Relationship volatility and an on-again, off-again dynamic have driven strong trader consensus toward "No" at 80.2% implied probability. Cardi B and Stefon Diggs went public in 2025 and welcomed a son in late 2025, but a publicized split near the February 2026 Super Bowl—marked by trust issues, social media unfollows, and public exchanges—has persisted. Recent updates through mid-2026 show mixed signals, including Diggs describing their status as "great" while deferring confirmation to Cardi and downplaying heated exchanges, alongside her comments on post-split dating. Unresolved personal conflicts and a lack of stable public commitment or proposal signals have limited positive momentum, with only months remaining before year-end resolution.