Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 55.5% implied probability after delivering the standout campaign of his career, including a league-high 61 goals for Bayern Munich across the Bundesliga and domestic cups plus six more at the 2026 World Cup. Traders view this combination of sustained club dominance and major-tournament output as the decisive edge over younger contenders. Lamine Yamal sits second at 21.3% on the strength of another breakout season at Barcelona, where his creativity and consistency have kept him in the conversation despite less senior international impact. Kylian Mbappé, Rodri and Lionel Messi trail further back, with their probabilities shaped by strong but comparatively less decisive recent club and international showings. These prices capture crowd-sourced assessment of the calendar-year body of work heading into the autumn voting window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiPemenang Ballond'Or 2026
Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026
Harry Kane 55.6%
Lamine Yamal 21.3%
Kylian Mbappé 9.2%
Rodri 7%
$27,186,529 Vol.
$27,186,529 Vol.
Harry Kane
56%
Lamine Yamal
21%
Kylian Mbappé
9%
Rodri
7%
Lionel Messi
3%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
3%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Harry Kane 55.6%
Lamine Yamal 21.3%
Kylian Mbappé 9.2%
Rodri 7%
$27,186,529 Vol.
$27,186,529 Vol.
Harry Kane
56%
Lamine Yamal
21%
Kylian Mbappé
9%
Rodri
7%
Lionel Messi
3%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
3%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 55.5% implied probability after delivering the standout campaign of his career, including a league-high 61 goals for Bayern Munich across the Bundesliga and domestic cups plus six more at the 2026 World Cup. Traders view this combination of sustained club dominance and major-tournament output as the decisive edge over younger contenders. Lamine Yamal sits second at 21.3% on the strength of another breakout season at Barcelona, where his creativity and consistency have kept him in the conversation despite less senior international impact. Kylian Mbappé, Rodri and Lionel Messi trail further back, with their probabilities shaped by strong but comparatively less decisive recent club and international showings. These prices capture crowd-sourced assessment of the calendar-year body of work heading into the autumn voting window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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