The tight contest between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton has positioned 1.2–1.5 million votes as the leading outcome in the May 26 Republican runoff, reflecting historical patterns of sharply reduced participation after March’s primary where roughly 2.2 million GOP ballots were cast. Heavy negative advertising by both campaigns, combined with strong grassroots mobilization on each side, has sustained interest among core voters, yet structural barriers such as lower visibility and the absence of a broader statewide ballot continue to suppress overall numbers. Recent University of Houston polling showing Paxton ahead by just three points among likely runoff participants underscores the competitive dynamics that could modestly lift engagement, while past Texas runoffs demonstrate consistent turnout declines of 40 percent or more. Traders appear to weigh these mobilization efforts against the typical drop-off to arrive at the current consensus range.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाटेक्सास सीनेट रिपब्लिकन प्राइमरी रनऑफ़ में मतदान
टेक्सास सीनेट रिपब्लिकन प्राइमरी रनऑफ़ में मतदान
1.2–1.5लाख 17.3%
9–12 लाख 15%
1.8–2.1एम 10.8%
1.5–1.8M 8.9%
$89,087 वॉल्यूम
$89,087 वॉल्यूम
<0.6M
3%
0.6–0.9मिलियन
4%
9–12 लाख
15%
1.2–1.5लाख
36%
1.5–1.8M
9%
1.8–2.1एम
11%
2.1–2.4M
1%
24–27 लाख
1%
2.7M+
1%
1.2–1.5लाख 17.3%
9–12 लाख 15%
1.8–2.1एम 10.8%
1.5–1.8M 8.9%
$89,087 वॉल्यूम
$89,087 वॉल्यूम
<0.6M
3%
0.6–0.9मिलियन
4%
9–12 लाख
15%
1.2–1.5लाख
36%
1.5–1.8M
9%
1.8–2.1एम
11%
2.1–2.4M
1%
24–27 लाख
1%
2.7M+
1%
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight contest between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton has positioned 1.2–1.5 million votes as the leading outcome in the May 26 Republican runoff, reflecting historical patterns of sharply reduced participation after March’s primary where roughly 2.2 million GOP ballots were cast. Heavy negative advertising by both campaigns, combined with strong grassroots mobilization on each side, has sustained interest among core voters, yet structural barriers such as lower visibility and the absence of a broader statewide ballot continue to suppress overall numbers. Recent University of Houston polling showing Paxton ahead by just three points among likely runoff participants underscores the competitive dynamics that could modestly lift engagement, while past Texas runoffs demonstrate consistent turnout declines of 40 percent or more. Traders appear to weigh these mobilization efforts against the typical drop-off to arrive at the current consensus range.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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