Alexi Giannoulias leads the 2027 Chicago mayoral race in trader consensus at 54.5% implied probability, driven by his August 2026 campaign launch, roughly $22 million in cash on hand, trade union endorsements, and 53% voter excitement in University of Chicago polling. Incumbent Brandon Johnson, who formally announced his re-election bid on September 13 despite 23% approval and just 13.6% support for another run, trails at 12% amid a projected $882 million budget shortfall and criticism over spending and public safety. A crowded field of more than a dozen candidates, including Susana Mendoza at 13.5%, makes a February 23 first-round majority unlikely and positions a potential April runoff as the decisive stage. Early polling shows limited separation among challengers, with fundraising gaps and name recognition currently anchoring Giannoulias ahead in the market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAlexi Giannoulias 55%
Susana Mendoza 13%
Brandon Johnson 12%
Matt Brewer 8%

Alexi Giannoulias
55%

Susana Mendoza
13%

Brandon Johnson
12%

Matt Brewer
8%

George Cardenas
7%

Joe Holberg
6%

Mike Quigley
6%

John Kelly
5%

Kam Buckner
5%

Danielle Carter-Walters
4%

Willie Wilson
3%

Maria Pappas
3%
Alexi Giannoulias 55%
Susana Mendoza 13%
Brandon Johnson 12%
Matt Brewer 8%

Alexi Giannoulias
55%

Susana Mendoza
13%

Brandon Johnson
12%

Matt Brewer
8%

George Cardenas
7%

Joe Holberg
6%

Mike Quigley
6%

John Kelly
5%

Kam Buckner
5%

Danielle Carter-Walters
4%

Willie Wilson
3%

Maria Pappas
3%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Chicago.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 15, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Chicago.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Alexi Giannoulias leads the 2027 Chicago mayoral race in trader consensus at 54.5% implied probability, driven by his August 2026 campaign launch, roughly $22 million in cash on hand, trade union endorsements, and 53% voter excitement in University of Chicago polling. Incumbent Brandon Johnson, who formally announced his re-election bid on September 13 despite 23% approval and just 13.6% support for another run, trails at 12% amid a projected $882 million budget shortfall and criticism over spending and public safety. A crowded field of more than a dozen candidates, including Susana Mendoza at 13.5%, makes a February 23 first-round majority unlikely and positions a potential April runoff as the decisive stage. Early polling shows limited separation among challengers, with fundraising gaps and name recognition currently anchoring Giannoulias ahead in the market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan