Recent confirmation of team line-ups for the September 2026 event in Samarkand has highlighted razor-thin gaps in average ratings among the top Open squads. The United States leads the seeding at 2751 with Caruana, So, and Niemann, followed closely by defending champions India at 2733 featuring Erigaisi and Praggnanandhaa, then hosts Uzbekistan at 2720 and China. This narrow separation, combined with the 11-round Swiss format, board depth, and potential for individual upsets or fatigue across the field of over 200 teams, sustains the tight implied probabilities around the leading contenders. Home advantage for Uzbekistan and India's recent title defense add further balance to the competitive outlook.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiIndia 28%
United States of America 25%
Uzbekistan 24%
China 8%
BARU
BARU
Sep 28, 2026
India
28%
United States of America
25%
Uzbekistan
24%
China
8%
Armenia
5%
Germany
4%
Azerbaijan
4%
Georgia
3%
Netherlands
3%
Hungary
3%
Spain
3%
Poland
3%
France
3%
Ukraine
3%
England
2%
Vietnam
2%
Bulgaria
2%
Serbia
2%
Turkiye
2%
Norway
1%
Turkmenistan
1%
Sweden
<1%
Iran
<1%
Argentina
<1%
Austria
<1%
Brazil
<1%
Canada
<1%
Chile
<1%
Colombia
<1%
Croatia
<1%
Czech Republic
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Greece
<1%
Kazakhstan
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Moldova
<1%
Mexico
<1%
Romania
<1%
Slovenia
<1%
India 28%
United States of America 25%
Uzbekistan 24%
China 8%
BARU
BARU
Sep 28, 2026
India
$204 Vol.
28%
United States of America
$406 Vol.
25%
Uzbekistan
$256 Vol.
24%
China
$806 Vol.
8%
Armenia
$162 Vol.
5%
Germany
$212 Vol.
4%
Azerbaijan
$286 Vol.
4%
Georgia
$36 Vol.
3%
Netherlands
$236 Vol.
3%
Hungary
$36 Vol.
3%
Spain
$150 Vol.
3%
Poland
$36 Vol.
3%
France
$139 Vol.
3%
Ukraine
$36 Vol.
3%
England
$36 Vol.
2%
Vietnam
$26 Vol.
2%
Bulgaria
$460 Vol.
2%
Serbia
$133 Vol.
2%
Turkiye
$26 Vol.
2%
Norway
$131 Vol.
1%
Turkmenistan
$198 Vol.
1%
Sweden
$180 Vol.
<1%
Iran
$194 Vol.
<1%
Argentina
$61 Vol.
<1%
Austria
$61 Vol.
<1%
Brazil
$61 Vol.
<1%
Canada
$61 Vol.
<1%
Chile
$61 Vol.
<1%
Colombia
$61 Vol.
<1%
Croatia
$61 Vol.
<1%
Czech Republic
$61 Vol.
<1%
Egypt
$61 Vol.
<1%
Greece
$61 Vol.
<1%
Kazakhstan
$61 Vol.
<1%
Latvia
$61 Vol.
<1%
Lithuania
$61 Vol.
<1%
Moldova
$61 Vol.
<1%
Mexico
$61 Vol.
<1%
Romania
$61 Vol.
<1%
Slovenia
$61 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, currently scheduled for September 15, 2026 to September 28, 2026.
If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent confirmation of team line-ups for the September 2026 event in Samarkand has highlighted razor-thin gaps in average ratings among the top Open squads. The United States leads the seeding at 2751 with Caruana, So, and Niemann, followed closely by defending champions India at 2733 featuring Erigaisi and Praggnanandhaa, then hosts Uzbekistan at 2720 and China. This narrow separation, combined with the 11-round Swiss format, board depth, and potential for individual upsets or fatigue across the field of over 200 teams, sustains the tight implied probabilities around the leading contenders. Home advantage for Uzbekistan and India's recent title defense add further balance to the competitive outlook.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, currently scheduled for September 15, 2026 to September 28, 2026.
If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 30, 2026, 11:29 PM ET
Volume
$5,414Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 30, 2026, 11:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, currently scheduled for September 15, 2026 to September 28, 2026.
If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent confirmation of team line-ups for the September 2026 event in Samarkand has highlighted razor-thin gaps in average ratings among the top Open squads. The United States leads the seeding at 2751 with Caruana, So, and Niemann, followed closely by defending champions India at 2733 featuring Erigaisi and Praggnanandhaa, then hosts Uzbekistan at 2720 and China. This narrow separation, combined with the 11-round Swiss format, board depth, and potential for individual upsets or fatigue across the field of over 200 teams, sustains the tight implied probabilities around the leading contenders. Home advantage for Uzbekistan and India's recent title defense add further balance to the competitive outlook.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, currently scheduled for September 15, 2026 to September 28, 2026.
If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,414Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 30, 2026, 11:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent confirmation of team line-ups for the September 2026 event in Samarkand has highlighted razor-thin gaps in average ratings among the top Open squads. The United States leads the seeding at 2751 with Caruana, So, and Niemann, followed closely by defending champions India at 2733 featuring Erigaisi and Praggnanandhaa, then hosts Uzbekistan at 2720 and China. This narrow separation, combined with the 11-round Swiss format, board depth, and potential for individual upsets or fatigue across the field of over 200 teams, sustains the tight implied probabilities around the leading contenders. Home advantage for Uzbekistan and India's recent title defense add further balance to the competitive outlook.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan