-fundraising candidates like Marquita Bradshaw reinforce this dominance, with forecasters unanimously rating it Solid or Safe Republican. Absent a major scandal, health issue for Hagerty, or unprecedented national Democratic wave, the odds reflect entrenched structural advantages amid no significant developments in the past 30 days.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
वॉल्यूम
$19,136समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Senator Bill Hagerty's unopposed position in the August 6 primary, bolstered by endorsements from Donald Trump and Marsha Blackburn plus over $5.6 million cash on hand, drives trader consensus to a 96.5% implied probability for a Republican victory in the November 3 general election. Tennessee's status as a safe Republican seat—unwon by Democrats since 1990—and a fragmented Democratic primary field featuring low-fundraising candidates like Marquita Bradshaw reinforce this dominance, with forecasters unanimously rating it Solid or Safe Republican. Absent a major scandal, health issue for Hagerty, or unprecedented national Democratic wave, the odds reflect entrenched structural advantages amid no significant developments in the past 30 days.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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