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Dunia·Kanada

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

icon for Canada's population Up or Down this year?
Dunia·Kanada

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

Up

53% peluang
Polymarket
BARU

Up

53% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start). Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 2026 population decline at 61%, driven by Statistics Canada's March 18 preliminary estimates showing Canada's population fell 103,504 (-0.2%) to 41,472,081 on January 1, 2026—the first year-over-year quarterly drop on record since Confederation. This stems from sharp reductions in non-permanent residents, including temporary workers and students, following the federal government's November 2025 Immigration Levels Plan capping new temporary arrivals at 385,000 for 2026, down over 40% from 2025 peaks. The Parliamentary Budget Officer projected zero growth for the year on February 26, amid sustained low permanent resident targets of 380,000. Upcoming Q2 estimates in June could shift odds if inflows rebound unexpectedly.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.

If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,488
Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 30, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start). Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start). Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 2026 population decline at 61%, driven by Statistics Canada's March 18 preliminary estimates showing Canada's population fell 103,504 (-0.2%) to 41,472,081 on January 1, 2026—the first year-over-year quarterly drop on record since Confederation. This stems from sharp reductions in non-permanent residents, including temporary workers and students, following the federal government's November 2025 Immigration Levels Plan capping new temporary arrivals at 385,000 for 2026, down over 40% from 2025 peaks. The Parliamentary Budget Officer projected zero growth for the year on February 26, amid sustained low permanent resident targets of 380,000. Upcoming Q2 estimates in June could shift odds if inflows rebound unexpectedly.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.

If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,488
Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 30, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start). Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Canada's population Up or Down this year?" adalah prediction market harian di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham tentang apakah harga Canada's population Up or Down this year? akan berakhir lebih tinggi ("Up") atau lebih rendah ("Down") dari harga pembukaannya selama jendela harian yang ditentukan dalam judul. Probabilitas market saat ini adalah 61% untuk "Down." Harga 61% berarti market secara kolektif memberikan peluang 61% untuk hasil tersebut. Harga diperbarui secara real-time seiring trader bereaksi terhadap pergerakan harga live Canada's population Up or Down this year?. Saham pada hasil yang benar dapat ditukarkan seharga $1 per lembar saat market diselesaikan.

"Canada's population Up or Down this year?" adalah market jangka pendek aktif di Polymarket. Volume trading bisa terakumulasi cepat seiring jendela harian berjalan — masuk lebih awal untuk membantu menentukan odds sebelum jendela ini ditutup.

Untuk trading di "Canada's population Up or Down this year?," tentukan apakah kamu percaya harga Canada's population Up or Down this year? pada pukul 12 siang ET tanggal April 29 akan lebih tinggi ("Up") atau lebih rendah ("Down") dari harga Canada's population Up or Down this year? pada pukul 12 siang ET tanggal January 27. Beli "Up" jika kamu pikir harga akan naik dari hari ke hari, atau "Down" jika kamu pikir akan turun. Masukkan jumlahnya dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil yang kamu pilih benar saat penyelesaian, setiap saham bernilai $1.00. Jika salah, saham bernilai $0.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Canada's population Up or Down this year?" adalah 61% untuk "Down," artinya kerumunan Polymarket saat ini memberikan peluang 61% bahwa harga Canada's population Up or Down this year? akan berakhir down selama jendela harian ini. Odds ini diperbarui secara real-time seiring trader bereaksi terhadap data harga live Canada's population Up or Down this year?. Selama satu hari penuh, odds mencerminkan sentimen yang berkembang seiring aksi harga hari itu terungkap. Cek kembali secara berkala atau trading sekarang sebelum jendela ditutup.

Market "Canada's population Up or Down this year?" diselesaikan berdasarkan perbandingan harga Canada's population Up or Down this year? pada pukul 12 siang ET tanggal April 29 versus pukul 12 siang ET tanggal January 27, menggunakan harga penutupan candle 1 menit Binance CANADAS-POPULATION/USDT. Jika harga siang tanggal April 29 lebih tinggi, hasilnya "Up"; jika lebih rendah, "Down"; jika sama, market diselesaikan 50-50. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria penyelesaian lengkap dan sumber data di bagian "Rules" di halaman ini.