The recent Trump-Xi summit in Beijing concluded without a formal new tariff agreement, despite discussions on trade councils, reciprocal tariff reductions in principle, and extensions to existing truces. U.S. officials signaled continued focus on targeted relief for specific goods and agricultural purchases rather than broad new commitments, while tariffs on many Chinese imports remain in effect. With the May 31 deadline approaching and no announced mutual lowering of rates that meets standard resolution criteria, traders assign a 76.5% probability to no agreement occurring. Ongoing bilateral talks could still produce incremental progress on supply chains or dispute mechanisms, but the short timeline and emphasis on incremental steps over comprehensive deals continue to shape the current market positioning.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
$72,815 वॉल्यूम
$72,815 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
$72,815 वॉल्यूम
$72,815 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.The recent Trump-Xi summit in Beijing concluded without a formal new tariff agreement, despite discussions on trade councils, reciprocal tariff reductions in principle, and extensions to existing truces. U.S. officials signaled continued focus on targeted relief for specific goods and agricultural purchases rather than broad new commitments, while tariffs on many Chinese imports remain in effect. With the May 31 deadline approaching and no announced mutual lowering of rates that meets standard resolution criteria, traders assign a 76.5% probability to no agreement occurring. Ongoing bilateral talks could still produce incremental progress on supply chains or dispute mechanisms, but the short timeline and emphasis on incremental steps over comprehensive deals continue to shape the current market positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
बाज़ार खुला: May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$72,815समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.The recent Trump-Xi summit in Beijing concluded without a formal new tariff agreement, despite discussions on trade councils, reciprocal tariff reductions in principle, and extensions to existing truces. U.S. officials signaled continued focus on targeted relief for specific goods and agricultural purchases rather than broad new commitments, while tariffs on many Chinese imports remain in effect. With the May 31 deadline approaching and no announced mutual lowering of rates that meets standard resolution criteria, traders assign a 76.5% probability to no agreement occurring. Ongoing bilateral talks could still produce incremental progress on supply chains or dispute mechanisms, but the short timeline and emphasis on incremental steps over comprehensive deals continue to shape the current market positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
वॉल्यूम
$72,815समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The recent Trump-Xi summit in Beijing concluded without a formal new tariff agreement, despite discussions on trade councils, reciprocal tariff reductions in principle, and extensions to existing truces. U.S. officials signaled continued focus on targeted relief for specific goods and agricultural purchases rather than broad new commitments, while tariffs on many Chinese imports remain in effect. With the May 31 deadline approaching and no announced mutual lowering of rates that meets standard resolution criteria, traders assign a 76.5% probability to no agreement occurring. Ongoing bilateral talks could still produce incremental progress on supply chains or dispute mechanisms, but the short timeline and emphasis on incremental steps over comprehensive deals continue to shape the current market positioning.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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