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icon for Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026
Olahraga·Sepak Bola

Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026

icon for Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026
Olahraga·Sepak Bola

Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026

Harry Kane 53.7%

Lamine Yamal 22.1%

Kylian Mbappé 11.6%

Rodri 5%

Polymarket

$35,968,846 Vol.

Harry Kane 53.7%

Lamine Yamal 22.1%

Kylian Mbappé 11.6%

Rodri 5%

Polymarket

$35,968,846 Vol.

Harry Kane

$4,213,920 Vol.

54%

Lamine Yamal

$2,390,163 Vol.

22%

Kylian Mbappé

$2,288,417 Vol.

12%

Rodri

$1,768,259 Vol.

5%

Lionel Messi

$2,606,833 Vol.

3%

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

$1,645,714 Vol.

2%

Ousmane Dembélé

$2,381,132 Vol.

1%

Fabian Ruiz

$1,257,203 Vol.

1%

Michael Olise

$1,845,905 Vol.

<1%

Erling Haaland

$1,759,503 Vol.

<1%

Jude Bellingham

$1,327,378 Vol.

<1%

Pau Cubarsi

$1,051,002 Vol.

<1%

Vinícius Júnior

$1,069,455 Vol.

<1%

Declan Rice

$910,685 Vol.

<1%

Vitinha

$853,145 Vol.

<1%

Achraf Hakimi

$740,086 Vol.

<1%

Bruno Fernandes

$711,222 Vol.

<1%

Luis Diaz

$440,734 Vol.

<1%

Lautaro Martinez

$492,016 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 53.7% implied probability after a record-breaking 2025-26 campaign that featured 61 club goals for Bayern Munich plus additional strikes for England, securing the Bundesliga, DFB-Pokal, and European Golden Shoe while earning Germany's player of the year honors. Traders price Lamine Yamal second at 22.1% on the back of Barcelona's La Liga title and Spain's World Cup triumph, where the winger delivered decisive moments despite injury interruptions. Kylian Mbappé sits at 11.6% amid consistent Real Madrid output and France contributions, with Rodri at 4.5% boosted by a potential World Cup Golden Ball. The remaining field trails due to fewer combined club and international honors in the evaluation window.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$35,968,846
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 53.7% implied probability after a record-breaking 2025-26 campaign that featured 61 club goals for Bayern Munich plus additional strikes for England, securing the Bundesliga, DFB-Pokal, and European Golden Shoe while earning Germany's player of the year honors. Traders price Lamine Yamal second at 22.1% on the back of Barcelona's La Liga title and Spain's World Cup triumph, where the winger delivered decisive moments despite injury interruptions. Kylian Mbappé sits at 11.6% amid consistent Real Madrid output and France contributions, with Rodri at 4.5% boosted by a potential World Cup Golden Ball. The remaining field trails due to fewer combined club and international honors in the evaluation window.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$35,968,846
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Terkait

icon for Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?

Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?

74%
icon for Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

93%
icon for Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

98%

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 31 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Harry Kane" di 54%, diikuti oleh "Lamine Yamal" di 22%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 54¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 54% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026" telah menghasilkan $36 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Sep 22, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026," jelajahi 31 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026" adalah "Harry Kane" di 54%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 54% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Lamine Yamal" di 22%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.