DJ Moore's 2026 receiving touchdown total hinges on his recovery from a shoulder AC joint injury that has already sidelined him for consecutive weeks with the Buffalo Bills. After a strong Week 1 (five catches, 100 yards, one score) following his offseason trade from Chicago, Moore has managed just 12 receptions for 178 yards and one touchdown across four games amid the injury. He joins an offense led by Josh Allen that emphasizes perimeter targets and red-zone opportunities, though competition from Khalil Shakir and Keon Coleman affects volume. Moore's return timeline near early November and the Bills' remaining schedule will shape his path to matching or exceeding his prior six-touchdown seasons.