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icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

Jack Lowden 38.0%

No Bond chosen 18.6%

Jack Barton 11.6%

Callum Turner 10.5%

Polymarket

$782,394 Vol.

Jack Lowden 38.0%

No Bond chosen 18.6%

Jack Barton 11.6%

Callum Turner 10.5%

Polymarket

$782,394 Vol.

icon for Jack Lowden

Jack Lowden

$144,435 Vol.

38%

icon for No Bond chosen

No Bond chosen

$365,851 Vol.

19%

icon for Jack Barton

Jack Barton

$35,743 Vol.

12%

icon for Callum Turner

Callum Turner

$59,103 Vol.

11%

icon for Jack O'Connell

Jack O'Connell

$16,131 Vol.

4%

icon for Harris Dickinson

Harris Dickinson

$11,088 Vol.

3%

icon for Tom Francis

Tom Francis

$7,788 Vol.

3%

icon for Richard Madden

Richard Madden

$7,341 Vol.

3%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$8,426 Vol.

1%

icon for Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$18,210 Vol.

1%

icon for Jacob Elordi

Jacob Elordi

$10,212 Vol.

1%

icon for Timothee Chalamet

Timothee Chalamet

$6,338 Vol.

1%

icon for Jonathan Bailey

Jonathan Bailey

$5,818 Vol.

1%

icon for Theo James

Theo James

$25,117 Vol.

1%

icon for Henry Cavill

Henry Cavill

$6,546 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Norton

James Norton

$11,502 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Hardy

Tom Hardy

$8,775 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert James-Collier

Robert James-Collier

$5,601 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Blyth

Tom Blyth

$2,733 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paul Mescal

Paul Mescal

$5,725 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pierce Brosnan

Pierce Brosnan

$6,467 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michael B Jordan

Michael B Jordan

$3,395 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Holland

Tom Holland

$5,912 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nicholas Galitzine

Nicholas Galitzine

$4,140 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent insider comments from Gary Oldman have propelled Jack Lowden to the top of trader consensus, with his 38% implied probability reflecting his Slow Horses spy-thriller pedigree and reports placing him on the shortlist alongside Callum Turner and Jacob Elordi. The casting process under Amazon MGM and Denis Villeneuve remains active, with callbacks and screen tests advancing but no official selection confirmed, sustaining the 18.6% chance that no actor is chosen by year-end. Lesser-known contender Jack Barton’s 11.7% share stems from shortlist mentions amid efforts to identify fresh talent, while established names like Harris Dickinson and Aaron Taylor-Johnson trail as the methodical search heads toward a potential late-2026 announcement.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$782,394
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent insider comments from Gary Oldman have propelled Jack Lowden to the top of trader consensus, with his 38% implied probability reflecting his Slow Horses spy-thriller pedigree and reports placing him on the shortlist alongside Callum Turner and Jacob Elordi. The casting process under Amazon MGM and Denis Villeneuve remains active, with callbacks and screen tests advancing but no official selection confirmed, sustaining the 18.6% chance that no actor is chosen by year-end. Lesser-known contender Jack Barton’s 11.7% share stems from shortlist mentions amid efforts to identify fresh talent, while established names like Harris Dickinson and Aaron Taylor-Johnson trail as the methodical search heads toward a potential late-2026 announcement.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$782,394
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Next James Bond actor?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 24 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Jack Lowden" di 38%, diikuti oleh "No Bond chosen" di 19%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 38¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 38% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Next James Bond actor?" telah menghasilkan $782.4K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada May 18, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Next James Bond actor?," jelajahi 24 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Next James Bond actor?" adalah "Jack Lowden" di 38%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 38% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "No Bond chosen" di 19%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Next James Bond actor?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.