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Politics·Netherlands

Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?

icon for Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?
Politics·Netherlands

Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?

11% peluang
Polymarket

$12,293 Vol.

11% peluang
Polymarket

$12,293 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**The current 89% trader consensus against dissolution of the Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer) in 2026 reflects the recent completion of an electoral cycle and the absence of immediate triggers for another snap election.** Following the collapse of the Schoof cabinet in June 2025 over asylum and immigration disputes that prompted PVV withdrawal from the coalition, King Willem-Alexander dissolved parliament and scheduled early elections for October 29, 2025. A new minority government led by D66’s Rob Jetten was subsequently formed and sworn in on February 23, 2026, after coalition negotiations. As of mid-June 2026, this cabinet continues without reported major internal fractures, no-confidence motions, or policy crises sufficient to force resignation or dissolution under Article 64 of the Dutch Constitution. The four-year term from the 2025 vote points to regular elections in 2029–2030, and traders appear to price in limited near-term risk of premature dissolution absent fresh political breakdowns.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$12,293
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 27, 2026, 7:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**The current 89% trader consensus against dissolution of the Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer) in 2026 reflects the recent completion of an electoral cycle and the absence of immediate triggers for another snap election.** Following the collapse of the Schoof cabinet in June 2025 over asylum and immigration disputes that prompted PVV withdrawal from the coalition, King Willem-Alexander dissolved parliament and scheduled early elections for October 29, 2025. A new minority government led by D66’s Rob Jetten was subsequently formed and sworn in on February 23, 2026, after coalition negotiations. As of mid-June 2026, this cabinet continues without reported major internal fractures, no-confidence motions, or policy crises sufficient to force resignation or dissolution under Article 64 of the Dutch Constitution. The four-year term from the 2025 vote points to regular elections in 2029–2030, and traders appear to price in limited near-term risk of premature dissolution absent fresh political breakdowns.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$12,293
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 27, 2026, 7:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 11% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 11¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 11% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?" telah menghasilkan $12.3K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 27, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?" adalah 11% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 11% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.