The 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad open section in Samarkand, Uzbekistan (September 15–27), features a tight three-way race among the top seeds after official team lineups were released in early August. The United States leads average rating at 2751 with Caruana on board one, followed by So, Niemann, Aronian, and Liang, though Nakamura’s absence narrows their edge. Defending champion India sits close behind at 2733, led by Erigaisi and Praggnanandhaa with world champion Gukesh slotted on fourth board and Vidit anchoring the squad. Host nation Uzbekistan ranks third at 2720 and benefits from home-soil familiarity and recent form. These three teams’ combined ratings sit within roughly 30 points, producing the bunched market prices near 24–28 percent, while deeper fields including China trail significantly. Recent roster confirmations have stabilized sentiment around this narrow competitive window rather than widening gaps.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiIndia 28%
United States of America 25%
Uzbekistan 24%
China 8%
India
28%
United States of America
25%
Uzbekistan
24%
China
8%
Armenia
5%
Germany
4%
Azerbaijan
4%
Spain
3%
Netherlands
3%
Ukraine
3%
Georgia
3%
Poland
3%
Hungary
3%
Serbia
3%
France
3%
England
2%
Vietnam
2%
Turkiye
2%
Bulgaria
2%
Norway
1%
Turkmenistan
1%
Sweden
<1%
Iran
<1%
Argentina
<1%
Austria
<1%
Brazil
<1%
Canada
<1%
Chile
<1%
Colombia
<1%
Croatia
<1%
Czech Republic
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Greece
<1%
Kazakhstan
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Moldova
<1%
Mexico
<1%
Romania
<1%
Slovenia
<1%
India 28%
United States of America 25%
Uzbekistan 24%
China 8%
India
28%
United States of America
25%
Uzbekistan
24%
China
8%
Armenia
5%
Germany
4%
Azerbaijan
4%
Spain
3%
Netherlands
3%
Ukraine
3%
Georgia
3%
Poland
3%
Hungary
3%
Serbia
3%
France
3%
England
2%
Vietnam
2%
Turkiye
2%
Bulgaria
2%
Norway
1%
Turkmenistan
1%
Sweden
<1%
Iran
<1%
Argentina
<1%
Austria
<1%
Brazil
<1%
Canada
<1%
Chile
<1%
Colombia
<1%
Croatia
<1%
Czech Republic
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Greece
<1%
Kazakhstan
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Moldova
<1%
Mexico
<1%
Romania
<1%
Slovenia
<1%
If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 30, 2026, 11:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad open section in Samarkand, Uzbekistan (September 15–27), features a tight three-way race among the top seeds after official team lineups were released in early August. The United States leads average rating at 2751 with Caruana on board one, followed by So, Niemann, Aronian, and Liang, though Nakamura’s absence narrows their edge. Defending champion India sits close behind at 2733, led by Erigaisi and Praggnanandhaa with world champion Gukesh slotted on fourth board and Vidit anchoring the squad. Host nation Uzbekistan ranks third at 2720 and benefits from home-soil familiarity and recent form. These three teams’ combined ratings sit within roughly 30 points, producing the bunched market prices near 24–28 percent, while deeper fields including China trail significantly. Recent roster confirmations have stabilized sentiment around this narrow competitive window rather than widening gaps.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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