OpenAI's March 2026 close of a $122 billion round at an $852 billion post-money valuation anchors current trader sentiment for any year-end threshold, reflecting massive commitments from Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank alongside retail participation. Monthly revenue near $2 billion supports growth narratives, yet persistent operating losses and heavy compute spending create uncertainty around further uplifts to $1 trillion or beyond. Confidential IPO preparations and potential late-2026 or 2027 listing introduce revaluation catalysts via public-market multiples, while secondary tenders or additional raises could shift implied probabilities before December 31. Market-implied odds price in continued AI capital inflows against execution and regulatory risks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाOpenAI acquires Rain AI patent assets after takeover talks stall
On August 6, 2026, OpenAI acquired Rain AI patent assets, signaling strategic expansion in AI capabilities and infrastructure, which positively influenced market confidence in its valuation trajectory.
OpenAI delays IPO to 2027 amid market volatility and competitive pressures
↑$1.25T drops to 37%5%
Reports indicated OpenAI was leaning toward delaying its IPO to 2027 due to market volatility and competition from Anthropic, causing a decline in market confidence and lower prices for higher valuation outcomes.
OpenAI completes $7 billion employee tender offer reaffirming $852 billion valuation
↑$900B surges to 94%16%
OpenAI repurchased $7 billion of employee shares at the same price as the March 2026 round, reaffirming its $852 billion valuation. This move provided liquidity to employees and stabilized valuation expectations ahead of the IPO, supporting market confidence.
Anthropic surpasses OpenAI in private market valuation, intensifying competition
By mid-August 2026, Anthropic's valuation exceeded OpenAI's in secondary markets, raising competitive pressure and causing market reassessment of OpenAI's valuation prospects.
Anthropic valuation surpasses OpenAI, intensifying IPO competition
↓$750B drops to 27%8%
Reports indicated Anthropic's valuation exceeded OpenAI's in private markets, increasing competitive pressure and contributing to reduced optimism for OpenAI's near-term IPO valuation targets.
OpenAI completes $7 billion employee stock buyback, confirms $852 billion valuation
↑$900B rises to 89%3%
OpenAI completed a $7 billion employee stock buyback at an $852 billion valuation, reaffirming its private-market price tag while deferring the timeline for a public listing, which maintained valuation stability.
OpenAI completes $7B tender offer confirming $852B valuation
↑$900B rises to 93%3%
In August 2026, OpenAI completed a $7 billion tender offer allowing employees to cash out equity at the $852 billion valuation, reaffirming the company's private market valuation ahead of its IPO. This event stabilized market expectations around the $900 billion valuation threshold.
Reports suggest OpenAI IPO may be delayed to 2027
↑$1.25T dips to 37%4%
Market reports indicated that OpenAI's IPO, initially targeted for late 2026, might be delayed to 2027 due to market volatility and competitive pressures, leading to some downward adjustment in valuation expectations.
OpenAI completes $7B employee stock buyback at $852B valuation
↑$900B jumps to 83%11%
OpenAI conducted a $7 billion employee stock buyback at an $852 billion valuation, reaffirming its private-market price tag and deferring the timeline for a public listing.
OpenAI IPO preparations continue amid market volatility
↑$900B drops to 88%5%
Ongoing IPO preparations and market speculation caused fluctuations in valuation expectations, with prices for the $900B target peaking and then slightly retreating by mid-August.
OpenAI completes $7B employee tender offer at $852B valuation
↑$900B surges to 91%19%
OpenAI repurchased approximately $7 billion of employee shares at the $852 billion valuation, providing internal liquidity and confirming stable private market valuation ahead of IPO.
Nasdaq Private Market reports OpenAI share price at $717.77
↑$900B jumps to 91%10%
Nasdaq Private Market published an estimated OpenAI share price of $717.77 in early August 2026, reflecting ongoing private market valuation activity and providing a data point supporting market confidence near the $900 billion threshold.
OpenAI completes $7 billion employee stock buyback at $852 billion valuation
OpenAI completed a $7 billion employee stock buyback at the $852 billion valuation, signaling no change in valuation and suggesting the IPO is not imminent, which stabilized market expectations around the $900 billion valuation mark.
OpenAI valuation surges after positive market signals and product updates
↑$900B surges to 91%20%
Positive market signals, including product updates and investor interest, led to a surge in OpenAI's valuation probabilities, particularly for the $900B target, which rose sharply in early August 2026.
OpenAI public S-1 prospectus expected mid-August ahead of September IPO
OpenAI's public S-1 prospectus was expected to drop mid-August, revealing detailed financials and operational metrics, a key step in the IPO process that influenced market valuation expectations for a late 2026 public listing.
OpenAI share price surges to 94% on Nasdaq Private Market after product and IPO news
↑$900B surges to 94%22%
OpenAI's share price surged to 94% on August 6, 2026, on Nasdaq Private Market, reflecting positive sentiment from product launches, IPO progress, and competitive positioning in the AI market.
Nasdaq Private Market reports OpenAI share price at $717.77
↑$900B jumps to 81%9%
Nasdaq Private Market published an estimated OpenAI share price of $717.77 on August 6, 2026, reflecting ongoing private market valuation activity and supporting market confidence in valuations near the $900 billion threshold.
OpenAI signals IPO delay to 2027 amid market volatility and valuation gap
↓$700B dips to 27%3%
Reports emerged that OpenAI's leadership was leaning toward delaying the IPO to 2027 to maintain a $1 trillion valuation target, citing market volatility and the valuation gap from the last private round.
Nasdaq Private Market reports OpenAI share price at $717.77
↑$900B jumps to 78%6%
Nasdaq Private Market published an estimated OpenAI share price of $717.77, reflecting ongoing private market valuation activity and supporting market confidence in valuations near the $900 billion threshold.
Microsoft reports OpenAI-related obligations account for 45% of $625B commercial cloud backlog
↑$900B rises to 72%1%
Microsoft disclosed that OpenAI-related obligations make up a significant portion of its commercial cloud backlog, highlighting the strategic importance and financial scale of OpenAI's AI business, reinforcing valuation support.
OpenAI IPO preparations intensify with expected Q4 2026 listing and $1 trillion valuation target
↑$1.0T surges to 71%20%
Reports in early August 2026 highlighted OpenAI's active IPO preparations targeting a Q4 2026 listing with a valuation above $1 trillion, driven by strong revenue growth and strategic investor backing, boosting market optimism.
OpenAI maintains $852 billion valuation amid ongoing IPO preparations
On August 4, 2026, OpenAI's valuation remained steady at approximately $852 billion as it continued IPO preparations, reflecting sustained investor confidence despite competitive and market uncertainties.
OpenAI maintains strong valuation outlook amid IPO preparations and market volatility
↑$900B rises to 72%1%
Despite market volatility and competitive pressures, OpenAI's valuation remained robust near $852 billion to $1 trillion, supported by its revenue growth, strategic partnerships, and IPO filing progress.
OpenAI's IPO filing advances market valuation expectations
↑$900B jumps to 83%10%
As OpenAI progressed with its IPO filing and public prospectus release approached, market confidence in valuations around $900 billion to $1 trillion strengthened, reflecting anticipation of a successful public listing.
Nasdaq Private Market reports OpenAI share price at $717.77
Nasdaq Private Market published an estimated OpenAI share price of $717.77, reflecting ongoing private market valuation activity and providing a data point for market resolution. This price supported market confidence in valuations near the $900 billion threshold.
OpenAI completes $7 billion employee share buyback at $852 billion valuation
↑$900B dips to 72%1%
In late July 2026, OpenAI repurchased $7 billion of employee shares at the $852 billion valuation, providing internal liquidity and signaling confidence in the company's private market valuation ahead of its IPO.
OpenAI share price stabilizes near $693.31 per share on Nasdaq Private Market
↑$900B dips to 71%2%
By July 31, 2026, OpenAI's share price on Nasdaq Private Market stabilized around $693.31, reflecting market consensus on its $850 billion+ valuation ahead of the anticipated IPO, supporting moderate confidence in valuation stability.
OpenAI in talks to give US government 5% stake worth $42.6B
↓$800B jumps to 42%6%
Discussions about giving the US government a 5% stake in OpenAI at a valuation of approximately $852 billion indicated strategic moves to secure long-term support, which helped stabilize market confidence in mid-range valuation outcomes.
OpenAI's advertising business hits $2.5-$3B ARR by December 2026
↑$900B surges to 89%16%
OpenAI's advertising revenue is projected to reach $2.5 to $3 billion ARR by December 2026, contributing to overall revenue growth and supporting valuation targets ahead of the IPO.
Nasdaq Private Market reports OpenAI share price at $717.77 amid IPO anticipation
Nasdaq Private Market published an estimated OpenAI share price of $717.77 on July 31, 2026, reflecting ongoing private market valuation activity and providing a data point supporting market confidence near the $900 billion threshold.
OpenAI's strategic infrastructure investments announced
↑$900B dips to 71%2%
OpenAI announced Project Stargate, a $500 billion joint venture with SoftBank and Oracle to build AI data center infrastructure across the U.S., signaling long-term commitment to infrastructure ownership and supporting valuation stability.
OpenAI's public prospectus expected in late July or August 2026
↑$1.0T dips to 49%2%
The anticipated public prospectus release heightened market attention, with investors reassessing valuation prospects based on forthcoming detailed disclosures about governance, revenue, and profitability timelines.
Anthropic raises $65 billion at $965 billion valuation, surpassing OpenAI
↓$800B dips to 57%2%
Anthropic closed a $65 billion funding round at a $965 billion valuation, overtaking OpenAI's $852 billion valuation and intensifying competition in the AI IPO race, impacting market expectations for OpenAI's valuation.
OpenAI share price dips amid market volatility and competitive pressures
↑$1.0T drops to 41%11%
OpenAI's valuation experienced a dip in late July 2026, reflecting market volatility, competitive pressures from Anthropic, and investor reassessment of IPO timing and valuation targets.
Bloomberg and Reuters report OpenAI IPO valuation targets up to $1.75 trillion
↑$1.75T rises to 18%3%
At the end of July 2026, media reports surfaced indicating OpenAI's IPO valuation targets could reach $1.75 trillion, fueling speculation and volatility in market pricing for the highest valuation outcomes.
Nasdaq Private Market reports OpenAI share price at $717.77
↑$900B rises to 72%1%
Nasdaq Private Market's estimated share price of $717.77 reflected ongoing private market valuation activity and sustained investor interest ahead of OpenAI's anticipated IPO.
OpenAI completes $7 billion employee buyback, maintains $852 billion valuation
↑$900B jumps to 85%14%
OpenAI internally funded a $7 billion employee stock buyback, holding its valuation steady at $852 billion. This move signaled that an IPO was not imminent, tempering market expectations and causing some valuation volatility.
OpenAI's valuation market reacts to competitive pressure from Anthropic and Google DeepMind
↑$1.5T drops to 22%9%
Market concerns about competition from Anthropic and Google DeepMind, along with OpenAI's high cash burn and profitability timeline, contributed to downward pressure on valuation prices, especially for higher valuation targets.
OpenAI's valuation stabilizes amid IPO uncertainty
↑$900B dips to 72%1%
Despite IPO delays and competitive pressures, OpenAI's valuation stabilized around $852 billion in private markets, reflecting ongoing investor confidence in its long-term prospects.
OpenAI proposes donating 5% equity to U.S. sovereign wealth fund
↓$750B jumps to 28%6%
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman proposed giving 5% of the company's equity to a U.S. sovereign wealth fund, introducing new governance and policy considerations that affected valuation perceptions and caused a temporary market reaction.
OpenAI's valuation dips amid reports of IPO delay to 2027
↑$1.25T plunges to 37%19%
Reports emerged that OpenAI is leaning toward delaying its IPO from late 2026 to 2027 due to valuation disagreements, causing a decline in market confidence and valuation prices.
Nasdaq Private Market estimates OpenAI price per share at $706.24
Nasdaq Private Market's updated share price estimate for OpenAI reflects continued investor interest and private market activity ahead of the anticipated IPO.
NVIDIA considers $250 billion guarantee for OpenAI's Ohio data center lease
NVIDIA's consideration of a $250 billion guarantee for OpenAI's Ohio data center lease signals major infrastructure investment, underscoring OpenAI's growth plans and supporting valuation prospects.
Nasdaq Private Market reports OpenAI share price at $704.25, reflecting ongoing private market valuation activity
Nasdaq Private Market's estimated share price of $704.25 for OpenAI in late July 2026 indicated sustained investor interest and valuation confidence ahead of the anticipated IPO, influencing market pricing for valuation milestones.
Nvidia considers $250B guarantee for OpenAI data center lease
Nvidia contemplated a $250 billion guarantee for OpenAI's Ohio data center lease, underscoring massive infrastructure investments that support OpenAI's growth and valuation prospects.
Nvidia CFO states $100 billion OpenAI deal not finalized
↓$750B drops to 35%9%
Nvidia's CFO announced that the planned $100 billion investment deal with OpenAI was still under negotiation, reflecting ongoing uncertainty about OpenAI's capital plans and IPO timing.
Nasdaq Private Market estimates OpenAI share price at $704.25
↑$900B surges to 90%17%
Nasdaq Private Market published an estimated OpenAI share price of $704.25 as of July 27, 2026, reflecting ongoing private market valuation activity and supporting market confidence in valuation levels near $900 billion.
OpenAI leans toward delaying IPO to 2027 amid market conditions
↑$1.25T jumps to 39%6%
Reports indicated OpenAI is considering postponing its IPO to 2027, citing market volatility and the recent SpaceX IPO's choppy debut, causing some market price declines.
Nasdaq Private Market reports OpenAI share price at $717.77
↑$900B dips to 72%1%
Nasdaq Private Market published an estimated OpenAI share price of $717.77, reflecting ongoing private market valuation activity and providing a data point supporting confidence in valuations near the $900 billion threshold.
Nasdaq Private Market estimates OpenAI share price at $686.04 amid IPO preparations
Nasdaq Private Market estimated OpenAI's share price reflecting ongoing private market activity and investor interest ahead of the anticipated IPO, supporting valuation confidence.
OpenAI's user base surpasses 1 billion monthly active users
↑$900B rises to 73%1%
In June 2026, OpenAI's ChatGPT crossed 1 billion monthly active users, marking a historic milestone that reinforced its market dominance and supported high valuation expectations ahead of the IPO.
Nasdaq Private Market estimates OpenAI share price at $693.31 amid IPO preparations
Nasdaq Private Market published an estimated OpenAI share price of $693.31 on July 20, 2026, reflecting ongoing private market valuation activity and providing a data point supporting confidence in valuations near $900 billion.
OpenAI publicly confirms confidential IPO filing with SEC, reaffirming $852 billion valuation
↑$1.0T surges to 91%23%
OpenAI publicly confirmed its confidential IPO filing with the SEC, reaffirming its $852 billion valuation and IPO plans. This transparency further influenced market pricing and investor expectations for a high valuation IPO.
Anthropic raises $65 billion at $965 billion valuation, surpassing OpenAI
↓$750B drops to 28%8%
Anthropic closed a $65 billion funding round at a $965 billion valuation, overtaking OpenAI's $852 billion valuation. This intensified competition in the AI IPO race and influenced market expectations, causing volatility and downward pressure on OpenAI's near-term valuation prospects.
Nasdaq Private Market reports OpenAI share price at $693.31 amid IPO preparations
↑$900B jumps to 81%9%
Nasdaq Private Market published an estimated OpenAI share price of $693.31 on July 20, 2026, reflecting ongoing private market valuation activity and providing a data point supporting market confidence in valuations near the $900 billion threshold.
OpenAI confidential S-1 public prospectus expected in late July or August
↑$1.0T rises to 56%4%
Market anticipation grew in mid-July 2026 as OpenAI prepared to release its public IPO prospectus, increasing confidence in a valuation near $1 trillion and supporting price rises in related market outcomes.
Reports indicate OpenAI leaning toward delaying IPO to 2027
↑$1.75T drops to 15%6%
By mid-July 2026, multiple reports suggested OpenAI was considering postponing its IPO to 2027, citing market volatility and the recent SpaceX IPO's choppy performance as cautionary signals. This news led to a decline in market prices for the highest valuation outcomes, reflecting increased uncertainty about the timing and valuation of the public listing.
OpenAI faces competitive pressure from Anthropic's rising valuation
↑$1.5T plunges to 25%17%
Anthropic's $965 billion valuation in May 2026 and faster enterprise growth pressured OpenAI's market valuation, leading to reduced confidence in the highest valuation brackets.
Reports suggest OpenAI IPO may be delayed to 2027
↑$1.25T drops to 37%11%
By mid-July 2026, reports emerged that OpenAI was considering delaying its IPO to 2027 due to financial commitments and market conditions. This dampened market enthusiasm for a 2026 IPO at or above $1 trillion valuation, reflected in declining prices for higher valuation outcomes.
Reports emerge OpenAI leaning toward delaying IPO to 2027
↑$900B dips to 73%1%
By mid-July 2026, reports indicated OpenAI was leaning toward postponing its IPO to 2027, citing valuation floor concerns and market conditions, which dampened near-term valuation optimism.
OpenAI's Codex surpasses 8 million users amid AI coding evolution
↑$900B rises to 73%1%
On July 15, 2026, OpenAI announced Codex surpassed 8 million users, highlighting product growth that supports valuation optimism despite competitive pressures.
OpenAI Foundation commits $50 million to People-First AI Fund for nonprofits
The OpenAI Foundation announced a $50 million commitment on July 15, 2026, to support nonprofits engaging with AI, enhancing OpenAI's social impact and public goodwill, indirectly supporting valuation confidence.
OpenAI cancels several planned data center sites due to delays and cost concerns
↑$1.25T drops to 42%6%
OpenAI announced cancellations of data center projects in the UK, Norway, and Ohio amid delays and stretched transformer lead times, signaling operational challenges. This news tempered market enthusiasm, causing some downward pressure on valuation prices.
OpenAI's CFO signals preference for 2027 IPO amid market uncertainty
↑$900B plunges to 73%19%
CFO Sarah Friar reportedly indicated to associates that OpenAI is favoring a 2027 IPO timeline due to market conditions and the need to stabilize financials. This statement contributed to a decline in near-term IPO valuation expectations.
Apple files lawsuit accusing OpenAI of stealing trade secrets
↓$700B drops to 21%9%
On July 13, 2026, Apple sued OpenAI alleging theft of trade secrets, raising legal risks and investor concerns, which contributed to downward pressure on OpenAI's valuation in the market.
OpenAI's private market share price estimated at $682.8 per share by Nasdaq Private Market
↑$900B rises to 73%1%
Nasdaq Private Market estimated OpenAI's share price at $682.8 on July 13, 2026, reflecting ongoing private market valuation activity ahead of the anticipated IPO, influencing market pricing.
Apple files lawsuit accusing OpenAI of stealing trade secrets
Apple's lawsuit alleging trade secret theft against OpenAI raised legal risks and governance concerns, negatively impacting market confidence in OpenAI's valuation prospects, especially for higher valuation outcomes.
Reports indicate OpenAI leaning toward 2027 IPO, delaying 2026 plans
↑$1.0T dips to 51%3%
Media reports revealed OpenAI's leadership was favoring a 2027 IPO date due to financial and operational challenges, causing market prices for higher valuation outcomes to decline.
OpenAI share price estimated at $682.8 per share by Nasdaq Private Market
↑$900B dips to 72%1%
Nasdaq Private Market estimated OpenAI's share price at $682.8 as of July 13, 2026, reflecting ongoing private market valuation activity ahead of the IPO. This data point supported market confidence in OpenAI's valuation trajectory toward the $900 billion to $1 trillion range.
OpenAI IPO filing delayed amid financial and operational challenges
↑$1.25T plunges to 38%47%
Reports indicated OpenAI was leaning toward delaying its IPO to 2027 due to ongoing financial losses and operational challenges, which dampened market optimism for a 2026 valuation milestone.
Nasdaq Private Market reports OpenAI share price at $682.8, reflecting valuation trends
On July 13, 2026, Nasdaq Private Market estimated OpenAI's share price at $682.8, providing a market-based valuation snapshot that influenced ongoing market pricing for OpenAI's valuation outcomes.
Wall Street Journal reports Apple lawsuit against OpenAI
↓$750B jumps to 28%6%
The Wall Street Journal coverage of Apple's lawsuit against OpenAI increased public awareness of the legal challenge, further impacting market sentiment negatively.
Bank of America extends $520M credit line to OpenAI ahead of IPO
↑$900B rises to 92%2%
Bank of America extended a significant credit line to OpenAI, signaling strong financial support and readiness for the IPO, positively impacting market confidence.
Public prospectus for OpenAI IPO expected in late July or August
↑$1.25T plunges to 31%17%
Following the confidential S-1 filing, OpenAI's public IPO prospectus was anticipated in late July or August 2026, increasing market focus on the company's valuation and IPO timing.
Nasdaq Private Market estimates OpenAI share price at $682.8, reflecting $908.81 billion valuation
↑$900B rises to 72%1%
Nasdaq Private Market's updated share price estimate indicated a valuation increase to approximately $908 billion, signaling positive market sentiment and supporting higher valuation targets.
Launch of GPT-5.6 and reports of IPO leaning toward 2027
↑$900B plunges to 72%22%
Following the launch of GPT-5.6, reports emerged that OpenAI is leaning toward a 2027 IPO, reflecting cautious market sentiment about near-term valuation growth and IPO timing, which contributed to a decline in higher valuation market prices.
Market reacts to OpenAI's IPO prospectus delay and valuation uncertainty
↑$1.25T plunges to 33%15%
Delays in the public prospectus release and concerns over OpenAI's profitability and competitive landscape caused a decline in market confidence for higher valuation outcomes, reflecting investor caution ahead of the IPO.
Market reacts to reports of OpenAI IPO timing uncertainty and competition
↑$1.25T plunges to 32%16%
Around July 12, 2026, market prices for higher valuation outcomes dropped amid reports of OpenAI leaning toward a 2027 IPO and increasing competition from Anthropic and Google, reflecting investor caution about near-term valuation upside.
Apple sues OpenAI and former employees over hardware trade secrets
↓$700B plunges to 21%15%
Apple filed a lawsuit against OpenAI and former employees alleging theft of hardware trade secrets, creating legal uncertainty and reputational risk for OpenAI. This negatively impacted market confidence in OpenAI's valuation prospects during July 2026.
Apple sues OpenAI alleging trade secret theft
↓$750B rises to 23%1%
On July 10, 2026, Apple filed a lawsuit against OpenAI accusing it of stealing trade secrets, raising concerns about corporate data security and potentially impacting OpenAI's valuation and IPO timing due to legal risks.
OpenAI launches GPT-Live full-duplex real-time voice model
↑$900B dips to 92%1%
OpenAI introduced GPT-Live, a real-time voice model enhancing user interaction capabilities, which positively influenced market perception of OpenAI's innovation and growth potential.
Market reacts to OpenAI's competitive challenges from Anthropic and Google
↑$1.25T plunges to 27%29%
In July 2026, growing competition from Anthropic and Google DeepMind raised concerns about OpenAI's market share and profitability, leading to a decline in contract prices across multiple valuation thresholds.
OpenAI launches ChatGPT Work and new desktop app amid intense AI competition
↑$900B rises to 92%2%
OpenAI released ChatGPT Work and a new desktop app in early July 2026, aiming to strengthen its enterprise offerings and user engagement as competition from Anthropic and Google intensifies, impacting market perceptions of OpenAI's growth potential and valuation.
Apple files lawsuit accusing OpenAI of stealing trade secrets
↓$750B drops to 25%10%
On July 10, 2026, Apple sued OpenAI alleging trade secret theft, introducing legal uncertainty and negatively impacting market confidence and valuation probabilities.
Apple files lawsuit accusing OpenAI of stealing trade secrets
↑$900B plunges to 73%22%
On July 10, 2026, Apple announced a lawsuit against OpenAI alleging trade secret theft, raising legal risks and causing some negative sentiment reflected in market price drops for higher valuation outcomes.
Apple sues OpenAI alleging trade secret theft
↑$900B drops to 72%9%
On July 10, 2026, Apple filed a lawsuit accusing OpenAI of stealing trade secrets, which was reported widely by July 13. This legal challenge introduced new risks and uncertainty, causing a decline in market confidence in OpenAI's valuation prospects.
Apple sues OpenAI hardware chief over alleged IP theft
↑$1.5T drops to 25%8%
Apple filed a lawsuit accusing OpenAI's hardware chief of stealing confidential chip designs, introducing legal risk and uncertainty around OpenAI's hardware ambitions. This negatively impacted market sentiment and valuation expectations.
Market reacts to OpenAI's projected profitability challenges and competitive pressures
↑$1.0T plunges to 55%23%
Concerns about OpenAI's profitability timeline and competition from Anthropic led to a drop in market confidence for higher valuation outcomes, reflected in price declines for $1.0T and above options.
OpenAI CFO signals 2027 IPO timeline amid market volatility
↑$1.0T dips to 51%3%
Around July 10, 2026, OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar indicated a preference for a 2027 IPO timeline due to market volatility and the need to stabilize financial runway, leading to a decline in short-term valuation expectations.
Launch of GPT-5.6 model boosts OpenAI's growth prospects
↑$1.0T rises to 56%3%
OpenAI released GPT-5.6, enhancing product capabilities and supporting forecasts of increased ARR, positively influencing valuation expectations despite ongoing losses.
OpenAI launches GPT-5.6, fueling growth but IPO delayed to 2027
↓$700B drops to 30%8%
The launch of GPT-5.6 boosted OpenAI's revenue forecasts but reports indicated the company was leaning toward a 2027 IPO, reflecting market caution about a 2026 listing and affecting valuation probabilities.
Launch of GPT-5.6 and reports of OpenAI leaning toward 2027 IPO listing
↑$900B dips to 72%1%
OpenAI released GPT-5.6 on July 9, 2026, amid reports that the company was leaning toward delaying its IPO to 2027 to better align valuation targets and market conditions, causing some market uncertainty.
OpenAI publicly launches GPT-5.6 Sol, Terra, Luna and GPT-Live voice model
↑$900B surges to 94%22%
OpenAI launched its most capable GPT-5.6 model family and a full-duplex real-time voice model, enhancing product offerings and reinforcing its competitive edge. This bolstered investor sentiment and valuation prospects.
OpenAI launches GPT-5.6, a new AI model update
↑$1.0T jumps to 76%8%
The release of GPT-5.6 was seen as a strong efficiency improvement but not a major leap, influencing market perceptions of OpenAI's competitive edge and valuation prospects.
Market reacts to mixed growth signals and competition from Anthropic
↑$1.25T drops to 36%13%
Mid-2026 saw market uncertainty due to OpenAI's revenue plateau and rising competition from Anthropic, which surpassed OpenAI's run rate in April 2026. This led to a dip in confidence for higher valuation outcomes like $1.25T and above.
Market reacts to concerns over OpenAI's profitability and competition
↑$1.25T plunges to 33%15%
Market prices declined amid investor concerns about OpenAI's ongoing losses and competitive pressures from companies like Anthropic, impacting confidence in higher valuation outcomes.
OpenAI launches GPT-Live, full-duplex real-time voice AI models
↑$1.0T jumps to 78%13%
On July 9, 2026, OpenAI introduced GPT-Live, enabling real-time voice interaction, which expanded its AI capabilities and strengthened its competitive position in the market.
OpenAI publicly launches GPT-5.6, its most capable AI model yet
↑$1.0T jumps to 78%13%
The public launch of GPT-5.6 on July 9, 2026, marked a significant technological advancement for OpenAI, enhancing its product offerings and potentially increasing its market valuation.
Launch of OpenAI GPT-5.6 model and reports of IPO delay to 2027
↓$750B plunges to 27%55%
On July 9, 2026, OpenAI launched GPT-5.6, but reports emerged that the company was leaning toward delaying its IPO to 2027, causing a drop in valuation expectations and market prices.
OpenAI launches GPT-5.6, enhancing AI capabilities
↑$900B rises to 94%4%
The launch of GPT-5.6 on July 9, 2026, improved OpenAI's AI model performance, reinforcing its market leadership and supporting valuation optimism despite IPO timing uncertainties.
OpenAI faces competitive pressure from Anthropic and market skepticism
↑$1.25T dips to 39%2%
Market concerns grew over OpenAI's ability to maintain its valuation amid rising competition from Anthropic and skepticism about profitability, contributing to price declines in higher valuation market options.
Launch of OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model
↑$1.75T drops to 14%6%
The release of GPT-5.6 showcased OpenAI's technological advancement, but market reaction was cautious due to competitive pressures and profitability concerns, leading to declines in valuation probabilities for the highest targets.
Launch of OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model sparks renewed investor interest
The release of OpenAI's GPT-5.6 on July 9, 2026, showcased technological advancement, boosting confidence in the company's growth prospects and positively influencing valuation expectations.
Nasdaq Private Market estimates OpenAI share price at $692.22
↑$900B plunges to 71%23%
Nasdaq Private Market published an updated OpenAI share price estimate, reflecting ongoing market activity and valuation data, providing a key data point for prediction market participants.
Bank of America extends $520 million credit line to OpenAI ahead of IPO
↑$900B rises to 72%1%
Bank of America provided a $520 million credit line to OpenAI, enhancing its financial runway ahead of the anticipated IPO. This financial support increased market confidence in OpenAI's valuation stability.
Nasdaq Private Market publishes OpenAI share price estimate at $692.22
Nasdaq Private Market published an OpenAI share price estimate reflecting ongoing private market valuation activity and providing a data point for market participants assessing OpenAI's valuation trajectory.
OpenAI's GPT-5.6 launch reinforces market leadership amid AI competition
↑$900B surges to 95%22%
The launch of GPT-5.6 on July 8, 2026, reinforced OpenAI's market leadership and supported valuation optimism despite competitive pressures from Anthropic and others, contributing to a rise in market prices for higher valuation outcomes.
Bank of America extends $520M credit line to OpenAI ahead of IPO
↑$900B rises to 92%2%
Bank of America provided a substantial credit line to OpenAI, signaling strong financial backing and readiness for the upcoming IPO, which supported positive market sentiment and valuation.
Nasdaq Private Market reports OpenAI share price at $717.77
Nasdaq Private Market published an estimated OpenAI share price reflecting ongoing private market valuation activity, supporting market confidence in valuations near the $900 billion threshold.
Nasdaq Private Market published OpenAI share price estimate at $692.22
↑$900B surges to 73%23%
Nasdaq Private Market published an OpenAI share price estimate reflecting ongoing private market valuation activity and providing a data point for market participants assessing OpenAI's valuation trajectory.
OpenAI launches GPT-5.6 as default ChatGPT model
↑$900B jumps to 95%10%
OpenAI released GPT-5.6, the default ChatGPT model, reinforcing its market leadership and supporting valuation optimism amid competitive pressures, which positively influenced market pricing for the $900 billion valuation outcome.
OpenAI delays IPO amid internal debate over timing and market conditions
↑$1.75T dips to 18%2%
In early July 2026, reports emerged of internal debate at OpenAI regarding IPO timing due to financial commitments and market volatility, leading to a temporary drop in market confidence for the highest valuation outcomes.
Market speculation grows on OpenAI's IPO valuation amid competition
↑$1.25T plunges to 30%18%
By early July 2026, market speculation intensified regarding OpenAI's IPO valuation, with competition from Anthropic and Google impacting investor sentiment. Despite strong revenue growth, concerns about profitability and governance created volatility in valuation expectations.
Financial Times reports OpenAI in talks to give US government 5% equity stake
↑$900B rises to 95%3%
On July 2, 2026, the Financial Times revealed that OpenAI was negotiating to voluntarily allocate up to 5% of its equity to the US government via a Public Wealth Fund, a novel approach to distribute AI-generated value, which influenced market perceptions of OpenAI's cap table and valuation.
Nasdaq Private Market reports OpenAI share price at $717.77
↑$900B rises to 72%1%
Nasdaq Private Market published an estimated OpenAI share price of $717.77, reflecting ongoing private market valuation activity and providing a data point for market resolution. This price supported market confidence in valuations near the $900 billion threshold.
OpenAI CEO proposes donating 5% equity to U.S. sovereign wealth fund
↑$900B surges to 92%18%
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman proposed voluntarily allocating up to 5% of the company's equity to the U.S. government through a Public Wealth Fund, influencing market perceptions of governance and valuation, which led to a surge in pricing for the $900B valuation outcome.
OpenAI proposes giving US government up to 5% equity stake via Public Wealth Fund
↑$900B surges to 90%40%
OpenAI announced preliminary talks to voluntarily allocate up to 5% of its equity to a US government Public Wealth Fund, worth approximately $42.6 billion at the $852 billion valuation, signaling a novel approach to align government interests with OpenAI's success ahead of its IPO.
OpenAI valuation stabilizes near $852B post-funding round
↑$900B dips to 71%2%
By early July 2026, OpenAI's valuation remained stable near the $852 billion mark set by the March funding round, despite IPO delays and competitive pressures. Market prices reflected this plateau with moderate fluctuations.
OpenAI in talks to give US government 5% equity stake via Public Wealth Fund
As of July 2, 2026, OpenAI was in preliminary discussions about giving the US government a 5% stake in the company, worth approximately $42.6 billion, introducing new governance and policy considerations affecting valuation.
OpenAI discusses giving US government a 5% equity stake
↓$750B jumps to 28%6%
By early July 2026, OpenAI was in preliminary talks to grant the US government a 5% stake worth about $42.6 billion, reflecting strategic moves to align with government interests and potentially stabilize valuation perceptions.
OpenAI in talks to give US government a 5% equity stake
↓$800B dips to 54%3%
OpenAI entered preliminary discussions to allocate a 5% equity stake to the US government, a move interpreted as strategic pre-IPO cap table cleaning, which influenced market perceptions of valuation and governance.
OpenAI discusses 5% US government stake in company
↑$900B rises to 92%2%
OpenAI entered preliminary talks to give the US government a 5% stake, signaling strategic partnerships and potentially affecting valuation perceptions positively.
Financial Times reports OpenAI's talks to give US government 5% equity stake
↑$900B rises to 95%3%
On July 2, 2026, the Financial Times revealed OpenAI's preliminary discussions to voluntarily allocate up to 5% equity to a US government 'Public Wealth Fund,' worth about $42.6 billion, which introduced a novel public-private partnership concept and affected valuation perceptions.
OpenAI discusses giving US government a 5% stake worth $42.6B
↑$900B surges to 90%17%
OpenAI entered preliminary talks to grant the US government a 5% stake in the company, valued at approximately $42.6 billion based on the March 2026 valuation. This strategic move indicated strong government interest and potential support, positively impacting market sentiment on valuation prospects.
OpenAI discusses potential 5% US government stake amid IPO preparations
↑$900B rises to 73%2%
OpenAI entered preliminary talks to give the US government a 5% stake worth approximately $42.6 billion, reflecting strategic considerations ahead of its IPO and impacting investor sentiment and valuation expectations.
OpenAI CEO proposes donating 5% equity to U.S. sovereign wealth fund
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman proposed giving 5% of the company's equity to a U.S. sovereign wealth fund to share AI-driven economic growth with the public, introducing new governance and policy considerations affecting valuation.
OpenAI in talks to give U.S. government a 5% stake
↓$750B plunges to 22%21%
Reports of OpenAI negotiating a 5% stake sale to the U.S. government at $852B valuation added complexity to valuation outlook and investor sentiment.
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman proposes giving 5% equity to U.S. sovereign wealth fund
On July 2, 2026, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman proposed donating 5% of the company's equity to a U.S. sovereign wealth fund, aiming to share AI-driven economic growth with the public, which introduced new governance and policy considerations affecting valuation.
OpenAI discusses giving US government a 5% stake worth $42.6B
↓$700B drops to 22%8%
By July 2, 2026, OpenAI was in preliminary talks to give the US government a 5% stake valued at approximately $42.6 billion based on the March 2026 valuation. This development added complexity to the company's governance and valuation outlook, influencing market sentiment.
OpenAI proposes donating 5% equity to U.S. sovereign wealth fund
↓$750B plunges to 28%22%
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman proposed giving 5% of the company's equity to a U.S. sovereign wealth fund, aiming to share AI-driven economic growth with the public, introducing new governance and policy considerations affecting valuation.
OpenAI CFO states IPO not planned in near term
↓$750B drops to 28%8%
OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar publicly stated that an IPO was not planned in the near term, dampening market enthusiasm and causing a decline in prediction market prices for near-term IPO valuation outcomes.
OpenAI's public prospectus expected in late July or August 2026
↑$1.0T rises to 53%2%
Following the confidential S-1 filing, OpenAI's public IPO prospectus was anticipated in late July or August, heightening market focus on its valuation and financial disclosures.
Anthropic closes $30 billion funding round at $965 billion valuation
↓$800B plunges to 39%32%
Anthropic's $30 billion Series H funding round in early July 2026 raised its valuation to $965 billion, surpassing OpenAI's $852 billion and intensifying competitive pressure, which influenced OpenAI's market valuation dynamics.
SoftBank closes $10 billion tranche investment in OpenAI at $852 billion valuation
↑$900B rises to 92%3%
SoftBank completed the second tranche of a planned $30 billion investment in OpenAI on July 1, 2026, reinforcing confidence in OpenAI's valuation and pre-IPO positioning. This financial commitment at the $852 billion valuation level supported market optimism about OpenAI's near-term public offering prospects.
