Recent University of Houston polling shows the Texas Republican Senate runoff between Attorney General Ken Paxton and incumbent Senator John Cornyn locked in a statistical tie, with Paxton at 48% and Cornyn at 45% among likely GOP voters just three weeks before the May 26 contest. This closeness stems from Paxton consolidating support from his March primary base and gaining a majority of third-place finisher Wesley Hunt’s voters, while Cornyn retains establishment backing but struggles to expand beyond his initial share. Traders price narrow margins most heavily because no major endorsement or debate has yet shifted the balance, and turnout patterns among conservative and suburban blocs remain uncertain. A late Trump endorsement, strong debate performance, or differential mobilization in key counties could quickly widen the gap ahead of election night.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयापैक्सटन 6–9% 23%
पैक्सटन 9%+ 16.2%
कॉर्निन <3% 14.5%
पैक्सटन 3–6% 14%
$59,275 वॉल्यूम
$59,275 वॉल्यूम
25 मई, 2026
पैक्सटन 9%+
16%
पैक्सटन 6–9%
23%
पैक्सटन 3–6%
14%
पैक्सटन <3%
11%
कॉर्निन <3%
22%
कॉर्निन 3–6%
7%
कोर्निन 6–9%
5%
कॉर्निन 9%+
10%
पैक्सटन 6–9% 23%
पैक्सटन 9%+ 16.2%
कॉर्निन <3% 14.5%
पैक्सटन 3–6% 14%
$59,275 वॉल्यूम
$59,275 वॉल्यूम
25 मई, 2026
पैक्सटन 9%+
$11,914 वॉल्यूम
16%
पैक्सटन 6–9%
$6,727 वॉल्यूम
23%
पैक्सटन 3–6%
$5,750 वॉल्यूम
14%
पैक्सटन <3%
$7,085 वॉल्यूम
11%
कॉर्निन <3%
$5,174 वॉल्यूम
22%
कॉर्निन 3–6%
$5,243 वॉल्यूम
7%
कोर्निन 6–9%
$5,306 वॉल्यूम
5%
कॉर्निन 9%+
$12,076 वॉल्यूम
10%
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent University of Houston polling shows the Texas Republican Senate runoff between Attorney General Ken Paxton and incumbent Senator John Cornyn locked in a statistical tie, with Paxton at 48% and Cornyn at 45% among likely GOP voters just three weeks before the May 26 contest. This closeness stems from Paxton consolidating support from his March primary base and gaining a majority of third-place finisher Wesley Hunt’s voters, while Cornyn retains establishment backing but struggles to expand beyond his initial share. Traders price narrow margins most heavily because no major endorsement or debate has yet shifted the balance, and turnout patterns among conservative and suburban blocs remain uncertain. A late Trump endorsement, strong debate performance, or differential mobilization in key counties could quickly widen the gap ahead of election night.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$59,275समाप्ति तिथि
25 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent University of Houston polling shows the Texas Republican Senate runoff between Attorney General Ken Paxton and incumbent Senator John Cornyn locked in a statistical tie, with Paxton at 48% and Cornyn at 45% among likely GOP voters just three weeks before the May 26 contest. This closeness stems from Paxton consolidating support from his March primary base and gaining a majority of third-place finisher Wesley Hunt’s voters, while Cornyn retains establishment backing but struggles to expand beyond his initial share. Traders price narrow margins most heavily because no major endorsement or debate has yet shifted the balance, and turnout patterns among conservative and suburban blocs remain uncertain. A late Trump endorsement, strong debate performance, or differential mobilization in key counties could quickly widen the gap ahead of election night.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
वॉल्यूम
$59,275समाप्ति तिथि
25 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent University of Houston polling shows the Texas Republican Senate runoff between Attorney General Ken Paxton and incumbent Senator John Cornyn locked in a statistical tie, with Paxton at 48% and Cornyn at 45% among likely GOP voters just three weeks before the May 26 contest. This closeness stems from Paxton consolidating support from his March primary base and gaining a majority of third-place finisher Wesley Hunt’s voters, while Cornyn retains establishment backing but struggles to expand beyond his initial share. Traders price narrow margins most heavily because no major endorsement or debate has yet shifted the balance, and turnout patterns among conservative and suburban blocs remain uncertain. A late Trump endorsement, strong debate performance, or differential mobilization in key counties could quickly widen the gap ahead of election night.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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