Recent insider comments from Gary Oldman have propelled Jack Lowden to the top of trader consensus, with his 38% implied probability reflecting his Slow Horses spy-thriller pedigree and reports placing him on the shortlist alongside Callum Turner and Jacob Elordi. The casting process under Amazon MGM and Denis Villeneuve remains active, with callbacks and screen tests advancing but no official selection confirmed, sustaining the 18.6% chance that no actor is chosen by year-end. Lesser-known contender Jack Barton’s 11.7% share stems from shortlist mentions amid efforts to identify fresh talent, while established names like Harris Dickinson and Aaron Taylor-Johnson trail as the methodical search heads toward a potential late-2026 announcement.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNext James Bond actor?
Jack Lowden 38.0%
No Bond chosen 18.6%
Jack Barton 11.6%
Callum Turner 10.5%
$782,394 Vol.
$782,394 Vol.

Jack Lowden
38%

No Bond chosen
19%

Jack Barton
12%

Callum Turner
11%

Jack O'Connell
4%

Harris Dickinson
3%

Tom Francis
3%

Richard Madden
3%

Josh O'Connor
1%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
1%

Jacob Elordi
1%

Timothee Chalamet
1%

Jonathan Bailey
1%

Theo James
1%

Henry Cavill
<1%

James Norton
<1%

Tom Hardy
<1%

Robert James-Collier
<1%

Tom Blyth
<1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

Pierce Brosnan
<1%

Michael B Jordan
<1%

Tom Holland
<1%

Nicholas Galitzine
<1%
Jack Lowden 38.0%
No Bond chosen 18.6%
Jack Barton 11.6%
Callum Turner 10.5%
$782,394 Vol.
$782,394 Vol.

Jack Lowden
38%

No Bond chosen
19%

Jack Barton
12%

Callum Turner
11%

Jack O'Connell
4%

Harris Dickinson
3%

Tom Francis
3%

Richard Madden
3%

Josh O'Connor
1%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
1%

Jacob Elordi
1%

Timothee Chalamet
1%

Jonathan Bailey
1%

Theo James
1%

Henry Cavill
<1%

James Norton
<1%

Tom Hardy
<1%

Robert James-Collier
<1%

Tom Blyth
<1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

Pierce Brosnan
<1%

Michael B Jordan
<1%

Tom Holland
<1%

Nicholas Galitzine
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent insider comments from Gary Oldman have propelled Jack Lowden to the top of trader consensus, with his 38% implied probability reflecting his Slow Horses spy-thriller pedigree and reports placing him on the shortlist alongside Callum Turner and Jacob Elordi. The casting process under Amazon MGM and Denis Villeneuve remains active, with callbacks and screen tests advancing but no official selection confirmed, sustaining the 18.6% chance that no actor is chosen by year-end. Lesser-known contender Jack Barton’s 11.7% share stems from shortlist mentions amid efforts to identify fresh talent, while established names like Harris Dickinson and Aaron Taylor-Johnson trail as the methodical search heads toward a potential late-2026 announcement.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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