SoftBank closes $10B tranche investment in OpenAI at $852B valuation
↑$900B rises to 92%2%
SoftBank Group completed a $10 billion investment tranche on July 1, 2026, reaffirming OpenAI's $852 billion valuation and signaling strong investor confidence ahead of the IPO.
SoftBank closes $10B tranche investment in OpenAI at $852B valuation
↓$800B rises to 43%4%
SoftBank completed the second $10 billion tranche of its $30 billion commitment to OpenAI on July 1, 2026, reaffirming investor confidence at the $852 billion valuation level. This capital injection supported OpenAI's infrastructure spending and IPO preparations, positively influencing market prices for mid-range valuation outcomes.
SoftBank closes $10 billion tranche of $30 billion follow-on investment in OpenAI
↓$800B jumps to 57%12%
SoftBank completed the second tranche of a $30 billion follow-on investment at an $852 billion valuation, signaling strong investor commitment and pre-IPO cap table structuring, which supported valuation stability.
OpenAI discusses raising tens of billions at $750 billion valuation amid IPO preparations
↑$1.25T plunges to 14%23%
Reports indicated OpenAI was holding preliminary talks with investors about raising funds at a $750 billion valuation, signaling active IPO preparations but also causing a dip in market confidence reflected in price declines for some valuation targets.
OpenAI leans toward delaying IPO to 2027 amid valuation and market considerations
↑$1.25T plunges to 14%23%
Reports indicated that OpenAI was leaning toward delaying its IPO until 2027 rather than listing in late 2026, aiming to achieve a $1 trillion valuation target. This shift caused some downward pressure on near-term valuation expectations in the market.
OpenAI valuation faces significant cuts amid funding challenges
↓$700B plunges to 18%33%
Reports indicated OpenAI's $500 billion valuation was under pressure with potential down rounds due to competition and financial losses, raising doubts about the company's near-term IPO prospects and contributing to further price declines.
OpenAI valuation dips amid market volatility and IPO timing uncertainty
↑$1.25T plunges to 14%23%
Market volatility and uncertainty about OpenAI's IPO timing caused a dip in valuation expectations around June 30, 2026, reflecting investor caution despite ongoing IPO preparations and strong fundamentals.
OpenAI launches GPT-5.6 model family under US government coordination
↑$900B rises to 89%2%
OpenAI released GPT-5.6 models with initial access limited to government-approved organizations, reflecting regulatory cooperation but also causing some market uncertainty about broader adoption and valuation.
Reports emerge of OpenAI IPO delay to 2027 amid tech selloff
↓$750B jumps to 44%9%
On June 26, 2026, reports indicated OpenAI was leaning toward delaying its IPO to 2027 due to market jitters and internal readiness concerns, causing a notable drop in market prices for near-term IPO valuation outcomes.
OpenAI's IPO delay news causes tech selloff and market repricing
↑$1.75T drops to 14%8%
Following reports of OpenAI's IPO delay, tech stocks experienced a selloff, and prediction markets repriced the likelihood of a 2026 IPO downward. This event reflected investor caution about OpenAI's valuation and timing, impacting the probabilities of higher valuation outcomes.
OpenAI launches GPT-5.6 family under US government access restrictions
↓$750B dips to 48%2%
OpenAI released the GPT-5.6 model family on June 26, 2026, with initial access limited to government-approved organizations, reflecting regulatory challenges and impacting market sentiment on valuation prospects.
SoftBank stock plunges $38B after OpenAI IPO delay news
↑$1.75T plunges to 20%20%
Following reports of OpenAI's IPO delay and valuation holdout, SoftBank's stock dropped sharply, reflecting market skepticism about OpenAI's near-term valuation prospects and IPO timing. This event influenced market pricing downward for higher valuation outcomes.
OpenAI leans toward delaying IPO until 2027 amid market caution
↑$1.0T drops to 73%14%
In late June 2026, reports emerged that OpenAI was considering postponing its IPO to 2027 due to market conditions and investor caution following SpaceX's volatile IPO. This news caused a decline in market prices for higher valuation outcomes and increased uncertainty about the IPO timing.
Reports indicate OpenAI delays IPO to 2027, aiming for $1 trillion valuation
↑$1.0T drops to 73%14%
The New York Times reported that OpenAI is leaning toward delaying its IPO to 2027, with CFO Sarah Friar and CEO Sam Altman emphasizing a $1 trillion valuation as a non-starter. This news triggered a tech selloff and lowered market confidence in a 2026 IPO.
OpenAI delays IPO to 2027, aiming for $1 trillion valuation
↓$750B drops to 36%14%
Reports in late June 2026 indicated OpenAI is leaning toward delaying its IPO to 2027, with CEO Sam Altman reportedly calling any valuation below $1 trillion a 'non-starter.' This news caused a market selloff and lowered contract prices across valuation targets.
Reports indicate OpenAI leans toward delaying IPO to 2027
↓$750B plunges to 35%17%
The New York Times reported that OpenAI is leaning toward delaying its IPO to 2027 due to financial and market considerations, causing a drop in market confidence and valuation probabilities for higher valuation outcomes in 2026.
OpenAI reportedly leans toward delaying IPO to 2027, insists on $1 trillion valuation
↑$1.25T plunges to 27%22%
Reports indicated OpenAI was considering delaying its IPO to 2027, with CEO Sam Altman calling any valuation below $1 trillion a 'non-starter.' This news caused market volatility and a tech selloff, impacting valuation expectations.
Reports indicate OpenAI leaning toward IPO delay to 2027
↓$800B plunges to 54%18%
The New York Times reported on June 25, 2026, that OpenAI is considering delaying its IPO to 2027, with CFO Sarah Friar signaling caution and CEO Sam Altman setting a $1 trillion valuation floor. This news caused a market selloff and lowered confidence in a 2026 IPO at or above $1 trillion.
OpenAI delays IPO to 2027, aiming for $1 trillion valuation
↑$1.0T plunges to 71%22%
Reports on June 25, 2026, indicated OpenAI was leaning toward delaying its IPO to 2027 rather than late 2026, with CFO Sarah Friar signaling the company was targeting a $1 trillion valuation and considering any lower figure a 'non-starter.' This news caused market volatility and repricing of valuation expectations.
Reports indicate OpenAI leans toward delaying IPO to 2027 to meet $1 trillion valuation target
↑$1.0T drops to 41%12%
By late June 2026, reports emerged that OpenAI was considering postponing its IPO to 2027 rather than accepting a lower valuation in late 2026, reflecting caution amid market volatility and aiming to achieve its $1 trillion valuation goal.
Reports emerge OpenAI leaning toward 2027 IPO listing
↑$1.0T drops to 73%14%
In late June 2026, reports indicated OpenAI was leaning toward delaying its IPO until 2027, citing financial commitments and market conditions. This news caused a decline in valuation market prices as investors adjusted expectations.
Reports indicate OpenAI delays IPO to 2027, CEO demands $1 trillion valuation
↑$1.25T drops to 37%11%
The New York Times reported that OpenAI is leaning toward delaying its IPO to 2027, with CEO Sam Altman reportedly refusing to accept a valuation below $1 trillion. This news caused market repricing and increased uncertainty about the 2026 IPO timeline.
Reports indicate OpenAI leaning toward delaying IPO to 2027
↑$1.5T plunges to 25%16%
Media reports in late June 2026 suggested OpenAI is considering delaying its IPO to 2027 rather than accepting a lower valuation in late 2026. This news led to a decline in market prices for higher valuation targets, reflecting investor caution about the timing and valuation gap.
Reports indicate OpenAI delays IPO to 2027, aiming for $1 trillion valuation
↓$750B drops to 35%5%
The New York Times reported that OpenAI is leaning toward delaying its IPO to 2027, with CFO Sarah Friar emphasizing a $1 trillion valuation as a non-starter below that mark. This news caused market volatility and a tech selloff, affecting valuation prices negatively.
OpenAI leans toward delaying IPO to 2027 amid market volatility
↑$1.25T drops to 40%11%
Reports on June 25, 2026, indicated OpenAI was considering delaying its IPO to 2027 due to market volatility and the recent choppy trading of SpaceX's IPO. This news triggered a tech selloff and caused a decline in market optimism for the highest valuation targets, tempering expectations for a late 2026 listing.
Reports emerge that OpenAI is leaning toward delaying IPO to 2027
↑$1.0T drops to 39%13%
The New York Times reported that OpenAI is considering postponing its IPO to 2027, citing internal discussions and market volatility, which caused a decline in market confidence and valuation expectations.
OpenAI reportedly delays IPO to 2027, aiming for $1 trillion valuation
↑$1.25T plunges to 31%54%
Reports on June 25, 2026, indicated OpenAI was leaning toward delaying its IPO to 2027 to target a $1 trillion valuation, citing market volatility and competitive pressures, which caused a temporary drop in market confidence and valuation prices.
Reports indicate OpenAI IPO likely delayed to 2027
↓$750B drops to 28%8%
The New York Times reported that OpenAI is leaning towards delaying its IPO to 2027 due to concerns over valuation sustainability and market conditions, signaling a closing window for a 2026 listing. This news introduced skepticism and caused a decline in market confidence regarding a 2026 IPO.
Reports emerge of OpenAI IPO delay to 2027 amid valuation concerns
↑$1.25T drops to 39%10%
On June 25, 2026, The New York Times reported that OpenAI was leaning toward delaying its IPO to 2027 rather than listing in late 2026, citing concerns over valuation and market conditions. This news triggered a selloff in tech stocks and lowered market confidence in near-term high valuation outcomes for OpenAI.
Reports emerge OpenAI leans toward delaying IPO to 2027 despite $1T valuation target
↓$750B plunges to 28%27%
The New York Times reported that OpenAI is considering postponing its IPO to 2027, with CFO Sarah Friar indicating a 2027 debut and CEO Sam Altman rejecting valuations below $1 trillion. This news caused market uncertainty and a decline in valuation probabilities.
OpenAI leans toward delaying IPO to 2027 amid market volatility and competition
↓$800B plunges to 41%31%
Reports on June 25, 2026, indicated OpenAI is considering postponing its IPO to 2027 due to market volatility following SpaceX's IPO and intensifying competition from Anthropic and Google, causing a drop in market optimism.
Reports indicate OpenAI may delay IPO to 2027 amid market caution
↑$900B plunges to 72%22%
Following SpaceX's IPO and market volatility, reports emerged on June 25, 2026, that OpenAI is leaning toward delaying its IPO until 2027. This shift caused a decline in market confidence for higher valuation thresholds and increased uncertainty about the timing of OpenAI's public listing.
Reports emerge OpenAI leaning toward delaying IPO until 2027 amid market caution
↓$750B plunges to 35%19%
News that OpenAI was considering postponing its IPO to 2027 due to market conditions and investor caution following SpaceX's volatile IPO caused a decline in valuation market prices and increased uncertainty about the IPO timing.
Reports suggest OpenAI leans toward delaying IPO to 2027
↓$750B plunges to 35%15%
On June 25, 2026, The New York Times reported that OpenAI was considering delaying its IPO to 2027, with CFO Sarah Friar signaling a later debut and CEO Sam Altman insisting on a $1 trillion valuation floor. This news triggered market volatility and a tech selloff, reducing confidence in a 2026 IPO at the highest valuations.
Reports suggest OpenAI IPO delayed to 2027 amid valuation concerns
↑$1.25T dips to 37%4%
The New York Times reported that OpenAI is leaning toward delaying its IPO to 2027 due to concerns about meeting revenue targets and valuation expectations, causing market skepticism about a 2026 public listing.
OpenAI reportedly leans toward delaying IPO to 2027
↓$800B plunges to 39%15%
Reports indicated OpenAI is considering postponing its IPO to 2027 due to market volatility and valuation concerns, with CFO Sarah Friar and CEO Sam Altman emphasizing a $1 trillion valuation as a non-negotiable target.
OpenAI reportedly delays IPO to 2027, citing market volatility and valuation targets
↓$750B drops to 37%13%
Reports on June 25, 2026, indicated OpenAI is leaning toward delaying its IPO to 2027 due to market volatility following SpaceX's IPO and a desire to maintain a $1 trillion+ valuation, affecting market sentiment and valuation probabilities.
Reports emerge that OpenAI is considering delaying IPO until 2027
↑$1.75T drops to 14%13%
News that OpenAI might postpone its IPO to 2027 due to market conditions and SpaceX's underwhelming IPO debut caused sharp declines in near-term IPO valuation probabilities across all market outcomes.
Reports indicate OpenAI leaning toward 2027 IPO, delaying late 2026 listing
↓$750B drops to 45%8%
The New York Times reported on June 25, 2026, that OpenAI is considering delaying its IPO to 2027 rather than listing in late 2026, citing CFO Sarah Friar and CEO Sam Altman's valuation expectations. This news caused market volatility and a tech selloff, impacting valuation outlooks.
Reports indicate OpenAI leaning toward delaying IPO to 2027
↑$1.25T drops to 38%11%
On June 25, 2026, reports emerged that OpenAI was considering delaying its IPO to 2027 to maintain a valuation above $1 trillion, causing market uncertainty and a dip in valuation probabilities.
Anthropic raises $65 billion at $965 billion valuation, surpassing OpenAI
↓$750B drops to 43%12%
Anthropic's May 2026 funding round at a $965 billion valuation challenged OpenAI's market leadership, causing some downward pressure on OpenAI's valuation expectations and market prices for higher valuation outcomes.
New York Times reports OpenAI leaning toward 2027 IPO instead of 2026
↑$1.25T plunges to 71%15%
Reports indicated OpenAI was delaying its IPO to 2027, reflecting caution amid market conditions and regulatory scrutiny, which tempered valuation growth and market enthusiasm.
OpenAI leans toward delaying IPO to 2027 amid market caution
↓$700B drops to 30%8%
Reports on June 25, 2026, indicated OpenAI was considering postponing its IPO to 2027 due to market conditions and caution following SpaceX's IPO performance, leading to a decline in valuation probabilities.
OpenAI reportedly leans toward delaying IPO to 2027 amid valuation and market concerns
↓$750B drops to 28%7%
Reports in late June 2026 indicated OpenAI's leadership was considering postponing the IPO to 2027 to hold out for a $1 trillion valuation, amid market volatility and internal CFO concerns about readiness. This news caused a decline in market confidence and valuation probabilities for a 2026 IPO.
Reports indicate OpenAI IPO likely delayed to 2027 amid market volatility
↑$900B dips to 72%1%
The New York Times reported that OpenAI is leaning toward delaying its IPO to 2027 due to volatility in newly public tech stocks like SpaceX and concerns over valuation sustainability. This news caused a drop in market confidence reflected in price declines.
OpenAI leans toward delaying IPO until 2027 amid market caution
↓$750B plunges to 35%17%
Reports on June 25, 2026, indicated OpenAI was leaning toward postponing its IPO until 2027 due to market conditions and caution following SpaceX's IPO performance, leading to a decline in valuation market prices.
Reports suggest OpenAI IPO may be delayed to 2027 amid valuation concerns
↓$700B dips to 18%3%
The New York Times reported that OpenAI is leaning toward delaying its IPO to 2027, citing valuation and market volatility concerns, which triggered a tech selloff and lowered near-term IPO probability in prediction markets.
OpenAI leans toward delaying IPO to 2027 amid market volatility
↑$900B plunges to 73%22%
Reports emerged that OpenAI is considering postponing its IPO to 2027 due to market volatility and the recent performance of SpaceX's IPO. CEO Sam Altman reportedly set a $1 trillion valuation floor, and the delay caused a re-pricing in prediction markets, reflecting increased uncertainty about a 2026 IPO and valuation milestones.
OpenAI Q1 2026 financials reveal $3.7 billion loss against $5.7 billion revenue
↑$1.25T drops to 56%5%
Documents shared with shareholders in mid-June 2026 showed OpenAI burned $3.7 billion in Q1 2026 while generating $5.7 billion in revenue, highlighting ongoing heavy losses despite rapid revenue growth. This tempered enthusiasm and contributed to some price volatility and downward pressure on higher valuation outcomes.
OpenAI reports $3.7 billion Q1 2026 cash burn against $5.7 billion revenue
↓$800B plunges to 47%23%
Reuters reported OpenAI's significant cash burn in Q1 2026, highlighting ongoing profitability challenges that tempered some market enthusiasm despite strong revenue growth.
OpenAI Q1 2026 financials reveal $3.7B burn against $5.7B revenue
↓$750B plunges to 39%15%
Reports of high cash burn despite strong revenue growth raised concerns about profitability, contributing to market skepticism and valuation volatility.
OpenAI reports $3.7B Q1 2026 loss against $5.7B revenue
↑$1.25T plunges to 61%20%
Documents revealed OpenAI's significant cash burn despite strong revenue growth, highlighting profitability challenges. This tempered market enthusiasm and contributed to price volatility and downward pressure on higher valuation outcomes.
Reports reveal OpenAI's Q1 2026 financials showing $3.7B burn against $5.7B revenue
↓$750B drops to 41%11%
Documents shared with shareholders showed OpenAI's significant cash burn in Q1 2026, raising concerns about profitability and impacting valuation expectations negatively.
OpenAI Q1 2026 financials reveal $3.7 billion burn against $5.7 billion revenue
↓$800B plunges to 39%18%
Documents shared with shareholders in mid-June 2026 showed OpenAI burned $3.7 billion in Q1 2026 against $5.7 billion in revenue, highlighting high cash burn and raising concerns about profitability, which tempered market enthusiasm for the highest valuation outcomes.
Documents reveal OpenAI's Q1 2026 financials showing $3.7B burn against $5.7B revenue
↓$750B drops to 46%9%
On June 16, 2026, reports disclosed OpenAI's Q1 financials indicating significant cash burn despite strong revenue, raising concerns about profitability and influencing downward pressure on valuation probabilities.
OpenAI reports $2 billion monthly revenue, fueling valuation optimism
↑$900B rises to 91%2%
Mid-June reports confirmed OpenAI's $2 billion monthly revenue run rate, reinforcing investor belief in the company's growth trajectory despite ongoing losses, supporting higher valuation bets.
OpenAI's $122 billion funding round sets record private market valuation at $852 billion
OpenAI closed a $122 billion funding round in Q1 2026, establishing an $852 billion post-money valuation, the largest private funding round on record, which underpinned market expectations for a high IPO valuation.
SpaceX IPO priced at $1.75 trillion valuation, influencing AI IPO market
↑$1.75T jumps to 45%7%
SpaceX's massive IPO at a $1.75 trillion valuation set a high benchmark and affected investor appetite and timing considerations for OpenAI's IPO, contributing to market valuation volatility.
SpaceX completes record-breaking IPO, valuation hits $1.77 trillion
↓$750B plunges to 22%30%
SpaceX's IPO on June 12, 2026, raised over $85 billion and reached a $1.77 trillion valuation on debut. The market reaction to this IPO, including a subsequent price decline, influenced investor sentiment toward other AI companies like OpenAI, causing caution and valuation reassessment.
Apple announces Intelligence v2 at WWDC 2026, intensifying AI competition
↑$900B rises to 91%3%
At WWDC 2026 in mid-June, Apple revealed Intelligence v2, a significant AI product update that heightened competitive pressures in the AI market. This announcement influenced investor sentiment about OpenAI's growth prospects and valuation trajectory ahead of its IPO.
SpaceX completes record $1.77 trillion IPO, influencing AI IPO market sentiment
↓$750B dips to 32%3%
SpaceX's landmark IPO on June 12, 2026, valued at $1.77 trillion, set a new benchmark for tech IPOs and caused volatility in AI-related stocks, prompting caution among OpenAI advisors and impacting OpenAI's valuation trajectory.
SpaceX completes record IPO at $1.77 trillion valuation
↑$1.75T rises to 40%4%
SpaceX's successful IPO on June 12, 2026, at a $1.77 trillion valuation set a new benchmark for mega-IPOs and intensified competitive pressure on OpenAI to meet or exceed similar valuation targets. This event influenced market sentiment and valuation expectations for OpenAI's upcoming IPO.
SpaceX completes record IPO at $1.77 trillion valuation
↓$800B drops to 54%13%
SpaceX's successful IPO at a $1.77 trillion valuation created market volatility and raised concerns about mega-IPO valuations, influencing OpenAI's IPO timing and investor sentiment.
SpaceX completes historic IPO at $1.77 trillion valuation, influencing AI IPO market
↓$750B drops to 37%13%
SpaceX's June 12, 2026 IPO at a $1.77 trillion valuation set a new benchmark for tech IPOs, creating market volatility and influencing investor expectations for OpenAI's upcoming IPO and valuation trajectory.
Leaked audited financials reveal OpenAI's $20.9B operating loss in 2025
↓$750B plunges to 28%24%
Leaked audited financial statements showed OpenAI's significant operating losses of $20.9 billion in 2025, raising concerns about profitability and influencing market sentiment and valuation expectations ahead of the IPO.
OpenAI faces competitive pressure as Anthropic raises $30 billion at $900 billion valuation
↓$700B plunges to 18%16%
Anthropic's $30 billion funding round at a valuation exceeding $900 billion intensified competition in the AI IPO space, creating uncertainty about OpenAI's near-term IPO timing and valuation prospects.
OpenAI publicly confirms confidential IPO filing targeting $1 trillion valuation
↑$900B rises to 93%3%
OpenAI confirmed it submitted a confidential draft S-1 registration statement to the SEC, aiming for a potential IPO in late 2026 or 2027 with a valuation around $1 trillion, reinforcing market expectations and valuation optimism.
OpenAI files confidential draft S-1 registration statement with SEC targeting $1 trillion valuation
↑$1.25T surges to 86%35%
OpenAI officially started the IPO process by confidentially filing a draft S-1 with the SEC, targeting a valuation above $1 trillion, which increased market optimism and valuation prices across multiple outcomes.
OpenAI files confidential IPO application with SEC, targeting $850B-$1T valuation
↑$900B rises to 73%1%
OpenAI officially filed a confidential IPO application with the SEC on June 8, 2026, aiming for a late 2026 or 2027 public listing with a valuation target above $1 trillion, reinforcing market expectations for a high valuation IPO.
OpenAI confidentially files for IPO targeting valuation above $1 trillion
↑$1.25T jumps to 61%10%
On June 8, 2026, OpenAI filed confidentially for an IPO with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley as lead underwriters, targeting a valuation above $1 trillion, which reinforced market expectations for a high valuation despite uncertainty about timing.
OpenAI officially files confidential IPO registration with SEC
↑$900B rises to 94%3%
OpenAI filed confidentially with the SEC for an IPO targeting a valuation exceeding $1 trillion, with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley as lead underwriters, advancing its public listing plans.
OpenAI confidentially files draft IPO registration statement with SEC
↑$900B surges to 90%18%
OpenAI submitted a confidential draft S-1 registration statement to the SEC around May 22, 2026, signaling formal IPO preparations. This filing confirmed the company's intent to go public, boosting market confidence in a near-term IPO and valuation above $1 trillion.
OpenAI publicly confirms confidential S-1 filing with SEC for IPO
↑$900B surges to 89%17%
OpenAI confirmed it submitted a confidential draft S-1 registration statement to the SEC around May 22, 2026, signaling active IPO preparations with a likely public filing and roadshow in late July or early August 2026, targeting a late 2026 or early 2027 listing.
OpenAI confidentially submits draft S-1 to SEC
↑$900B rises to 94%4%
OpenAI submitted a confidential draft S-1 registration statement to the SEC, marking a key step toward its anticipated IPO and drawing significant market attention to its valuation and revenue prospects.
OpenAI files confidential S-1 with SEC targeting September IPO
↑$900B rises to 93%2%
On June 8, 2026, OpenAI filed a confidential S-1 registration statement with the SEC, signaling the start of its IPO process. This development increased market optimism about the company's valuation reaching or exceeding $900 billion by the end of the year.
OpenAI publicly confirms confidential IPO filing with $852 billion valuation
↑$1.0T jumps to 91%8%
OpenAI publicly confirmed its confidential IPO filing with the SEC, reaffirming its $852 billion valuation and IPO plans. This transparency further influenced market pricing and investor expectations for a high valuation IPO.
OpenAI confidentially files IPO draft S-1, valuation rises to $908 billion
↑$900B dips to 92%2%
OpenAI filed a confidential draft S-1 on June 8, 2026, with a Forge Price valuation rising to approximately $908 billion, reflecting increased investor interest and anticipation of a $1 trillion IPO valuation.
OpenAI's Forge private market valuation rises to $908 billion ahead of IPO
↑$900B jumps to 78%6%
Forge Global data showed OpenAI's private market valuation increasing to approximately $908 billion, reflecting growing investor appetite and supporting expectations for a $1 trillion IPO valuation.
OpenAI confidentially files for IPO with SEC targeting late 2026 listing
↑$900B surges to 90%40%
OpenAI submitted a confidential S-1 registration statement to the SEC, signaling a formal step toward a public offering potentially in late 2026, which boosted market confidence in a valuation above $850 billion and increased pricing for higher valuation outcomes.
