Ongoing US-Iran tensions and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz have emerged as the dominant driver of WTI crude prices in May 2026, tightening near-term supply balances and supporting levels near $105 per barrel. Global inventories are drawing at an average 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter, according to the latest EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook, which projects Brent averaging around $106 per barrel through June amid persistent Middle East disruptions. Elevated geopolitical risk premiums have overshadowed softer demand signals from China and steady US output growth, with futures curves reflecting backwardation. Key near-term catalysts include the weekly EIA petroleum status report and the June OPEC+ ministerial meeting, which could influence quota adjustments and any potential easing of Hormuz shipping constraints.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$18,924,926 वॉल्यूम
↑ $200
1%
↑ $150
2%
↑ $140
4%
↑ $130
13%
↑ $120
26%
↑ $115
41%
↑ $110
59%
↑ $105
83%
↓ $95
56%
↓ $90
28%
↓ $85
14%
↓ $80
8%
↓ $70
2%
↓ $60
1%
↓ $40
<1%
↓ $20
<1%
↓ $50
<1%
↓ $30
<1%
$18,924,926 वॉल्यूम
↑ $200
1%
↑ $150
2%
↑ $140
4%
↑ $130
13%
↑ $120
26%
↑ $115
41%
↑ $110
59%
↑ $105
83%
↓ $95
56%
↓ $90
28%
↓ $85
14%
↓ $80
8%
↓ $70
2%
↓ $60
1%
↓ $40
<1%
↓ $20
<1%
↓ $50
<1%
↓ $30
<1%
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
बाज़ार खुला: May 1, 2026, 9:49 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTIResolver
0x65070BE91...Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
समाधान स्रोत
https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTIResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran tensions and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz have emerged as the dominant driver of WTI crude prices in May 2026, tightening near-term supply balances and supporting levels near $105 per barrel. Global inventories are drawing at an average 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter, according to the latest EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook, which projects Brent averaging around $106 per barrel through June amid persistent Middle East disruptions. Elevated geopolitical risk premiums have overshadowed softer demand signals from China and steady US output growth, with futures curves reflecting backwardation. Key near-term catalysts include the weekly EIA petroleum status report and the June OPEC+ ministerial meeting, which could influence quota adjustments and any potential easing of Hormuz shipping constraints.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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