Tennessee's 4th congressional district's strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in its R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, anchors the Republican Party's 89.5% implied probability in the race. Incumbent Scott DesJarlais faces a competitive August 6, 2026 primary against challengers including Thomas Davis and Harold Jones, yet the winner is expected to benefit from the district's rural and suburban base stretching across southern Middle Tennessee. Democratic primary contender Victoria Broderick lacks the fundraising or organizational reach to close the structural gap ahead of the November 3 general election. Mid-decade redistricting left the seat's underlying electorate largely unchanged, with no recent polling shifts or national political developments altering the consensus view that the Republican nominee holds a clear path to victory.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाTN-04 House Election Winner
TN-04 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
90%
Democratic Party
10%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$2,257 वॉल्यूम
90%
Democratic Party
$4,410 वॉल्यूम
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 4th congressional district's strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in its R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, anchors the Republican Party's 89.5% implied probability in the race. Incumbent Scott DesJarlais faces a competitive August 6, 2026 primary against challengers including Thomas Davis and Harold Jones, yet the winner is expected to benefit from the district's rural and suburban base stretching across southern Middle Tennessee. Democratic primary contender Victoria Broderick lacks the fundraising or organizational reach to close the structural gap ahead of the November 3 general election. Mid-decade redistricting left the seat's underlying electorate largely unchanged, with no recent polling shifts or national political developments altering the consensus view that the Republican nominee holds a clear path to victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,668समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 4th congressional district's strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in its R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, anchors the Republican Party's 89.5% implied probability in the race. Incumbent Scott DesJarlais faces a competitive August 6, 2026 primary against challengers including Thomas Davis and Harold Jones, yet the winner is expected to benefit from the district's rural and suburban base stretching across southern Middle Tennessee. Democratic primary contender Victoria Broderick lacks the fundraising or organizational reach to close the structural gap ahead of the November 3 general election. Mid-decade redistricting left the seat's underlying electorate largely unchanged, with no recent polling shifts or national political developments altering the consensus view that the Republican nominee holds a clear path to victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$6,668समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 4th congressional district's strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in its R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, anchors the Republican Party's 89.5% implied probability in the race. Incumbent Scott DesJarlais faces a competitive August 6, 2026 primary against challengers including Thomas Davis and Harold Jones, yet the winner is expected to benefit from the district's rural and suburban base stretching across southern Middle Tennessee. Democratic primary contender Victoria Broderick lacks the fundraising or organizational reach to close the structural gap ahead of the November 3 general election. Mid-decade redistricting left the seat's underlying electorate largely unchanged, with no recent polling shifts or national political developments altering the consensus view that the Republican nominee holds a clear path to victory.
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