OpenAI confidentially files draft S-1 registration statement with SEC
↑$900B rises to 73%1%
OpenAI filed a confidential draft S-1 with the SEC on June 8, 2026, signaling the start of the IPO process targeting a valuation above $1 trillion and a potential public listing as early as September 2026, boosting market optimism.
OpenAI officially files confidential S-1 with SEC, targeting late 2026 IPO at $1 trillion valuation
↑$1.0T surges to 94%24%
OpenAI's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC in early June 2026 confirmed its intent to go public with a valuation target of $1 trillion, reinforcing market expectations for a blockbuster IPO and driving valuation optimism in private markets.
OpenAI publicly announces confidential S-1 filing and 900 million weekly active users
OpenAI publicly confirmed its confidential S-1 filing and disclosed 900 million weekly active users, reinforcing investor confidence in its growth and IPO prospects, supporting valuation increases.
OpenAI files confidential draft S-1 with SEC, aiming for September IPO at up to $1 trillion valuation
On June 8, 2026, OpenAI filed a confidential draft S-1 registration statement with the SEC, confirming its intent to go public in September 2026 with a valuation target up to $1 trillion. This reinforced market expectations for a historic IPO and influenced valuation-related price movements.
OpenAI confirms confidential S-1 filing with SEC, targeting September IPO
OpenAI publicly confirmed its confidential S-1 filing with the SEC, aiming for a September 2026 IPO with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley as lead underwriters. This confirmation intensified market focus on the company's valuation and IPO timing.
OpenAI confidentially files IPO paperwork targeting $1 trillion valuation
↑$1.0T surges to 69%19%
OpenAI filed confidential S-1 registration with the SEC aiming for a September 2026 IPO with a valuation above $1 trillion, signaling strong market ambitions and fueling optimism despite later reports of potential delays.
OpenAI confidentially files S-1 with SEC for IPO targeting $1 trillion valuation
On June 8, 2026, OpenAI officially filed a confidential S-1 registration statement with the SEC, signaling the start of its IPO process with a target valuation of $1 trillion and a potential public listing in late 2026.
OpenAI files confidentially with SEC for IPO targeting $1 trillion+ valuation
↑$1.25T jumps to 76%14%
OpenAI confidentially filed with the SEC for an IPO aiming for a valuation exceeding $1 trillion, led by Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley. This formal step in the IPO process reinforced market expectations for a late 2026 public offering and influenced valuation market prices.
OpenAI officially files confidential S-1 with SEC targeting $1 trillion valuation
↑$900B surges to 87%37%
OpenAI filed a confidential S-1 registration statement with the SEC on June 8-9, 2026, marking a key milestone toward a public listing expected by late 2026 and targeting a valuation above $1 trillion, which bolstered market confidence in the IPO and valuation prospects.
OpenAI files S-1 with SEC and hires head of investor relations
↑$900B jumps to 86%14%
OpenAI filed its S-1 confidentially and hired Cynthia Gaylor as head of investor relations, signaling active IPO preparations and increasing market confidence in the company's valuation trajectory.
OpenAI confirms confidential IPO filing with SEC
↑$900B rises to 73%1%
OpenAI publicly confirmed its confidential S-1 filing with the SEC, reinforcing market expectations for a late 2026 or early 2027 IPO and supporting valuations near $900 billion to $1 trillion.
OpenAI's Forge Price hits $733.54 at $908.81 billion valuation
↑$900B rises to 73%1%
Private market data from Forge showed OpenAI's valuation rising to approximately $909 billion, reflecting investor confidence amid IPO preparations and competitive pressures from Anthropic.
OpenAI confidentially files IPO draft S-1 targeting $1 trillion valuation
↑$1.0T surges to 84%34%
OpenAI filed a confidential draft S-1 with the SEC, reportedly targeting a valuation above $1 trillion, reinforcing expectations of a historic IPO and influencing valuation markets.
OpenAI publicly confirms confidential S-1 filing, IPO process underway
↑$1.0T jumps to 92%13%
OpenAI publicly confirmed its confidential S-1 filing with the SEC, reinforcing expectations for a Q4 2026 IPO at a valuation above $1 trillion. This confirmation supported market optimism and valuation increases in the prediction market.
OpenAI publicly confirms confidential S-1 filing with SEC
↑$1.25T jumps to 62%11%
On June 8, 2026, OpenAI publicly confirmed its confidential S-1 filing, reinforcing its IPO plans with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley as lead underwriters and targeting a valuation above $1 trillion. This confirmation supported market confidence in the IPO timeline and valuation.
OpenAI closes $122 billion funding round at $852 billion valuation
↑$900B surges to 90%40%
In March 2026, OpenAI raised $122 billion at an $852 billion post-money valuation, the largest private tech funding round ever, setting a strong valuation anchor ahead of the IPO filing and fueling market optimism.
OpenAI files confidential IPO draft S-1, signals no immediate listing date
↑$1.25T jumps to 62%11%
OpenAI announced it had confidentially submitted a draft S-1 to the SEC but cautioned that timing was undecided and the IPO process might take a while, tempering market expectations for a 2026 IPO.
OpenAI confidentially files draft S-1 with SEC targeting $1 trillion valuation
On June 8, 2026, OpenAI confirmed its confidential IPO filing with the SEC, reaffirming its $852 billion valuation and IPO plans, which further influenced market pricing and investor expectations for a high valuation IPO.
OpenAI files confidential IPO targeting $850 billion valuation with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley
↑$1.0T surges to 95%15%
On June 8, 2026, OpenAI filed confidential IPO documents with the SEC, confirming its intent to go public with a valuation around $850 billion to $1 trillion, managed by Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, reinforcing market expectations for a late 2026 IPO.
OpenAI publicly confirms confidential IPO filing with SEC, targeting late 2026 listing
OpenAI publicly confirmed its confidential S-1 filing on June 8, 2026, reinforcing market expectations for a late 2026 IPO with a valuation above $1 trillion, and intensifying investor focus on its public market debut.
OpenAI confirms confidential S-1 filing and IPO preparations
↑$1.0T rises to 80%1%
On June 8, 2026, OpenAI publicly confirmed its confidential S-1 filing with the SEC, reinforcing expectations of an IPO in late 2026 or 2027. This confirmation maintained market interest and valuation speculation, supporting higher valuation outcomes.
OpenAI confidentially files S-1 with SEC targeting valuation above $1 trillion
↑$1.25T surges to 77%16%
The confidential S-1 filing reinforced expectations of a $1 trillion+ valuation IPO, supporting high market prices. However, management indicated the IPO process might take time, adding some uncertainty.
OpenAI confidentially files draft S-1 with SEC targeting $1 trillion valuation
↑$1.25T surges to 86%36%
OpenAI filed its confidential draft S-1 registration statement with the SEC, officially starting the IPO process with a target valuation above $1 trillion, which increased market optimism and valuation prices.
OpenAI confidentially files IPO with SEC targeting valuation above $1 trillion
↑$1.25T surges to 88%27%
On June 8, 2026, OpenAI confidentially filed its IPO registration with the SEC, reportedly targeting a valuation above $1 trillion. This event reinforced market expectations for a high valuation but also introduced uncertainty about timing and investor appetite.
OpenAI confidentially submits S-1 but signals IPO timing uncertainty
↑$1.25T plunges to 62%15%
OpenAI's confidential S-1 submission reaffirmed IPO progress but the company's statement that 'it may be a while' introduced uncertainty, causing mixed market reactions and declines in higher valuation probabilities.
OpenAI files confidential S-1 with SEC targeting September IPO
↑$1.0T surges to 84%34%
OpenAI filed a confidential S-1 registration statement with the SEC on June 8, 2026, signaling active IPO preparations with a target valuation between $852 billion and $1 trillion, boosting market expectations for a public listing.
OpenAI confidentially files S-1 with SEC, targeting late 2026 IPO
↑$1.0T jumps to 64%14%
OpenAI filed a confidential draft registration statement with the SEC, formally beginning the IPO process and signaling a potential public listing in Q4 2026. This filing increased market confidence in OpenAI's valuation prospects but also introduced execution risk and timing uncertainty.
OpenAI files confidential IPO registration with SEC targeting $850B+ valuation
OpenAI confidentially submitted a draft S-1 registration statement to the SEC, marking the first formal step toward an IPO potentially valued between $852 billion and $1 trillion, signaling imminent public market entry.
OpenAI submits confidential S-1 filing revealing $25B revenue and $122B funding
OpenAI submitted a confidential S-1 filing disclosing $25 billion annualized revenue and confirming the $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion valuation, providing detailed financials that shaped market expectations for a late 2026 or early 2027 IPO.
Anthropic files confidential S-1 with $965 billion valuation, intensifying competition
↓$750B plunges to 35%15%
Anthropic filed its confidential S-1 with a $965 billion valuation, surpassing OpenAI and increasing competitive pressure, which influenced market perceptions of OpenAI's valuation trajectory and IPO timing.
Anthropic files IPO paperwork at $965 billion valuation, intensifying AI IPO race
↓$750B plunges to 35%15%
Anthropic's June 1 IPO filing at a $965 billion valuation heightened competition in the AI IPO market, pressuring OpenAI's valuation and contributing to market volatility.
Anthropic files confidential IPO paperwork targeting $965 billion valuation
↓$800B drops to 51%8%
Anthropic, OpenAI's closest competitor, filed its own confidential IPO registration at a $965 billion valuation, intensifying competition and impacting market perceptions of OpenAI's valuation prospects and timing.
Amazon commits $50 billion in strategic cloud deal with OpenAI
↑$900B rises to 94%4%
Amazon's $50 billion commitment to OpenAI's cloud infrastructure in early June 2026 diversified OpenAI's compute partnerships beyond Microsoft, bolstering investor confidence in infrastructure resilience and valuation.
Anthropic files for IPO at $965 billion valuation, intensifying AI IPO race
↓$750B drops to 28%7%
Anthropic filed its own IPO paperwork at a $965 billion valuation, setting up simultaneous AI listings and increasing competitive pressure on OpenAI, which influenced market sentiment and valuation expectations for both companies.
OpenAI completes record $122 billion funding round at $852 billion valuation
OpenAI closed the largest private funding round in history, raising $122 billion and achieving an $852 billion post-money valuation, significantly boosting market confidence in its valuation trajectory.
Anthropic files for IPO at $965 billion valuation, intensifying AI IPO race
↓$800B drops to 51%8%
Anthropic's confidential IPO filing at a $965 billion valuation heightened competitive pressure on OpenAI, influencing market perceptions and causing some downward pressure on OpenAI's valuation prospects.
SpaceX IPO filing intensifies AI IPO market competition
↑$900B rises to 92%2%
SpaceX filed its public S-1 prospectus on May 20, 2026, with a Nasdaq debut expected in June. This high-profile IPO filing intensified competition for investor capital in the AI and tech IPO space, indirectly pressuring OpenAI's IPO timing and valuation expectations.
Anthropic files confidential IPO prospectus, intensifying AI IPO race
↓$800B plunges to 39%20%
Anthropic, OpenAI's main competitor, filed its confidential IPO prospectus targeting an October 2026 debut, surpassing OpenAI's valuation in private markets and increasing competitive pressure on OpenAI's IPO timing and valuation.
Anthropic confidentially files for IPO, intensifying AI IPO competition
↓$750B drops to 36%14%
Anthropic filed a confidential IPO prospectus, increasing competitive pressure on OpenAI and causing some market uncertainty about OpenAI's IPO timing and valuation, which contributed to a decline in confidence for near-term OpenAI IPO outcomes.
OpenAI confidentially files for IPO, eyes December 2026 public offering
OpenAI's confidential IPO filing with the SEC signaled strong market confidence in a public offering by December 31, 2026, with expectations of a valuation potentially exceeding $1 trillion, influencing market pricing positively.
Anthropic raises $65 billion at $965 billion valuation, surpassing OpenAI
↓$800B dips to 54%3%
Anthropic's funding round at a higher valuation than OpenAI's $852 billion round shifted competitive dynamics, causing some downward pressure on OpenAI's valuation market prices.
Anthropic files IPO paperwork at $965 billion valuation, intensifying AI IPO race
↑$1.25T drops to 37%6%
Anthropic's IPO filing at a $965 billion valuation heightened competitive pressure on OpenAI, casting doubt on OpenAI's ability to IPO first or at a higher valuation, which contributed to market uncertainty and price declines for OpenAI's higher valuation outcomes.
Anthropic confidentially files draft S-1 with SEC, intensifying AI IPO race
↑$900B rises to 94%1%
Anthropic's confidential IPO filing increased competitive pressure on OpenAI, influencing market sentiment and valuation expectations for both companies' upcoming IPOs.
Anthropic raises $30 billion at $900 billion valuation, surpassing OpenAI
↓$800B drops to 63%6%
Anthropic's large funding round and valuation surpassing OpenAI's introduced competitive pressure, causing some decline in optimism for OpenAI's near-term IPO valuation targets.
Anthropic files confidential S-1 ahead of OpenAI, intensifying IPO race
↓$800B rises to 53%1%
Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing at a $965 billion valuation put pressure on OpenAI to accelerate or justify its own IPO valuation, impacting market sentiment and competitive positioning.
OpenAI closes record $122 billion funding round at $852 billion valuation
↑$900B rises to 92%2%
OpenAI completed the largest private funding round in history, raising $122 billion at an $852 billion valuation, led by Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, reinforcing its market leadership and fueling IPO valuation expectations.
Anthropic agrees $30 billion funding round at $900 billion valuation, surpassing OpenAI
↓$750B plunges to 35%15%
Anthropic closed a $30 billion funding round at a $900 billion valuation, overtaking OpenAI's $852 billion valuation and intensifying competition in the AI IPO race, which contributed to market uncertainty and a dip in OpenAI valuation probabilities.
OpenAI crosses 1 billion monthly active users milestone
↑$900B rises to 92%2%
In late May 2026, OpenAI announced ChatGPT surpassed 1 billion monthly active users, reinforcing its dominant market position and supporting high valuation expectations.
OpenAI launches GPT-5.6 as default ChatGPT model
↑$900B surges to 95%21%
OpenAI released GPT-5.6 as the default ChatGPT model, a significant product update that reinforced its market leadership and supported valuation optimism despite competitive pressures from Anthropic and others.
Anthropic surpasses OpenAI with $900 billion valuation in private funding round
↑$900B surges to 92%42%
Anthropic announced a $900 billion valuation led by major investors, overtaking OpenAI and intensifying competition in the AI sector. This event influenced market perceptions of OpenAI's relative valuation and prospects.
Anthropic surpasses OpenAI with $900 billion valuation, intensifying AI IPO race
↓$800B dips to 57%2%
Anthropic reached a $900 billion valuation on May 29, 2026, overtaking OpenAI and intensifying competition in the AI IPO market, impacting investor sentiment and OpenAI's valuation prospects.
Anthropic closes $30 billion Series H at $965 billion valuation, surpassing OpenAI
↓$800B jumps to 59%8%
Anthropic raised $30 billion in a Series H funding round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, overtaking OpenAI's $852 billion valuation. This event intensified competition in the AI market and affected investor sentiment regarding OpenAI's relative valuation.
OpenAI closes $122 billion funding round at $852 billion valuation
↑$900B surges to 90%40%
On March 31, 2026, OpenAI closed the largest private funding round in history, raising $122 billion at an $852 billion post-money valuation, setting a new benchmark for private AI company valuations and fueling market optimism.
OpenAI closes record $122 billion funding round at $852 billion valuation
↑$900B surges to 94%44%
OpenAI completed the largest private funding round in history, raising $122 billion at an $852 billion post-money valuation, significantly boosting investor confidence and market valuation expectations.
OpenAI confidentially files draft IPO registration statement with SEC
↑$1.0T surges to 86%36%
OpenAI filed a confidential draft registration statement with the SEC around May 22, 2026, signaling the start of the IPO process targeting a valuation above $1 trillion. This formal step increased market optimism about a late 2026 or early 2027 public listing and valuation growth.
OpenAI closes historic $122 billion funding round at $852 billion valuation
↑$900B surges to 90%40%
OpenAI completed the largest private funding round in history, raising $122 billion at an $852 billion post-money valuation. This massive capital raise significantly boosted investor confidence in OpenAI's growth prospects and valuation, driving up market prices for various valuation targets.
Anthropic closes $30B funding round at $965B valuation, surpassing OpenAI
↓$750B plunges to 35%15%
Anthropic's May 2026 Series H funding round valued it at $965 billion, overtaking OpenAI's $852 billion valuation and intensifying competition in the AI IPO space. This event tempered market enthusiasm for OpenAI's higher valuation targets.
Anthropic raises $65B at $965B valuation, surpassing OpenAI
↓$750B plunges to 35%15%
Anthropic's large funding round at a $965 billion valuation in late May 2026 surpassed OpenAI's $852 billion valuation, intensifying competition and causing some downward pressure on OpenAI's valuation market prices.
Reports emerge of OpenAI targeting $1 trillion IPO valuation in late 2026
↑$1.0T surges to 83%33%
Media reports highlighted OpenAI's ambition for a $1 trillion IPO valuation and a potential public listing in the fourth quarter of 2026, reinforcing market expectations and driving price increases.
Market optimism surges as OpenAI valuation nears $900B
↑$900B surges to 90%40%
Market prices for the $900B valuation option jumped sharply from 50% to 90% as investors reacted positively to OpenAI's strong revenue growth and dominant market position.
OpenAI raises $122 billion at $852 billion valuation in largest private funding round
↑$900B surges to 91%41%
OpenAI closed a historic $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, the largest private tech fundraise ever. This milestone reinforced OpenAI's market leadership and valuation, driving optimism for a future IPO above $1 trillion.
OpenAI confidentially files IPO paperwork targeting $852B–$1T valuation
↑$900B rises to 92%4%
OpenAI filed a confidential draft registration statement with the SEC on May 22, 2026, signaling its intent to go public with a valuation between $852 billion and $1 trillion, which significantly influenced market optimism and valuation probabilities.
OpenAI confidentially files S-1 IPO registration with SEC targeting $1 trillion valuation
↑$900B surges to 90%40%
OpenAI filed a confidential draft registration statement with the SEC on May 22, 2026, marking the formal start of its IPO process with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley as lead underwriters, aiming for a public listing as early as September 2026 at a valuation above $1 trillion.
OpenAI confidentially files draft S-1 with SEC targeting $1 trillion valuation
↑$1.25T jumps to 62%11%
On May 22, 2026, OpenAI confidentially filed its draft S-1 registration statement with the SEC, aiming for a valuation above $1 trillion, which significantly influenced market optimism and valuation probabilities.
OpenAI files confidential S-1 with SEC, targeting $1 trillion IPO valuation
↑$1.25T jumps to 62%11%
The confidential S-1 filing on May 22, 2026, confirmed OpenAI's intent to go public with a valuation north of $1 trillion, the largest IPO in history if achieved, driving a surge in market optimism.
OpenAI files confidential draft S-1 registration statement with SEC targeting $1 trillion valuation
OpenAI officially started the IPO process with a confidential S-1 filing around May 22, 2026, aiming for a valuation above $1 trillion, which increased market optimism and valuation prices.
OpenAI files confidential draft registration statement with SEC
↑$900B jumps to 92%5%
OpenAI confidentially filed its S-1 registration statement with the SEC, signaling serious intent to go public and targeting a valuation above $1 trillion, which boosted market optimism.
OpenAI confidentially files draft IPO registration with SEC targeting $1 trillion valuation
↑$1.0T surges to 84%34%
OpenAI filed a confidential S-1 registration statement with the SEC around May 22, 2026, signaling formal IPO preparations targeting a valuation above $1 trillion and a public listing window between September and November 2026, which significantly influenced market valuation expectations.
OpenAI confidentially files S-1 with SEC targeting $1 trillion IPO valuation
↑$1.0T surges to 84%34%
OpenAI submitted a confidential draft S-1 registration statement to the SEC around May 22, 2026, signaling formal IPO preparations with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley as lead underwriters and targeting a valuation near $1 trillion.
OpenAI confidentially files draft IPO registration with SEC
↑$900B rises to 94%3%
OpenAI submitted a confidential draft registration statement to the SEC around May 22, 2026, marking a formal step toward a potential IPO targeting a valuation above $1 trillion, signaling serious intent to go public in late 2026 or 2027.
OpenAI confidential IPO filing with SEC confirms intent for public listing
OpenAI confidentially filed its draft S-1 registration statement with the SEC around May 22, 2026, confirming formal IPO preparations and targeting a late 2026 or 2027 listing with a valuation near $1 trillion.
OpenAI confidentially files S-1 for IPO targeting $1 trillion valuation
↑$1.25T jumps to 61%10%
OpenAI filed a confidential draft S-1 with the SEC on May 22, 2026, signaling preparation for an IPO with a target valuation above $1 trillion. This filing significantly boosted market optimism about a high valuation IPO.
OpenAI confidentially files draft S-1 registration statement with SEC
↑$1.0T surges to 84%34%
OpenAI submitted a confidential S-1 filing with the SEC around May 22, 2026, signaling formal IPO preparations targeting a late 2026 or 2027 public listing. This filing increased market attention on OpenAI's valuation prospects and IPO timing, impacting valuation probabilities.
OpenAI files confidential IPO registration with SEC
↑$1.0T surges to 85%35%
OpenAI filed a confidential draft S-1 registration statement with the SEC on June 8, 2026, signaling preparation for a public offering potentially in late 2026. This filing increased market attention and speculation about OpenAI reaching or exceeding a $1 trillion valuation by year-end.
OpenAI files confidential draft S-1 registration with SEC
↑$900B surges to 91%41%
OpenAI submitted a confidential draft S-1 registration statement to the SEC, marking the formal start of its IPO process and signaling a potential public listing in late 2026 or 2027.
OpenAI confidentially files IPO prospectus targeting over $1 trillion valuation
↑$1.0T surges to 84%34%
OpenAI filed a confidential S-1 registration statement with the SEC around May 22, 2026, aiming for a public listing as early as September 2026 with a valuation above $1 trillion. This filing marked a key step toward going public and increased market expectations for a blockbuster IPO.
OpenAI files confidential draft registration statement with SEC
↑$1.0T surges to 85%35%
OpenAI confidentially filed for an IPO, signaling serious intent to go public possibly in late 2026. This filing increased market optimism and valuation expectations, pushing prices higher.
OpenAI confidentially files draft S-1 IPO registration with SEC
↑$900B surges to 87%37%
OpenAI filed a confidential draft S-1 registration statement with the SEC, officially initiating the IPO process and signaling serious intent to list in late 2026, which increased market optimism about the valuation reaching or exceeding $900 billion.
OpenAI files confidential S-1 with SEC targeting $1 trillion valuation
↑$1.0T surges to 83%33%
OpenAI confidentially filed its draft S-1 registration statement with the SEC, signaling formal IPO preparations and targeting a valuation between $852 billion and $1 trillion. This filing increased market optimism about a high valuation IPO.
Anthropic beats OpenAI to first profitable quarter in AI race
↓$750B plunges to 35%15%
Anthropic reported revenue more than doubling to $10.9 billion in Q2 2026 and projected profitability, strengthening its valuation narrative relative to OpenAI, which remained unprofitable. This news pressured OpenAI's valuation prospects and influenced market pricing downward for higher valuation outcomes.
OpenAI confidentially files IPO registration with SEC targeting $1 trillion valuation
↑$1.0T surges to 84%34%
OpenAI confidentially filed its S-1 registration statement with the SEC, signaling active IPO preparations targeting a valuation above $1 trillion and a public debut as early as September 2026. This filing increased market confidence in the higher valuation outcomes.
OpenAI plans September IPO with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley
↑$900B surges to 90%40%
Reports indicated OpenAI was preparing to file a confidential IPO prospectus targeting a September 2026 debut, working with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, which increased market confidence in a near-term IPO and valuation growth.
Jury rules Elon Musk's lawsuit against OpenAI is time-barred
↑$900B surges to 90%40%
A jury found that Elon Musk's lawsuit challenging OpenAI's restructuring was filed beyond the statute of limitations, removing a significant legal uncertainty and boosting investor confidence in OpenAI's valuation prospects.
Anthropic raises $65B at $965B valuation, surpassing OpenAI
↑$1.0T rises to 86%2%
Anthropic's $65 billion Series H funding at a $965 billion valuation surpassed OpenAI's valuation, shifting market dynamics and investor sentiment about AI company valuations.
OpenAI closes $122B funding round at $852B valuation
↑$900B surges to 91%41%
OpenAI completed a historic $122 billion funding round in March 2026, establishing a post-money valuation of approximately $852 billion, which set a strong baseline for its anticipated IPO valuation and market confidence.
OpenAI confidentially files IPO registration statement with SEC
↑$900B surges to 91%41%
OpenAI confidentially filed its S-1 IPO registration statement with the SEC, signaling the start of the IPO process targeting a public debut as early as September 2026 with a valuation above $1 trillion, which increased market optimism about the company's valuation milestones.
