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Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

icon for Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Harry Kane 22.1%

Kylian Mbappé 18%

Ousmane Dembélé 12.6%

Lionel Messi 10.8%

Polymarket

$4,908,436 Vol.

Harry Kane 22.1%

Kylian Mbappé 18%

Ousmane Dembélé 12.6%

Lionel Messi 10.8%

Polymarket

$4,908,436 Vol.

Harry Kane

$785,881 Vol.

22%

Kylian Mbappé

$196,812 Vol.

18%

Ousmane Dembélé

$609,111 Vol.

13%

Lionel Messi

$49,856 Vol.

11%

Michael Olise

$124,254 Vol.

9%

Lamine Yamal

$110,533 Vol.

8%

Vitinha

$85,999 Vol.

3%

Vinícius Júnior

$499,332 Vol.

3%

Declan Rice

$88,564 Vol.

2%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$94,548 Vol.

2%

Achraf Hakimi

$49,007 Vol.

2%

Erling Haaland

$302,786 Vol.

1%

Lautaro Martinez

$59,390 Vol.

1%

Bruno Fernandes

$68,998 Vol.

1%

Pedri

$303,989 Vol.

1%

Luis Diaz

$57,796 Vol.

1%

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

$95,087 Vol.

<1%

Mohamed Salah

$460,082 Vol.

<1%

Cole Palmer

$221,839 Vol.

<1%

Jude Bellingham

$298,139 Vol.

<1%

Julian Alvarez

$60,669 Vol.

<1%

Raphinha

$79,806 Vol.

<1%

Federico Valverde

$52,062 Vol.

<1%

Desire Doue

$48,889 Vol.

<1%

Dominik Szoboszlai

$105,007 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$4,908,436
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$4,908,436
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 25 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Harry Kane" di 22%, diikuti oleh "Kylian Mbappé" di 18%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 22¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 22% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026" telah menghasilkan $4.9 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Sep 22, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026," jelajahi 25 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026" adalah "Harry Kane" di 22%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 22% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Kylian Mbappé" di 18%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.