Jack Lowden leads the market at 37.9% implied probability due to his recent surge in insider buzz and betting odds, fueled by his established spy credentials as River Cartwright on Slow Horses and comments from co-star Gary Oldman suggesting producers have selected a candidate with fingers crossed for the Scottish actor. Scriptwriter Steven Knight has also hinted at knowing the choice without confirming details, aligning with Lowden’s age, stage background, and perceived Daniel Craig-like intensity that match the franchise’s reported preference for a younger, less-established lead. The 18.3% on no selection yet reflects the absence of an official announcement despite August screen tests and shortlists including Callum Turner and Jack Barton, while lower odds on names like Jack O’Connell and Harris Dickinson track their more speculative positioning in recent casting reports.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNext James Bond actor?
Jack Lowden 37.9%
No Bond chosen 18.3%
Jack Barton 11.6%
Callum Turner 10.3%
$782,199 Vol.
$782,199 Vol.

Jack Lowden
38%

No Bond chosen
18%

Jack Barton
12%

Callum Turner
10%

Jack O'Connell
4%

Tom Francis
3%

Harris Dickinson
3%

Richard Madden
2%

Josh O'Connor
1%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
1%

Jacob Elordi
1%

Timothee Chalamet
1%

Jonathan Bailey
1%

Theo James
1%

Henry Cavill
<1%

James Norton
<1%

Tom Hardy
<1%

Robert James-Collier
<1%

Tom Blyth
<1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

Pierce Brosnan
<1%

Michael B Jordan
<1%

Tom Holland
<1%

Nicholas Galitzine
<1%
Jack Lowden 37.9%
No Bond chosen 18.3%
Jack Barton 11.6%
Callum Turner 10.3%
$782,199 Vol.
$782,199 Vol.

Jack Lowden
38%

No Bond chosen
18%

Jack Barton
12%

Callum Turner
10%

Jack O'Connell
4%

Tom Francis
3%

Harris Dickinson
3%

Richard Madden
2%

Josh O'Connor
1%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
1%

Jacob Elordi
1%

Timothee Chalamet
1%

Jonathan Bailey
1%

Theo James
1%

Henry Cavill
<1%

James Norton
<1%

Tom Hardy
<1%

Robert James-Collier
<1%

Tom Blyth
<1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

Pierce Brosnan
<1%

Michael B Jordan
<1%

Tom Holland
<1%

Nicholas Galitzine
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Jack Lowden leads the market at 37.9% implied probability due to his recent surge in insider buzz and betting odds, fueled by his established spy credentials as River Cartwright on Slow Horses and comments from co-star Gary Oldman suggesting producers have selected a candidate with fingers crossed for the Scottish actor. Scriptwriter Steven Knight has also hinted at knowing the choice without confirming details, aligning with Lowden’s age, stage background, and perceived Daniel Craig-like intensity that match the franchise’s reported preference for a younger, less-established lead. The 18.3% on no selection yet reflects the absence of an official announcement despite August screen tests and shortlists including Callum Turner and Jack Barton, while lower odds on names like Jack O’Connell and Harris Dickinson track their more speculative positioning in recent casting reports.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan