Recent outages on May 4, 6, 13, 14, and 15—marked by elevated error rates across Claude models like Sonnet 4.5 and Opus 4.5—have already logged at least five downtime days midway through May, fueling trader consensus for 6-8 days (38%) as the slight leader among tightly clustered outcomes. Anthropic's aggressive scaling to challenge OpenAI's GPT dominance amid surging demand has strained infrastructure, echoing March-April disruptions, yet May uptime holds at 99.48%. With half the month left, sentiment hinges on capacity upgrades or further incidents; resolution announcements or sustained high load could swing toward 9-11 (30%) or 12+ days (33.5%), underscoring AI reliability risks in competitive large language model deployment.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया6-8 38.0%
12+ 31%
9-11 30%
3-5 16.3%
$33,491 वॉल्यूम
$33,491 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
3-5
14%
6-8
38%
9-11
30%
12+
33%
6-8 38.0%
12+ 31%
9-11 30%
3-5 16.3%
$33,491 वॉल्यूम
$33,491 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
3-5
$3,858 वॉल्यूम
14%
6-8
$1,093 वॉल्यूम
38%
9-11
$659 वॉल्यूम
30%
12+
$4,982 वॉल्यूम
33%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Recent outages on May 4, 6, 13, 14, and 15—marked by elevated error rates across Claude models like Sonnet 4.5 and Opus 4.5—have already logged at least five downtime days midway through May, fueling trader consensus for 6-8 days (38%) as the slight leader among tightly clustered outcomes. Anthropic's aggressive scaling to challenge OpenAI's GPT dominance amid surging demand has strained infrastructure, echoing March-April disruptions, yet May uptime holds at 99.48%. With half the month left, sentiment hinges on capacity upgrades or further incidents; resolution announcements or sustained high load could swing toward 9-11 (30%) or 12+ days (33.5%), underscoring AI reliability risks in competitive large language model deployment.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 30, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$33,491समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 30, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Recent outages on May 4, 6, 13, 14, and 15—marked by elevated error rates across Claude models like Sonnet 4.5 and Opus 4.5—have already logged at least five downtime days midway through May, fueling trader consensus for 6-8 days (38%) as the slight leader among tightly clustered outcomes. Anthropic's aggressive scaling to challenge OpenAI's GPT dominance amid surging demand has strained infrastructure, echoing March-April disruptions, yet May uptime holds at 99.48%. With half the month left, sentiment hinges on capacity upgrades or further incidents; resolution announcements or sustained high load could swing toward 9-11 (30%) or 12+ days (33.5%), underscoring AI reliability risks in competitive large language model deployment.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
वॉल्यूम
$33,491समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 30, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent outages on May 4, 6, 13, 14, and 15—marked by elevated error rates across Claude models like Sonnet 4.5 and Opus 4.5—have already logged at least five downtime days midway through May, fueling trader consensus for 6-8 days (38%) as the slight leader among tightly clustered outcomes. Anthropic's aggressive scaling to challenge OpenAI's GPT dominance amid surging demand has strained infrastructure, echoing March-April disruptions, yet May uptime holds at 99.48%. With half the month left, sentiment hinges on capacity upgrades or further incidents; resolution announcements or sustained high load could swing toward 9-11 (30%) or 12+ days (33.5%), underscoring AI reliability risks in competitive large language model deployment.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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