Google's 62.5% implied probability reflects trader consensus around DeepMind's specialized strengths in mathematical reasoning, including AlphaProof Nexus breakthroughs solving multiple open Erdős problems in late May 2026 and strong results on competition benchmarks that reward multi-step symbolic logic. Recent Gemini 3.1 Pro updates and Deep Think agentic tools have reinforced this positioning in verified capability demonstrations. Anthropic's 17.5% and OpenAI's 12.5% capture expectations for Claude Opus 4.8 and GPT-5 variants delivering competitive generalist performance on MATH and GPQA-style evaluations, though without the same depth of dedicated formal math systems. With resolution imminent, any June model releases or benchmark shifts could still alter the narrow gap among leaders.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाGoogle 62%
Anthropic 17%
OpenAI 12%
Z.ai <1%
$220,352 वॉल्यूम
$220,352 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
62%
Anthropic
17%
OpenAI
12%
Z.ai
1%
Moonshot
1%
Alibaba
<1%
xAI
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Meta
<1%
Baidu
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Google 62%
Anthropic 17%
OpenAI 12%
Z.ai <1%
$220,352 वॉल्यूम
$220,352 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
$36,992 वॉल्यूम
62%
Anthropic
$64,549 वॉल्यूम
17%
OpenAI
$24,122 वॉल्यूम
12%
Z.ai
$15,045 वॉल्यूम
1%
Moonshot
$12,932 वॉल्यूम
1%
Alibaba
$14,890 वॉल्यूम
<1%
xAI
$14,650 वॉल्यूम
<1%
ByteDance
$6,400 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Amazon
$2,346 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Meta
$5,734 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Baidu
$2,769 वॉल्यूम
<1%
DeepSeek
$9,130 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Microsoft
$3,097 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Mistral
$4,617 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Meituan
$3,512 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Google's 62.5% implied probability reflects trader consensus around DeepMind's specialized strengths in mathematical reasoning, including AlphaProof Nexus breakthroughs solving multiple open Erdős problems in late May 2026 and strong results on competition benchmarks that reward multi-step symbolic logic. Recent Gemini 3.1 Pro updates and Deep Think agentic tools have reinforced this positioning in verified capability demonstrations. Anthropic's 17.5% and OpenAI's 12.5% capture expectations for Claude Opus 4.8 and GPT-5 variants delivering competitive generalist performance on MATH and GPQA-style evaluations, though without the same depth of dedicated formal math systems. With resolution imminent, any June model releases or benchmark shifts could still alter the narrow gap among leaders.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: May 26, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$220,352समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 26, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Google's 62.5% implied probability reflects trader consensus around DeepMind's specialized strengths in mathematical reasoning, including AlphaProof Nexus breakthroughs solving multiple open Erdős problems in late May 2026 and strong results on competition benchmarks that reward multi-step symbolic logic. Recent Gemini 3.1 Pro updates and Deep Think agentic tools have reinforced this positioning in verified capability demonstrations. Anthropic's 17.5% and OpenAI's 12.5% capture expectations for Claude Opus 4.8 and GPT-5 variants delivering competitive generalist performance on MATH and GPQA-style evaluations, though without the same depth of dedicated formal math systems. With resolution imminent, any June model releases or benchmark shifts could still alter the narrow gap among leaders.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
वॉल्यूम
$220,352समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 26, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's 62.5% implied probability reflects trader consensus around DeepMind's specialized strengths in mathematical reasoning, including AlphaProof Nexus breakthroughs solving multiple open Erdős problems in late May 2026 and strong results on competition benchmarks that reward multi-step symbolic logic. Recent Gemini 3.1 Pro updates and Deep Think agentic tools have reinforced this positioning in verified capability demonstrations. Anthropic's 17.5% and OpenAI's 12.5% capture expectations for Claude Opus 4.8 and GPT-5 variants delivering competitive generalist performance on MATH and GPQA-style evaluations, though without the same depth of dedicated formal math systems. With resolution imminent, any June model releases or benchmark shifts could still alter the narrow gap among leaders.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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