OpenAI's valuation surges after closing $122B funding round
↑$900B surges to 90%40%
Following the March 31, 2026 close of a $122 billion funding round valuing OpenAI at $852 billion, market confidence surged, reflecting investor enthusiasm for OpenAI's rapid growth and compute infrastructure commitments.
OpenAI confidentially files IPO prospectus with SEC
↑$900B surges to 91%41%
OpenAI filed a confidential S-1 registration statement with the SEC, marking the formal start of its IPO process targeting a valuation between $852 billion and $1 trillion, signaling serious intent for a late 2026 public listing.
OpenAI prepares confidential IPO filing amid legal victory
↑$900B rises to 91%4%
Following the favorable jury ruling, OpenAI reportedly prepared to confidentially file for an IPO, signaling progress toward a public listing and increasing market optimism about a late 2026 IPO and valuation near $1 trillion.
OpenAI's potential IPO news boosts market confidence in $1.75T valuation target
↑$1.75T jumps to 27%9%
News of OpenAI's impending IPO and valuation ambitions caused a notable increase in market optimism for the $1.75 trillion valuation target, reflected in a 13% price increase over 24 hours.
Jury dismisses Elon Musk's lawsuit against OpenAI, clearing IPO path
↑$900B surges to 90%40%
On May 20, 2026, a jury dismissed Elon Musk's lawsuit alleging breach of contract and fraud against OpenAI, removing a major legal obstacle to the company's IPO timeline. This legal resolution was a critical catalyst enabling OpenAI to proceed confidently with its confidential S-1 filing and IPO plans.
OpenAI's $122B funding round closes at $852B valuation
↑$900B surges to 79%29%
The closing of OpenAI's record $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion valuation marked a significant milestone, boosting investor confidence in the company's growth potential and infrastructure commitments, which drove up market optimism for hitting the $900B valuation mark.
OpenAI preparing confidential IPO filing with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley
↑$1.0T surges to 85%35%
On May 20, 2026, reports emerged that OpenAI was preparing to confidentially file for a U.S. IPO, working with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, signaling imminent public offering plans and driving up valuation expectations.
Polymarket launches prediction markets on private company valuations including OpenAI
↑$900B surges to 87%37%
Polymarket partnered with Nasdaq Private Market to launch prediction markets on private company valuations, including OpenAI, providing a new public pricing layer that boosted market interest and optimism for OpenAI's valuation milestones.
OpenAI discusses raising funds at $750 billion valuation
↓$750B plunges to 35%15%
Reuters reported that OpenAI was holding preliminary talks with investors about raising funds at a valuation of around $750 billion, signaling serious IPO preparations and strengthening market expectations for a 2026 listing.
OpenAI preparing to confidentially file for IPO soon
↑$1.0T surges to 85%35%
On May 20, 2026, reports emerged that OpenAI was preparing to confidentially file a draft IPO prospectus with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley advising, signaling imminent IPO plans and driving up valuation expectations.
OpenAI preparing confidential IPO filing with SEC, targeting September 2026 listing
↑$900B surges to 90%40%
Reports from CNBC and Axios indicated OpenAI was preparing a confidential IPO filing, signaling a potential public debut as early as September 2026 at a valuation above $1 trillion, which increased market optimism.
Anthropic reports strong Q2 revenue and first profitable quarter
↓$750B plunges to 35%15%
Anthropic's announcement of $10.9 billion Q2 revenue and profitability highlighted competitive pressure on OpenAI, tempering enthusiasm for higher valuation targets and influencing market price volatility.
OpenAI confidentially files IPO draft registration with SEC
↑$1.0T surges to 83%33%
OpenAI filed a confidential S-1 registration statement around May 22, 2026, marking the formal start of its IPO process targeting a valuation above $1 trillion and a public listing as early as September 2026, which boosted market confidence.
OpenAI files confidential IPO prospectus with SEC targeting $1 trillion valuation
OpenAI filed a confidential IPO prospectus around May 22, 2026, aiming for a public listing as early as September 2026 with a valuation north of $1 trillion, marking a major milestone toward going public and boosting market valuation expectations.
Reports emerge of OpenAI preparing confidential IPO filing targeting September 2026
↑$900B surges to 89%39%
Media outlets reported that OpenAI was preparing to confidentially file a draft IPO prospectus with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley advising, targeting a September 2026 IPO at a valuation above $1 trillion. This news boosted market confidence in OpenAI reaching high valuations.
OpenAI confidentially files S-1 IPO registration with SEC
↑$900B surges to 90%40%
OpenAI confidentially filed its S-1 IPO registration statement on May 22, 2026, marking the formal start of its IPO process with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley as lead underwriters. This filing signaled a potential public debut as early as September 2026 at a valuation above $1 trillion, significantly increasing market optimism for higher valuation outcomes.
Reports emerge that OpenAI is preparing to confidentially file for IPO
↑$900B rises to 92%3%
Major news outlets reported OpenAI's imminent confidential IPO filing, increasing market optimism for a 2026 IPO and driving up valuation probabilities.
Anthropic raises $30 billion at $900 billion valuation, surpassing OpenAI
↑$900B surges to 88%38%
Anthropic's large funding round at a $900 billion valuation briefly overtook OpenAI, intensifying competition and impacting market perceptions of OpenAI's valuation ceiling.
OpenAI reports $2B monthly revenue and $25B annualized run rate
↑$900B surges to 80%30%
OpenAI's reported revenue of $2 billion per month in early 2026 reinforced its high valuation, supporting market optimism for the $900B and $1.0T valuation options during the analysis window.
OpenAI files confidential S-1 registration for IPO
↑$900B surges to 90%40%
OpenAI confidentially filed its S-1 registration statement with the SEC, marking the formal start of its IPO process. The filing indicated a target public debut as early as September 2026 with a valuation above $1 trillion, significantly influencing market expectations and valuation probabilities.
OpenAI announces plans for Q4 2026 IPO targeting over $1 trillion valuation
↑$1.0T surges to 84%34%
Reports emerged that OpenAI is preparing for a Q4 2026 IPO with a target valuation exceeding $1 trillion, supported by confidential S-1 filing preparations and engagement with major investment banks. This announcement increased market optimism and led to price surges for higher valuation outcomes.
OpenAI prepares confidential IPO filing targeting $1 trillion valuation
↑$1.0T rises to 87%3%
Reports emerged that OpenAI was preparing to file a confidential S-1 registration statement with the SEC around May 22, 2026, aiming for a public debut at or above a $1 trillion valuation. This filing marked a formal step toward an IPO and influenced market expectations and valuation dynamics.
OpenAI's potential IPO plans boost market confidence in valuation prospects
↑$1.75T jumps to 25%7%
News of OpenAI's impending IPO and valuation targets increased market optimism, reflected in a 7% rise in the $1.75T valuation target price, signaling growing investor confidence in OpenAI's valuation potential by year-end.
Polymarket partners with Nasdaq Private Market to launch private company valuation prediction markets
↑$900B surges to 87%37%
Polymarket partnered with Nasdaq Private Market to launch prediction markets allowing trading on private company valuation milestones, including OpenAI's valuation by December 31, 2026. This introduced a new public pricing layer for private valuations, boosting market interest and initial pricing optimism.
Polymarket launches prediction markets on OpenAI valuation milestones
↑$900B surges to 87%37%
Polymarket partnered with Nasdaq Private Market to launch prediction markets on OpenAI's valuation, increasing public visibility and trading interest in the company's private market valuation.
Jury finds Elon Musk's lawsuit against OpenAI time-barred
↑$900B surges to 87%37%
A jury verdict on May 18, 2026, cleared a significant legal hurdle for OpenAI by ruling Elon Musk's lawsuit time-barred, removing a major obstacle to the company's IPO plans and boosting investor confidence in its valuation prospects.
OpenAI's advertising business hits $2.5 to $3 billion ARR by December 2026
OpenAI's advertising revenue growth and expansion efforts contributed to positive market sentiment about its valuation prospects, supporting higher valuation targets in the market.
Anthropic raises $30 billion at $900 billion valuation, surpassing OpenAI
↑$900B surges to 91%41%
Anthropic completed a $30 billion Series H funding round at a $900 billion valuation, overtaking OpenAI's $852 billion valuation. This intensified competitive pressure and cast doubt on OpenAI's ability to reach higher valuation milestones by year-end.
OpenAI confidentially files draft S-1 registration statement with SEC
↑$900B surges to 90%40%
OpenAI submitted a confidential draft S-1 registration statement around May 19, 2026, marking the formal start of its IPO process and signaling to investors a potential public listing targeting a valuation above $1 trillion. This filing increased market confidence in the company's near-term public debut prospects.
OpenAI's $25B ARR milestone reached early 2026
↑$900B surges to 90%40%
OpenAI achieved an annualized revenue run rate of approximately $25 billion by early 2026, demonstrating rapid growth and supporting high valuation expectations in the market.
OpenAI's confidential IPO filing anticipation begins amid $852 billion valuation
Prior to the official confidential filing, market anticipation built around OpenAI's planned IPO and its $852 billion valuation from March 2026 funding. This anticipation contributed to initial price movements and set the stage for the May 22 filing impact.
OpenAI files confidential S-1 with SEC targeting September IPO
↑$1.0T surges to 84%34%
On June 8, 2026, OpenAI confidentially filed an S-1 with the SEC, signaling its intent to go public potentially in September 2026 with a valuation between $852 billion and $1 trillion. This filing increased market confidence in a high valuation IPO.
OpenAI's $852B valuation confirmed after $122B funding round
↑$900B surges to 90%40%
OpenAI closed a $122 billion funding round in March 2026, confirming a post-money valuation of $852 billion, marking a 70% increase from October 2025. This funding round, led by Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, solidified OpenAI's position as one of the most valuable AI companies, boosting market confidence in its valuation prospects.
OpenAI's $122B funding round confirms $852B valuation
OpenAI closed a historic $122 billion funding round in March 2026, establishing a post-money valuation of $852 billion. This milestone significantly boosted market confidence in the company's valuation potential, reflected in rising prices for the $900B and $1.0T valuation options.
Jury dismisses Elon Musk's lawsuit against OpenAI as time-barred
↑$900B rises to 90%2%
The dismissal of Elon Musk's lawsuit removed a significant legal overhang, increasing investor confidence in OpenAI's valuation prospects and supporting stability in the private market valuation.
Jury rules Elon Musk's lawsuit against OpenAI restructuring is time-barred
↑$900B surges to 90%40%
A jury found Elon Musk's lawsuit challenging OpenAI's restructuring was filed beyond the three-year statute of limitations, removing a significant legal uncertainty and supporting OpenAI's valuation stability.
Elon Musk's lawsuit against OpenAI dismissed by California jury
↑$900B surges to 88%38%
On May 19, 2026, a jury ruled that Elon Musk's lawsuit against OpenAI was barred by the statute of limitations, removing a significant legal overhang and increasing investor confidence in OpenAI's valuation prospects.
Polymarket launches private company trading with Nasdaq data including OpenAI
↑$900B surges to 90%40%
Polymarket launched prediction markets on private company valuations using Nasdaq Private Market data, including OpenAI, enabling real-time trading on valuation milestones and IPO timing. This introduction increased market attention and liquidity for OpenAI valuation contracts.
Jury dismisses Elon Musk lawsuit challenging OpenAI restructuring, clearing IPO path
↑$900B surges to 72%22%
On May 19, 2026, a jury found that Elon Musk's lawsuit against OpenAI's restructuring was filed beyond the statute of limitations, removing a significant legal obstacle and supporting OpenAI's IPO preparations and valuation confidence.
Google I/O 2026 launches Gemini 3.5 Flash and AI Ultra subscription cut
↓$800B rises to 53%3%
Google's May 19, 2026, I/O event introduced Gemini 3.5 Flash and cut AI Ultra subscription prices by 60%, intensifying competition in AI and impacting OpenAI's market valuation outlook by challenging its growth narrative.
Anthropic surpasses OpenAI with $900B valuation in new funding round
↓$800B rises to 51%1%
Anthropic closed a $30 billion funding round in May 2026 at a $900 billion valuation, overtaking OpenAI as the most valuable private AI company. This shift introduced competitive pressure and influenced market perceptions of OpenAI's relative position.
OpenAI valuation steady near $852B after March funding round
Following the March 31 funding round that valued OpenAI at $852 billion, the market price for the $900B valuation option started at 50%, reflecting cautious optimism about reaching higher valuations.
OpenAI closes historic $122 billion funding round at $852 billion valuation
↑$900B surges to 90%40%
OpenAI closed a historic $122 billion funding round in March 2026, significantly boosting its valuation to $852 billion and fueling speculation about a 2026 IPO, increasing investor confidence in OpenAI's growth prospects.
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