The Jetten I minority cabinet, formed in February 2026 by D66, VVD, and CDA with 66 seats, has maintained operational continuity since its installation after the October 2025 snap elections. No no-confidence motions, coalition defections, or legislative deadlocks have emerged in the past 30 days, while March municipal elections reinforced left-leaning stability without triggering national disruption. Plenary sessions proceed on budget and asylum measures with ad-hoc opposition backing, and the government’s survival incentives—coupled with the constitutional preference for completing the four-year term—have kept dissolution prospects low through year-end. Traders reflect this record of early resilience in assigning an 87 percent probability that the Tweede Kamer will not be dissolved before December 31, 2026.