**The 80% market-implied odds favoring “No” for Ammon McNeff’s departure by July 31 reflect the company’s swift containment of the Reckless Ben–fueled Lego consignment scandal.** Bricks & Minifigs terminated its Salem, Oregon franchisees, closed the implicated store, and had McNeff publicly apologize while offering direct compensation talks with the Mansell family in early June interviews and blog posts. These steps, paired with the CEO’s continued visibility as the public face addressing the dispute, have reduced immediate pressure for leadership change despite online petitions and criticism. With roughly six weeks remaining, traders see limited near-term catalysts—such as additional viral exposés or franchise revolts—capable of forcing a resignation before the cutoff, leaving the current executive team in place.