Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Spider-Man: Brand New Day as the clear frontrunner at 67.5% implied probability for 2026's highest worldwide gross, fueled by its prime July 31 summer blockbuster slot, MCU synergy following No Way Home's $1.9 billion haul, and surging early presales amid Tom Holland's emotional promo tour. Current box office leader The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, with $942 million worldwide since its April 1 release, boasts strong family legs (3.14x opening) but faces slowdown in its third weekend at $35 million, capping projections below Spider-Man's anticipated opening weekend explosion. Avengers: Doomsday holds second at 16.5% on Russo brothers' pedigree and exceptional long-lead tracking, though December 18 timing risks holiday competition and reshoots; watch July premieres and tracking updates for shifts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiFilm terlaris tertinggi di tahun 2026?
Film terlaris tertinggi di tahun 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 68%
Avengers: Doomsday 17%
Film Super Mario Galaxy 6.3%
Toy Story 5 3.4%
$6,993,219 Vol.
$6,993,219 Vol.
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
68%
Avengers: Doomsday
17%
Film Super Mario Galaxy
6%
Toy Story 5
3%
The Odyssey
2%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
1%
Michael
1%
Dune: Messiah
1%
Wicked: For Good
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
1%
Wuthering Heights
1%
Jumanji 3
1%
Scream 7
<1%
Project Hail Mary
<1%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 68%
Avengers: Doomsday 17%
Film Super Mario Galaxy 6.3%
Toy Story 5 3.4%
$6,993,219 Vol.
$6,993,219 Vol.
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
68%
Avengers: Doomsday
17%
Film Super Mario Galaxy
6%
Toy Story 5
3%
The Odyssey
2%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
1%
Michael
1%
Dune: Messiah
1%
Wicked: For Good
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
1%
Wuthering Heights
1%
Jumanji 3
1%
Scream 7
<1%
Project Hail Mary
<1%
Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Spider-Man: Brand New Day as the clear frontrunner at 67.5% implied probability for 2026's highest worldwide gross, fueled by its prime July 31 summer blockbuster slot, MCU synergy following No Way Home's $1.9 billion haul, and surging early presales amid Tom Holland's emotional promo tour. Current box office leader The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, with $942 million worldwide since its April 1 release, boasts strong family legs (3.14x opening) but faces slowdown in its third weekend at $35 million, capping projections below Spider-Man's anticipated opening weekend explosion. Avengers: Doomsday holds second at 16.5% on Russo brothers' pedigree and exceptional long-lead tracking, though December 18 timing risks holiday competition and reshoots; watch July premieres and tracking updates for shifts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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